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Field virtually set now for Belmont... Nowhere to Hide won't run.
1. Brave Victory Nick Zito Rajiv Maragh Robert V. LaPenta 2. Charitable Man Kiaran McLaughlin Alan Garcia Mr. & Mrs. William K. Warren Jr. 3. Chocolate Candy Jerry Hollendorfer Garrett Gomez Craig Family Trust 4. Dunkirk Todd Pletcher John Velazquez Mrs. John Magnier, Michael Tabor, & Derrick Smith 5. Flying Private D. Wayne Lukas Julien Leparoux Robert C. Baker & William L. Mack 6. Luv Gov D.Wayne Lukas Miguel Mena Marylou Whitney Stables 7. Miner’s Escape Nick Zito Jose Lezcano Robert V. LaPenta 8. Mine That Bird Chip Woolley Calvin Borel Double Eagle Ranch & Buena Suerte Equine 9. Mr. Hot Stuff Eoin Harty Edgar Prado WinStar Farm LLC 10. Summer Bird Tim Ice Kent Desormeaux Kalarikkal & Vilasini Jayaraman |
Borel seems to have put another tremendous form-building work into a horse before a big triple crown race.
13.80 12.80 11.8 11.3 GLP12.5 |
Wow, only six no hopers in the field? That's pretty strong!
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Six?
That looks like ten no hopers to me. |
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"doh"!
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Chocolate Candy and Summer Bird could each round out a tri or even the exacta, but they would be more a surprise to win. Not that bad of a field overall |
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NT |
I thought the horse looked like he could run during his juvenile season, and am not ready to dismiss him quite yet.
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The only horses in here who have even run a race fast enough to win this race are Dunkirk, Mine That Bird, and Flying Private as none of the others have ever eclipsed 100 on the beyer scale. Because of that, I think those three are the horses to use in the race. Charitable Man is a paper tiger fraud who looks great off of the perfect trip win of the century, where after that perfect trip he still came home in around 13 seconds for the final 1/8th of a mile. I don't think he wants any part of 1 1/2. Chocolate Candy has never run a fast race nor has he ever really ran that good of a race, and no races out in California to total mediocrity Pioneerof the Nile don't count as good races. Finally, I don't really see anything in Summer Bird. He ran ok in his first two starts, but his Arkansas Derby was severly pace aided, and he had a great trip that day compared to Flying Private who tripped out much worse that day in the Arkansas Derby. I just don't see Summer Bird at all.
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Can we get 3-1 or better on Dunkirk?
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tough crowd |
Will Dunkirk be able to get 1.5 miles??
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I know breeding doesn't matter once horses have established form but...
none of the horses in the race have went this far, so there is no form for 1 1/2 miles to go on. I trust a son of Birdstone more than one by Unbridled's Song going this distance. |
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