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-   -   9/12: BEL C/O ($608k Friday!!) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=24949)

MISTERGEE 09-11-2008 11:42 AM

Pic 6
 
only $1890 the old fashioned way---

4) 7
5) 1-2-3-5-6-7-8
6) 1-2-3-5-8
7) 5-7-10
8) 2-6-8
9) 3-4-7

please let me get past 1st leg!

Gate Dancer 09-11-2008 12:16 PM

I'm in..............

R4: 1-2-3-4-7
R5: 1-3-4
R6: 1-2-5
R7: 4-6-7
R8: 2-8
R9: 3-4-7

hoovesupsideyourhead 09-11-2008 12:23 PM

7
5/4/2/7
2/1/7/9
3/6/7/10
8/4/6
3/8/6/7

CapperZeke 09-11-2008 12:26 PM

Pic 6
 
4) 1-2-7-8
5) 2-5-7
6) 1-6-7-9
7) 2-7-9
8) 6-8
9) 4-7-8


$1728

the_fat_man 09-11-2008 12:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
I like Better Than Swiss a lot as well, and considered singling her, but would probably use Intoxicatingbeauty in some capacity as well. She had no chance in her last after stumbling at the break and trailing behind a very average pace, but still ran on decently to be third. Better Than Swiss, though also having trouble at the start last out, at least had some pace to run into. BTS is my 'A', but I might make Intoxicatingbeauty a 'B'. Hopefully with the two snappy three-furlong breezes, Corny can keep her in striking distance today.

The horses running 1-4 at the 1st 2 calls of Intoxicatingbeauty's last race finished 2nd (Sweet Bama Breeze), 4th, next to last, and 8th. (rail set at 12 feet)

The horses running 1-4 the 1st 2 calls in Better Than Swiss' last race finished 1st, 2nd, 4th, and 6th/8th. (no rail)

Fractions aside, seems to me that Intoxicatingbeauty had more 'pace' to run into -- 'pace' in the sense of more moves.

This is where it gets tricky for those doing 'quantitative' versus 'intuitive' pace. The latter involving race dynamics (moves) and being a larger set than the former.

Bigsmc 09-11-2008 12:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
you may be right phil..but id hate to get that far and be singled..as its happend to me before....the 7/3/ look good..the 8/6 look sneeky..good luck to all today

I never worry about what race my singles are in. If the last race contains your best single possibility, so be it.

I cringe when friends tell me they are singling early so they can be deep late.

hoovesupsideyourhead 09-11-2008 12:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc
I never worry about what race my singles are in. If the last race contains your best single possibility, so be it.

I cringe when friends tell me they are singling early so they can be deep late.

TRUE!!

philcski 09-11-2008 12:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc
I never worry about what race my singles are in. If the last race contains your best single possibility, so be it.

I cringe when friends tell me they are singling early so they can be deep late.

Yup. The pain is the same in the first race or the last.

zippyneedsawin 09-11-2008 01:10 PM

1,3,7/1,2,3,4,5/1,2,5,6,8/2,4,5,7,8,9/2/3,4 =$1,800

ateamstupid 09-11-2008 01:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
Yup. The pain is the same in the first race or the last.

I disagree. The end result may be the same, but to me, it hurts way more to be blown out in the last leg. Not that I adjust my tickets to be deep late, I let the chips fall where they may, but it still hurts more to be taken out late.

viscount26 09-11-2008 01:12 PM

3,7/2,3,4,5/1,5,6,7/4,7,8/2,6,8/3,4,7

TheSpyder 09-11-2008 01:26 PM

all-all-all-6-6-7

No time to cap enough, so I'll be at least alive half way!

Spyder

herkhorse 09-11-2008 01:29 PM

playing this ticket

7/1-2-3-5/7-8/3-4/2-6/3-4

good luck

hoovesupsideyourhead 09-11-2008 01:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
7
5/4/2/7
2/1/7/9
3/6/7/10
8/4/6
3/8/6/7

SEE THAT HURTS...LOL

Coach Pants 09-11-2008 01:50 PM

Glad I decided not to play the pick 6. That rat 7 would've had me on tilt.

philcski 09-11-2008 02:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants
Glad I decided not to play the pick 6. That rat 7 would've had me on tilt.

Yeah, me too. I thought that 3 was horribly overbet at 7/2.

NoLuvForPletch 09-11-2008 02:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NoLuvForPletch
My Real Play...can't afford 2K, so I won't fantasize

Race4 - 1
Race5 - 2/5
Race6 - 1/2/8
Race7 - 3/7
Race8 - 2/8
Race9 - 3/4/7

Good Luck All...

I want to hurl, but the owner of the 350K no heart, running on the wrong lead stiff must feel worse than me...you have to love when your expensive 2YO purchase gets run down by horse that was going backwards as they came into the stretch...looks like i'm good for the place pick all...

Good Luck everyone else...

Coach Pants 09-11-2008 02:53 PM

Could this triple carry?

philcski 09-11-2008 02:53 PM

triple carry possibility???
the 8 was only 6-1 ML, but seemed dead in P3's, etc.

philcski 09-11-2008 02:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants
Could this triple carry?

JINX!

NoLuvForPletch 09-11-2008 03:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants
Could this triple carry?

I would say there are many people still alive to this point. I'm surprised he wasn't included in more of the 2K tickets on this site. I have to say I am shocked that this horse went off at 17-1. I didn't bet him to win, almost because of that fact, but he is included in my pick 4, which is basically the last 4 legs of my already expired pick 6 ticket. Good luck to those out there that have meandered their way through to this point.

herkhorse 09-11-2008 03:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by herkhorse
playing this ticket

7/1-2-3-5/7-8/3-4/2-6/3-4

good luck



well, at least a 1$ exacta box in the 6th more than made up for my losing pic 6 ticket :eek:

Coach Pants 09-11-2008 03:12 PM

I've got a few dollars on Munition and have him boxed in exactas. Hope he blows this pick 6 up.

Coach Pants 09-11-2008 03:23 PM

The pick 3 will pays are 400+ for a dollar and up.

We'll see how this pans out.

NoLuvForPletch 09-11-2008 03:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NoLuvForPletch
How has Frenchman's Cove not come up for a pick in the 7th?

I know the owners of EZ Dollar. He's not a very good horse. Don't live or die with him.

It's good to have friends, even though it didn't help.

hoovesupsideyourhead 09-11-2008 03:35 PM

im using the 4in the mix in the 8th his last race was pretty strong..ill mix up in the exotics..hes the 4 seasons wise 19-1 right now..

Coach Pants 09-11-2008 03:43 PM

Damn... 3-1 is tempting on Oniyome.

$40 win
$5 double 2/4,8

NoLuvForPletch 09-11-2008 03:48 PM

CarryOver in ALL spots!!! Could Corny get any hotter?

Still alive in my Place Pick 6...

ateamstupid 09-11-2008 03:56 PM

Wonder what the pool is.. Probably between $600,000-$800,000.. Let's Fly Away just knocked me out of my Pick 3.. Argh.

Coach Pants 09-11-2008 03:57 PM

Damn you temptation!! You cruel, cruel bit...

NoLuvForPletch 09-11-2008 04:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Wonder what the pool is.. Probably between $600,000-$800,000.. Let's Fly Away just knocked me out of my Pick 3.. Argh.

I'm guessing over 1MM but I have no idea...they weren't showing the pool size before the race as they normally do...

Whatever it is, time to prepare...i'm guessing no rain here until tomorrow night, but it's been overcast for much of the day in the city...

kenny p 09-11-2008 04:13 PM

608,000

pick4 09-11-2008 04:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Actually, it shows that nobody would ride the horse last time but after that performance he was able to get a more accomplished rider.

Not saying the horse can't win....but my scenerio is very likely closer to reality.

Reality was vastly different than what we envisioned. I thought the pace would be much quicker but I was wrong.

At least I nailed Sweet Bama Breeze. I'm in paradise and I'm going to fire up the BBQ in an hour and cook a few chesseburgers.

ateamstupid 09-11-2008 04:38 PM

That was quite a gem Luzzi delivered on Millenium Jet.

hoovesupsideyourhead 09-11-2008 04:39 PM

wow..i was so far off it was sick..get to work..ateam meet me at byks house ..THE ROUND TABLE IS NEEDED!!!:tro:

Holland Hacker 09-11-2008 04:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pick4
Reality was vastly different than what we envisioned. I thought the pace would be much quicker but I was wrong.

At least I nailed Sweet Bama Breeze. I'm in paradise and I'm going to fire up the BBQ in an hour and cook a few chesseburgers.

Don't forget to fire up the blender as well!!

ateamstupid 09-11-2008 04:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
wow..i was so far off it was sick..get to work..ateam meet me at byks house ..THE ROUND TABLE IS NEEDED!!!:tro:

Good times..

Kasept 09-11-2008 05:28 PM

BELMONT CARRYOVER


4th (2:36)

6 Furlongs (Inner turf) | Fillies | 2 Year Olds Maiden Special Weight | Purse: $46,000

1 1 Zipolina Garcia Alan Rice Linda 118 Blk-On L 3-1
1A 10 Angel Aly Luzzi M J Rice Linda 118 FTL 3-1
2 2 Apple Grove Castellano J J Albertrani Thomas 118 FTL 5-2
2B 9 My Magic Moment Maragh R Albertrani Thomas 118 L 5-2
3 3 Carnita Desormeaux K J Levine Bruce N 118 12-1
4 4 Knot News Sanchez J Contessa Gary C 118 FTL 15-1
5 5 Paraiba Velazquez J R Donk David 118 FTL 6-1
6 6 Cherry Lady Coa E M Tagg Barclay 118 FTL 4-1
7 7 Angelic Timber Migliore R Imperio Joseph 118 FTL 15-1
8 8 Special Detail Prado E S Dutrow, Jr. R E 118 L 8-1
9 11 Ms Stilleto Espinoza J L Schettino Dominick A 118 FTL 15-1

A-Coupled: Zipolina and Angel Aly
B-Coupled: Apple Grove and My Magic Moment

Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta, Pick 3 Races (4-6), Pick 6 Races (4-9) Daily Double Wagers



5th (3:08)

1 1/16 Miles (Turf) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Claiming ($35,000) | Purse: $36,000

1 1 Victory Sign Castellano J J Brown Chad C 119 $35,000 L 8-1
2 2 Bright Illusion Morales S Jerkens H Allen 1145 $35,000 L 10-1
3 3 Trick N Skip Hill C Fahey John III 119 $35,000 L 15-1
4 4 Vision of Sunrise Maragh R Bush Thomas M 119 $35,000 L 5-2
5 5 Spicy Vow Bermudez J E Bazeos Peter 116 $35,000 L 30-1
6 6 Dirty Water Dog Coa E M Tagg Barclay 116 $35,000 L 7-2
7 7 Stormy Success Velazquez J R Grennan George J 119 $35,000 L 12-1
8 8 Exton Luzzi M J Disanto Glenn B 119 $35,000 L 30-1
9 9 Youbethecan Velasquez C Dutrow, Jr. R E 119 $35,000 L 9-2
10 10 Couth Migliore R Jacobson David 119 $35,000 L 8-1
11 AE Riz Sauvage Rodriguez R R Quick Patrick J 119 $35,000 L 30-1
12 AE Yario (IRE) Sanchez J Contessa Gary C 119 $35,000 L 3-1
13 AE Pir At the Moon Morales S D'Alessandro Ralph 1115 $35,000 L 50-1

Exacta, Trifecta, Super (10 cent), Pick 3 Races (5-7), Grand Slam Races (5-8) Daily Double Wagers



6th (3:40)

6 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Claiming ($16,000) | Purse: $25,000

1 7 Secret Stocks Castellano J J Hough Stanley M 122 $16,000 L 4-1
1A 11 Trippi Appeal Castellano J J Hough Stanley M 122 $16,000 L 4-1
2 1 Come On Chas Samyn J L Jacobson David 122 $16,000 L 10-1
3 2 The Zipster Garcia Alan Rice Linda 122 $16,000 Blk-On L 10-1
4 3 Introspect Morales S Gullo Gary P 1175 $16,000 L 10-1
5 4 Sal the Pal Santiago V Campo John P Jr 1157 $16,000 L 30-1
6 5 Si O No (CHI) Rodriguez R R Quick Patrick J 122 $16,000 L 20-1
7 6 Game of Skill Espinoza J L Barker Edward R 122 $16,000 L 15-1
8 8 Dazzling Derek Prado E S Dutrow, Jr. R E 120 $16,000 L 9-2
9 9 Missile Motor Berrios Cruz J Contessa Gary C 1157 $16,000 L 8-5
10 10 Show of Colors Cardoso D Ortiz Juan 122 $16,000 L 15-1

A-Coupled: Secret Stocks and Trippi Appeal

Exacta, Trifecta, Super (10 cent), Pick 3 Races (6-8), Pick 4 Races (6-9) Daily Double Wagers



7th (4:12)

6 Furlongs (Inner turf) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Starter Allowance | Purse: $52,000

1 4 Dressed to Win Garcia Alan Rice Linda 117 L 9-2
1A 8 Frozen Prospect Luzzi M J Rice Linda 117 L 9-2
2 1 Call Tiger Prado E S Gullo Gary P 117 L 5-1
3 2 Austin Laviva Baby Castellano J J Reynolds Patrick L 117 L 4-1
4 3 Hall of Famer Migliore R Pletcher Todd A 117 L 8-1
5 5 Burns Up the Track Velazquez J R Reinacher, Jr. R J 120 L 6-1
6 6 Talkhouse Espinoza J L Turner, Jr. W H 119 L 15-1
7 7 Just Playin Around Coa E M Hills Timothy A 119 L 10-1
8 9 South Pacific Desormeaux K J Jerkens James A 120 L 15-1
9 10 American Cruiser Velasquez C Dutrow Anthony W 120 L 7-2

A-Coupled: Dressed to Win and Frozen Prospect

Exacta, Trifecta, Pick 3 Races (7-9), Daily Double Wagers



8th (4:45)

1 1/16 Miles (Turf) | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up Allowance | Purse: $56,000

1 1 Roll the Di Coa E M Ritvo Timothy 120 L 12-1
2 2 Diverse Bridgmohan S X Howard Neil J 120 L 3-1
3 3 Unique Citizen Samyn J L Ortiz Paulino O 118 L 20-1
4 4 Choosing (IRE) Desormeaux K J Mott William I 118 L 5-1
5 5 My Little Dragon Velasquez C Fahey John III 118 Blk-Off L 20-1
6 6 Platinumplus Castellano J J Turner, Jr. W H 120 L 15-1
7 7 Follow My Dream Espinoza J L O'Brien Colum 120 L 15-1
8 8 Queens Full Garcia Alan Clement Christophe 120 8-1
9 9 Bella Attrice Prado E S Brown Bruce R 122 L 6-1
10 10 Impressionism Velazquez J R McGaughey III C R 120 L 5-2

Exacta, Trifecta, Super (10 cent), Daily Double Wagers



9th (5:17)

1 Mile | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Maiden Claiming ($20,000) | Purse: $21,000

1 1 Dark Ripple Vargas R Hertler John O 1137 $20,000 Blk-On FTL 30-1
2 2 All Verses Maragh R Duggan David P 122 $20,000 L 7-2
3 3 Analyze Cat Desormeaux K J Levine Bruce N 120 $20,000 FTL 3-1
4 4 Court Appointment Rodriguez R R Smith David S 120 $20,000 FTL 30-1
5 5 Nolite Timere Sanchez J Ferraro James W 120 $20,000 L 15-1
6 6 Wicksonian Samyn J L Lerman Roy S 120 $20,000 Blk-On 15-1
7 7 Run Lightening Run Espinoza J L Barker Edward R 120 $20,000 L 4-1
8 8 Messa Nera Velasquez C Kenneally Eddie 120 $20,000 L 6-1
9 9 Louann's Boot Hill C Peitz Daniel C 120 $20,000 L 12-1
10 10 Pay the Judge Arboleda A Chatterpaul N 120 $20,000 L 20-1
11 11 Mr. Wenzel Migliore R Reinacher, Jr. R J 122 $20,000 L 8-1

Exacta, Trifecta, Super (10 cent) Wagers

Payson Dave 09-11-2008 06:15 PM

fwiw...I'm thinkin that Trick n Skip in the 5th is going to run well tomorrow

blackthroatedwind 09-11-2008 06:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Payson Dave
fwiw...I'm thinkin that Trick n Skip in the 5th is going to run well tomorrow


Two of his turf races would make him very tough here.


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