Derby Trail Forums - The Amsterdam

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Derby Trail Forums (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/index.php)

- The Paddock (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=2)

- - The Amsterdam (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=30997)

tector

08-04-2009 03:43 PM

Crist talks a little bit about the 103 Beyer here:

http://cristblog.drf.com/crist/2009/...ay-1-8409.html

Quote:

A few of you asked about the Beyer figure for Quality Road's Amsterdam. It has been provisionally given a 103 amid the ongoing uncertainty over the fractional and final times for the race. If you took the clocking of 1:13.45 for 6.5f at face value, and assigned the race the same variant that worked perfectly for every other dirt race on the card, it would get a 119, which seems impossibly high given that Quality Road stumbled at the start and raced wide and that such a winning figure would give Capt. Candyman Can a 113, a 14-point career top in a race where he altered course sharply, and distant third-place finisher Captain Cherokee a 104, a 16-point career top.

SniperSB23

08-04-2009 03:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tector

Crist talks a little bit about the 103 Beyer here:

http://cristblog.drf.com/crist/2009/...ay-1-8409.html

I think the main problem seems to be that they arrived at 119 on a single variant. Other people have come up with figures that would place it at 110 or 112 on a single variant. So they may not only be putting the races on the second variant too low but may also be overrating the races on the first variant by 7 to 9 points.

The Indomitable DrugS

08-04-2009 03:56 PM

Quote:

If you took the clocking of 1:13.45 for 6.5f at face value, and assigned the race the same variant that worked perfectly for every other dirt race on the card, it would get a 119

Oh God!

If that's so, they gave 44/1 debuter Tri Polar an 86 for winning the 20K MCL on race after the Amsterdam!

If that's so, they gave Dance Gal Dance a 7 point new career top and Doremifasolateedo a big double digit jump off of his last two.

I accept the 1:13.45 final time as obvious fact and only came back with a 109 Beyer for the race. They have the surrounding races too fast.

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