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When Chrome lost the Belmont didn't people say he didn't like being inside of horses. He ran better free and outside? |
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He also made history. I've never seen 100% of the people at every single horse racing forum/message board/twitter/Facebook agree on anything. Until..... The disgust for Perry Martin @ the Eclipse Awards the other night. Dude is a taco short of a combo plate.......:eek::zz: |
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Racing is the big loser here as a great match up was compromised by a poor draw. It would have been nice to see this race with both horses drawn somewhere in the middle. |
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In the last 2 years they ran this distance on the dirt 12 times. Ten of those races had 7 or More entries. These are the winning post positions
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So in other words the 1 thru 4 posts won half the races, and 5-6-7 won the other half ? Cal Chrome has push button speed and is posted outside. He will be wherever he wants and Espinosa will make sure he gets a good run.
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If he pulls it off, he's cements his legacy as a horse of a lifetime; if he doesn't, it proves nothing. That's the disappointing part. It will always be considered an asterisk on Arrogate's resume more than it will be a career-defining win. |
I'm boycotting Gulfstream the rest of the meet.
Hope Perry and Co. scratch. |
Chrome had it all his way in the BC, while Arrogate was the one who broke from outside, ended up rating and then nailing him at the wire. I just don't see Chrome getting a better trip than he did at Santa Anita. I do think Arrogate is a monster, that being said I don't remember him ever in a position where he had to take a lot of dirt. Even in the BC, Smith kept him clear and wide. Who knows how he could react to somehow getting pinned inside.
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It would be different if they actually had good horses in the race but this is a field of plugs and it is entirely unacceptable for the fans.
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I would doubt that Arrogate will drive out from the rail to challenge the front and it seems that there will be at least three or four who will push early to hang out Chrome. This puts Arrogate probably fourth or fifth early along the rail perhaps up to five lengths from the front with plenty of traffic. Somehow, he'll need to navigate off the rail and find a clear run to set up a move by the far turn, certainly not a given. Looking at this race, I have pretty much talked myself off of both Arrogate and Chrome. |
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I don't understand why he would be in "plenty of traffic" or, really, even any traffic. Arrogate is fast. He will leave for position. Others may outrun him, but only if it's a reasonably quick pace, which means there will be separation in the field, which means there won't be traffic. The reason we have a lot of traffic issues these days is specifically because of the constant slow paces which bunches up the fields. This does not rate to happen in the Pegasus. |
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Arrogate : 26.7% California Chrome : 62.7% All Others : 10.6% |
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I think it may be, right now, the most misunderstood and overrated theoretical trip excuse. |
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Horse Odds |
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