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-   -   Eight Belles & Proud Spell (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=21864)

cakes44 04-24-2008 02:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
hopped at the start, is a front runner who was last early. she faced more than just being a bit wide. and learned that she could come from off the pace (at a front-runner favoring track) which is not something that can be said about some of her male competition.
as i said, with her figs, she fits in. i never said she'd win-nor did i pick her up in the last rttr offering.

You and I are just seeing that trip quite a bit differently. There is no denying that she most certainly is NOT a front-runner though.

SniperSB23 04-24-2008 02:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lemoncrush
eight belles hasn't been further than 1-16, nor has she faced any of the other top 5 or 6 fillies in her class (Pure Clan perhaps is the only one with serious credentials).
She could turn out to be an incredible filly, but saying she absolutley belongs in the derby after beating up on small and suspect fields at Oaklawn and Fairgrounds this winter, it's a bit of a stretch.

The fact that NO ONE in the entire Derby field has a higher average last four Beyers than her says to me she wouldn't be out of place in the Derby at all. If she were male she'd be the third or fourth favorite. Plus, has anyone in this field beat a horse coming off a 100+ Beyer as a 3yo? Eight Belles has done that too.

dylbert 04-24-2008 08:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cakes44
There's always going to be horses that don't belong if you base it on earnings. If it was changed to to 3-year-old earnings, how long do you think it would be before Delta Downs moves the Jackpot to a month later?

B-I-N-G-O!!! Boyd Gaming moves race to first week in January and becomes key prep race. Yes, they would have to wait for grading, but it would come. I wondered how long it would take someone to post this fact. See you in Vinton!!!

If 3YO graded earnings are more valuable than 2YO graded earnings, many horses will have very light 2YO campaign and quality of 2YO racing would likely decline. I suggest that many horses would get 2 or 3 races during late spring-midsummer and go on shelf until mid-November. Get an allowance race in early December and begin graded stakes journey on January 1.

Existing graded races such as FG: Lecomte, Risen Star and Louisiana Derby and OP: Southwest, Rebel and Arkansas Derby would gain greater importance. Aqueduct could move Withers immediately and improves its stature. Tampa Bay could introduce new 3YO prep and slide Tampa Bay Derby into February and create new value for its facility. Magnaville (GP & SA) would have to stop mismanaging its race schedules (see stellar G3 Holy Bull this year). Magna would need purse hikes in its 3YO preps for Santa Anita and Florida Derbies to attract horses away from FG, OP and Tam. The scenarios are endless and intriguing should this change occur.

Danzig 04-24-2008 08:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dylbert
B-I-N-G-O!!! Boyd Gaming moves race to first week in January and becomes key prep race. Yes, they would have to wait for grading, but it would come. I wondered how long it would take someone to post this fact. See you in Vinton!!!

If 3YO graded earnings are more valuable than 2YO graded earnings, many horses will have very light 2YO campaign and quality of 2YO racing would likely decline. I suggest that many horses would get 2 or 3 races during late spring-midsummer and go on shelf until mid-November. Get an allowance race in early December and begin graded stakes journey on January 1.

Existing graded races such as FG: Lecomte, Risen Star and Louisiana Derby and OP: Southwest, Rebel and Arkansas Derby would gain greater importance. Aqueduct could move Withers immediately and improves its stature. Tampa Bay could introduce new 3YO prep and slide Tampa Bay Derby into February and create new value for its facility. Magnaville (GP & SA) would have to stop mismanaging its race schedules (see stellar G3 Holy Bull this year). Magna would need purse hikes in its 3YO preps for Santa Anita and Florida Derbies to attract horses away from FG, OP and Tam. The scenarios are endless and intriguing should this change occur.

anak nakal is a perfect example of a horse getting in based solely on his two year old season. he's run eighth, seventh and fifth this season. but the gr 2 win in november gives him the earnings to run in may.

sumitas 04-25-2008 12:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
I think you're missing Phil's point King. Not to speak for him, but I think he meant more in terms of earnings against males. A case could be made that the fillies earnings shouldn't count, unless the earnings were against males, since the filly races are restricted to sex.

I agree. Winning money in restricted races for fillies is not in the same league as graded earnings in races open to any entrant. It is outrageous that these 2 could bump some horses that battled in open stakes.

cmorioles 04-25-2008 01:58 AM

2yo races should count. Filly races should not. All horses from the Derby crop are eligible to compete in the 2yo races. All horses from the same crop are not eligible to compete in filly races.

I think sprints should be excluded as well, but that is a tougher sell. If you exclude by distance, you could argue turf and sythetic races shouldn't count either. (Side note: Will they actually call it the BC Dirt Mile this year?)

Danzig 04-25-2008 06:57 AM

i think you'd see the AE list occur long before filly graded races are taken out of the rules.

sumitas 04-25-2008 11:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
i think you'd see the AE list occur long before filly graded races are taken out of the rules.

Filly graded earnings discriminate against colts because they are not allowed to enter the races. A law suit should settle this nonsense and I'd like to see one from the owners of the excluded colts in this years derby if the fillies bump them.

Cannon Shell 04-25-2008 01:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cmorioles
2yo races should count. Filly races should not. All horses from the Derby crop are eligible to compete in the 2yo races. All horses from the same crop are not eligible to compete in filly races.

I think sprints should be excluded as well, but that is a tougher sell. If you exclude by distance, you could argue turf and sythetic races shouldn't count either. (Side note: Will they actually call it the BC Dirt Mile this year?)

Maybe they can change the name of the Oaks to the Female Derby?

Cannon Shell 04-25-2008 01:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sumitas
Filly graded earnings discriminate against colts because they are not allowed to enter the races. A law suit should settle this nonsense and I'd like to see one from the owners of the excluded colts in this years derby if the fillies bump them.

What grounds would you sue them for? Bad judgement?

Linny 04-25-2008 01:53 PM

Young Ladies Derby.

cmorioles 04-25-2008 02:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Maybe they can change the name of the Oaks to the Female Derby?

I take it you don't agree? :D

sumitas 04-25-2008 04:39 PM

I'mnot much for the old Clintonesque affirmative action which is emobodied in this stupid Churchill Downs policy for graded stakes. It just lessons the derby, which is ok, because it's over rated anyway.

Cannon Shell 04-25-2008 04:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cmorioles
I take it you don't agree? :D

I do. Restricted races are restricted races. They shouldnt count.

sumitas 04-25-2008 06:34 PM

You'd think. And they said Cali is the home of fruits and nuts. If the flakey owner wants to take advantage of a loophole I guess he can but it's against the history of the KD and shows no respect for the sport or the legendary race whatsoever.

pb72vett 04-25-2008 07:57 PM

eight bells
 
sorry but eight no in the money here my friend. better chance with there own.

Danzig 04-25-2008 08:06 PM

is the sudden hard on about fillies in the derby due to the fact that these two are owned by porter, that he might enter only to scratch, thus keeping some horse in 22nd place in earnings out, or that neither filly has faced boys as yet?
if eight belles should happen to win, which is unlikely, would the foul crying get worse or stop altogether?

hockey2315 04-25-2008 08:08 PM

Porter doesn't own Proud Spell

Danzig 04-25-2008 08:10 PM

no, eight belles....i should have kept all that singular, since jones' other filly is pretty much a lock to go in the oaks.

i can't remember tho if all other fillies to this point who ran in the derby had met colts beforehand. had they all?

blackthroatedwind 04-25-2008 08:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig

i can't remember tho if all other fillies to this point who ran in the derby had met colts beforehand. had they all?

I feel like quite a few did. Winning Colors won the Santa Anita Derby, Althea won the Arkansas Derby and Genuine Risk ran third in the Wood Memorial. Frankly I can't remember a lot of other fillies trying. Maybe Life's Magic? She was a Lukas horse so it wouldn't surprise me if she had faced the boys ( she sure did later ).


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