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-   -   BCS Nat Title game Scenarios (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=6997)

gales0678 11-20-2006 09:55 AM

Mike,

First don't eliminate teams becuase they lose a game at home during the regular season (LSU lost to Gators at home in '04 and came back and co-shares the title with USC)

Next - I agree the "best two teams should play in the title game"

USC lost to Oregeon St not exactly Ohio St - I can't see how any computer or human could put them in that game over Mich.

ND - Blowout loss to MICH at home - The voters will never put them ahead of ND in the polls and that is 2/3 rd's BCS

Arkansas need ND to beat USC to have any chance. (arkansas only loss they were not 100% in the opener against USC)

Florida - if it beats FSU and beats Ark in the SEC is the only other team besides Mich that should get to play Ohio St

BellamyRd. 11-20-2006 10:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gales0678
Mike,

First don't eliminate teams becuase they lose a game at home during the regular season (LSU lost to Gators at home in '04 and came back and co-shares the title with USC)

Next - I agree the "best two teams should play in the title game"

USC lost to Oregeon St not exactly Ohio St - I can't see how any computer or human could put them in that game over Mich.

ND - Blowout loss to MICH at home - The voters will never put them ahead of ND in the polls and that is 2/3 rd's BCS

Arkansas need ND to beat USC to have any chance. (arkansas only loss they were not 100% in the opener against USC)

Florida - if it beats FSU and beats Ark in the SEC is the only other team besides Mich that should get to play Ohio St

I'm of the opinion if there are just two slots in the championship game...then the two representatives should be from different conferences, or two conference champions, Michigan was not a conference champion...they can run the table next year with OSU in Ann Arbor and a Hart & Henne return

SniperSB23 11-20-2006 10:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BellamyRd.
I'm of the opinion if there are just two slots in the championship game...then the two representatives should be from different conferences, or two conference champions, Michigan was not a conference champion...they can run the table next year with OSU in Ann Arbor and a Hart & Henne return

If the OSU-Michigan game was in Michigan then I'd absolutely agree that the national championship game should not be between two teams from the same conference. With the game being at Ohio St though and Michigan only losing by 3 I don't think it is very fair for them to be excluded if they finish second in their conference but lost by less of a margin than home field advantage accounts for.

BellamyRd. 11-20-2006 10:25 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SniperSB23
If the OSU-Michigan game was in Michigan then I'd absolutely agree that the national championship game should not be between two teams from the same conference. With the game being at Ohio St though and Michigan only losing by 3 I don't think it is very fair for them to be excluded if they finish second in their conference but lost by less of a margin than home field advantage accounts for.

do the computers take points into account?
now Michigan did score a late TD and two-point conversion
Florida was down by 4 to auburn and did that dumb
"let's pass the ball to each other" ala Cal-Stanford
allowing auburn to score a TD on a fumble to win by 10 (not 4)
you never know, the late Michigan TD, and UF foolishness
could make the slight difference in who gets #2
but I'd still maintain it should be two conference champions
IF there are only two spots
if you want to make a playoff with 4, 8, 16 teams~then whatever

SniperSB23 11-20-2006 10:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BellamyRd.
do the computers take points into account?
now Michigan did score a late TD and two-point conversion
Florida was down by 4 to auburn and did that dumb
"let's pass the ball to each other" ala Cal-Stanford
allowing auburn to score a TD on a fumble to win by 10 (not 4)
you never know, the late Michigan TD, and UF foolishness
could make the slight difference in who gets #2
but I'd still maintain it should be two conference champions
IF there are only two spots
if you want to make a playoff with 4, 8, 16 teams~then whatever

Nope, computers ignore the margin of victory. 16 team playoff with the first two rounds played the two weeks following Thanksgiving at the site of the higher seed is the way to go. Then the final four at a bowl site on January 1st and the championship game a week later. That gives them a nice long break and would allow the 12 teams eliminated before the final four to still get a bowl game.

oracle80 11-20-2006 11:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BellamyRd.
LOL, you're out of your mind
LSU and UF play some of the best defense in the nation
we'll never know if they (OSU) can do it
just know that Arkansas can't

Mike you told me you were watching the "iron Bowl" that day so you didn't see the game in question. Dude, you know how I feel about people talking about a race they didn't even see, I feel the same way about games.
I saw the Fla-Auburn game, I saw the LSU-Bama game, I saw the USC- Cal game this past week, etc.
The Ohio ST -Mich game was a display of power by both squads. IMO the level they played at, both teams, would squash any of the other teams being mentioned.

Seattleallstar 11-20-2006 11:03 AM

Usc Vs Ohio State, It Will Be Glorious

BellamyRd. 11-20-2006 11:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
Mike you told me you were watching the "iron Bowl" that day so you didn't see the game in question. Dude, you know how I feel about people talking about a race they didn't even see, I feel the same way about games.
I saw the Fla-Auburn game, I saw the LSU-Bama game, I saw the USC- Cal game this past week, etc.
The Ohio ST -Mich game was a display of power by both squads. IMO the level they played at, both teams, would squash any of the other teams being mentioned.

wait what are we debating?
the strength of Ohio State? or that there should be a rematch?
I'm saying Arkansas can't beat both LSU and Florida in consecutive weeks
I saw most of the OSU-Mich anyway, because I was so disheartened by
the way my team was playing
anyhow, my opinion is there should not be a rematch, Arkansas is a 2-3 loss team, and SC is young and talented and will give ND a real tussle
oh and OSU couldn't beat LSU and UF on the same day

oracle80 11-20-2006 11:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Seattleallstar
Usc Vs Ohio State, It Will Be Glorious

If you are an OSU fan, yeah it will be.
If you are a USC fan not so much. I've seen both play, and it will be a bloodbath. OSU is better at all positions, and on the lines just so much better its not funny. They'd push USC's line around like rag dolls.

oracle80 11-20-2006 11:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BellamyRd.
wait what are we debating?
the strength of Ohio State? or that there should be a rematch?
I'm saying Arkansas can't beat both LSU and Florida in consecutive weeks
I saw most of the OSU-Mich anyway, because I was so disheartened by
the way my team was playing
anyhow, my opinion is there should not be a rematch, Arkansas is a 2-3 loss team, and SC is young and talented and will give ND a real tussle
oh and OSU couldn't beat LSU and UF on the same day

Dude,
What game were you watching.
I'm not kidding, OSU could beat an allstar team from both the LSU-Fla squads on the road.
Fla sure looked highly impressive beating South Carolina at home by a point because SC botched the field goal didn't they?
How about LSu having to go to OT at home to beat Miss?
Dude, you are WAY out there on this one.

BellamyRd. 11-20-2006 11:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
Dude,
What game were you watching.
I'm not kidding, OSU could beat an allstar team from both the LSU-Fla squads on the road.
Fla sure looked highly impressive beating South Carolina at home by a point because SC botched the field goal didn't they?
How about LSu having to go to OT at home to beat Miss?
Dude, you are WAY out there on this one.

see Illinois game (2-10)

oracle80 11-20-2006 11:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dixie Porter
There is no "justice" in the world we live in (I hope:D ).

If USC doesn't run the table they're toast. The networks are drooling for USC/OSU.

I have a huge overhead and could really use this "future" (unlesss you can come up with a few 10/1 shots for me).;)

Had one on Saturday, these Jump Starts can really run.
17 winners so far in his first crop, not one of them out of a mare you ever heard of.
They wanna go long, and are only going to get better.
Forget the football games and betting, just take that spare cash and go and buy some Jump Starts and give em to your main man out there.

pgardn 11-20-2006 11:44 AM

Real fair Oracle?

Ohio St. goes 2-0 vs. Michigan and wins Nat. Championship
Michigan goes 1-1 vs. Ohio State and wins Nat. Championship.

No way. MOve on.

Next. Ohio St. really outplayed them badly despite the score. I thought Michigan's defense got ripped. Next please. USC or Florida , West Virginia or even Arkansas (not even close to the same team that got trounced by USC 1st game) I would even accept ND, dont think they beat USC though.

BUT NOT MICHIGAN AGAIN. ITS DONE.

playoffs, will we ever see them in my lifetime...

BellamyRd. 11-20-2006 11:53 AM

the reason the rematch should be null and void is we don't know the strength of the Big Ten~ it looks top-heavy to me with OSU, Michigan & Wisconsin: and OSU didn't even play Wisconsin, The SEC has 5 teams in the BCS top 15!

oracle80 11-20-2006 11:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pgardn
Real fair Oracle?

Ohio St. goes 2-0 vs. Michigan and wins Nat. Championship
Michigan goes 1-1 vs. Ohio State and wins Nat. Championship.

No way. MOve on.

Next. Ohio St. really outplayed them badly despite the score. I thought Michigan's defense got ripped. Next please. USC or Florida , West Virginia or even Arkansas (not even close to the same team that got trounced by USC 1st game) I would even accept ND, dont think they beat USC though.

BUT NOT MICHIGAN AGAIN. ITS DONE.

playoffs, will we ever see them in my lifetime...


So you think the Florida Florida St rematch was unfair?
Only thing that woulda been unfair that year woulda been Florida losing the championship due to a narrow road loss vs FSU. They were the two best teams, they rematched on a neutral field, and Florida pounded the hell out of them.
Very deserving national champs they were.
I'm sorry but regualr season games aren't played on a neutral site.
You obviously don't realize the 3-4 point advantage given by vegas(if they don't know, who does?) to the home team. Any road loss falling within that margin of error is conisidred close enough to have the game designated as one that neither team distinguished superiority.
Its not like NFL playoff football, where the home team in playoffs has earned it by superior regualr season record, its simply an every other year swap thing.
One question Pgard, I'll give you three matchups
OSU- Florida
OSU-USC
OSU- Michigan

which game has the closest vegas spread between the teams?

BellamyRd. 11-20-2006 12:08 PM

I thought the FSU deal was unfair
college gives you home field advantage one year, and away the next
if you get beat away, wait until next year
plus why does Vegas have any say in the National Championship?
OSU could not have gone through this minefield:
at Tennessee
Alabama
LSU
at auburn
UGA
SEC Championship: vs. Arkansas
without suffering a loss, no way

Nascar1966 11-20-2006 12:08 PM

Bcs
 
Anyone but Notre Dame. Beating up on the three service acadamies should get you nothing in return. Man up join a real conference Notre Dame.

oracle80 11-20-2006 12:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BellamyRd.
I thought the FSU deal was unfair
college gives you home field advantage one year, and away the next
if you get beat away, wait until next year
plus why does Vegas have any say in the National Championship?
OSU could not have gone through this minefield:
at Tennessee
Alabama
LSU
at auburn
UGA
SEC Championship: vs. Arkansas
without suffering a loss, no way

Yeah they could have.
Tennesee? Just ok
Same with Auburn and LSU.
Georgia? not even as good as the other three.
Arkansas probably best of the bunch you named.

Answer my question, which matchup has the closest spread.

pgardn 11-20-2006 12:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
OSU- Florida
OSU-USC
OSU- Michigan

which game has the closest vegas spread between the teams?

Depends on how badly Florida trashes ARkansas or USc dismantles ND. If USC destroys ND it would be USC.

And what the hell does the spread have to do with anything? You rate Michigan highly for one major reason, they destroyed Notre Dame in South Bend. Michigan has played one really tough team, Ohio State. The Big 10 is BAD. I had them ranked as the toughest conference at the beginnng but I have seen too much on TV. As much as I hate to admit it because I am not a big fan of the pac-10 but...
1. SEC
2. Pac-10

I have watched many of these games and this is apparent to me. The other major conferences are about the same level.
I will also add that if ND crushes USC, I would like to see them against OSU. I just dont think thats gonna happen. If it does, and Florida does not look good against Ark. in the SEC title game. OSU-ND. Problem is as we look thru a season as a whole, in hindsight it is clear ND schedule was not nearly as tough as I thought it was going to be. And they got away with some really lucky wins against bad teams, Mich St. and UCLA.

LSU is the best team I personally have seen. They have not played the best football though.

oracle80 11-20-2006 12:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nascar1966
Anyone but Notre Dame. Beating up on the three service acadamies should get you nothing in return. Man up join a real conference Notre Dame.

Dude this is ridiculous.
Georgia tech on the Road.
USC on the road.
Mich St on the Road.
Michigan home.
Penn St home

Thats a tougher schedule than most teams. Obviously the SEC is hardest, but ND's schedule contains enough tough games to certainly call it no joke.
I guess playing arizona and zona st, the oregons, etc is a real toughy huh?
pac 10 is the weakest conference going.


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