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We don't know what track conditions will be, what racing luck he will have, even if he can stay healthy until June. There is a reason we have not had a Triple Crown winner since 1978. Animal Kingdom may turn out to be the second coming of Affirmed. But since the horse has only five lifetime starts and will now make three starts in five weeks, I like my chances. Paul |
The Greek is offering 6.9-1 that there will be a TC:
Will there be a 2011 Triple Crown winner 4001 Yes +690 4002 No -1010 5Dimes is offering 3.25-1 on Animal Kingdom winning the Preakness: Sat 5/21 101 Animal Kingdom wins Preakness +325 6:30PM 102 Field wins Preakness --Dunbar |
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What I really want to know is how someone actually moved a horse up off Catalano?
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put down the mint juleps
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I definitely think AK is good enough to beat this bunch two more times. My main question is the time between races. I know that's not particularly insightful, and it's probably stating the obvious.
But he had six weeks between the Spiral and the Derby, and now he has just two weeks before the Preakness. So I'm not totally sure he'll be back at his peak and have that same turn of foot at Pimlico. |
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Courier Journal with a good list of Preakness possibles.
http://www.courier-journal.com/inter...eakness-Stakes |
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I realize that the conventional wisdom seems to be that a faster pace in the Preakness will only help Animal Kingdom's chances. With the slow pace in the Derby, the race was run like a turf race. That may explain why so many of the turf/synthetic horses seemed to run well on Saturday. If horses like Flashpoint and Dance City join the fray in Baltimore, the pace is almost assured to be much faster, and I'm not sure that a faster pace necessarily helps Animal Kingdom's chances in the Preakness.
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The issue that he would run into in a fast paced race is if JV asks him to stay too close because he's uncomfortable about being too far back. I don't really see that happening because he seems to be the type of horse that can almost be placed anywhere. |
I'm sorry, now horses handle a surface because of the ( theoretical ) dynamics of a race? OK.....good luck with that one.
Just an aside....this Derby did NOT have a slow pace. It had a pace that was slow for the KY Derby, which usually has a wicked pace, but it was not on the slow side of par. It was a fairly run race and the best horse won. |
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Ya I noticed that too. . .
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PREAKNESS FIELD
Committed: 1. Animal Kingdom 2. Dialed In 3. Shackleford 4. Astrology 5. Concealed Idenity 6. Dance City 7. Flashpoint 8. King Congie 9. Prime Cut 10. Norman Asbjornson 11. Sway Away Possible Mr. Commons Santiva Saratoga Red Doubtful Nehro Midnight Interlude The Factor Mucho Macho Man |
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