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8/30 (SAR): Forego; Woodward (Gr. I's)
9th (5:13) Forego S. (G1)
7 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $250,000 2 First Defence Hill C 119 L 1 Forefathers Prado E S 117 L 3 Eternal Star Velazquez J R 117 L 4 Bold Start Albarado R J 117 L 1A Ferocious Fires Velasquez C 117 L 5 Premium Wine Leparoux J R 117 L 6 Real Estate Coa E M 117 L 7 Lucky Island (ARG) Garcia Alan 121 L 8 Greeley's Conquest Chavez J F 117 L 9 Tasteyville Luzzi M J 117 L A-Coupled: Forefathers and Premium Wine 10th (5:45) Woodward S. (G1) 1 1/8 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $500,000 1 A. P. Arrow Velasquez C 126 Blk-Off L 2 Loose Leaf Coa E M 126 L 3 Past the Point Prado E S 126 L 4 Divine Park Garcia Alan 126 L 5 Curlin Albarado R J 126 L 6 Dr. D. F. C. Arboleda A 126 L 7 Out of Control (BRZ) Velazquez J R 126 L 8 Wanderin Boy Leparoux J R 126 L |
Over/Under on how many lengths Dr. D.F.C. loses by?
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wanderin boy is the play, IMO..... his last race makes him at least competitive with curlin and if he is on a uncontested lead, he can steal this
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Dr Dfc Will Destroy This Field!!! Curlin Better Be Scared!
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Divine Park is in the tricky position of possibly having to sacrifice whatever minimal chance he has of being competitive here by attacking Wanderin Boy too early.
I haven't finished the work on the race, but it seems logical that the only way to make money in this race is to pitch Divine Park completely. |
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I agree with ArlJim too that Divine Park seems to have as much speed, if not more than Wanderin Boy. But I don't think they'd go to the front with him because of how he's won his last two. If he found himself on the lead, ok, but I don't think they'd push to try to be there and would readily concede it to Wanderin Boy. I don't anticipate a pace nearly as fast though as Divine Park has gotten in his last couple though. That, coupled with the fact that he'll probably be up closer early, will make his seemingly brilliant late run seem a little less brilliant. At what point does he go after WB? Will he have enough to hold off Curlin? He's got too many questions to answer for me and I'm going to believe he can't answer them all. If he does, hats off to him. But I'm going against him completely here. Curlin Out of Control Wanderin Boy Out of Control has two races on the dirt on his record with one win. Both were around two turns and both produced figures in the 90's. Being that they weren't overly horrible and considering that this is Frankel not ducking for an easy spot, you've got to give him a little longer look than normal. I'm taking a shot here with him to run second. |
the "woodward " should be renamed since the distance AND track has changed........how about the "saratoga classic ":confused:
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It's been 1 1/8 for quite a while. The name should not be changed. |
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and now at ALL 3 major new york tracks.......i guess i always think of the bid, slew, affirmed ect going 10f at belmont. |
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It was 12 Furlongs in the mid 70s. |
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Then again, I thought NYRA was a sure thing to lose the contract. So what do I know? I would be interested in something though. If you don't mind sharing, what goes into your "work on the race"? |
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i stand corrected, i remember when alysheba set a then track record when he
battled forty niner down the stretch at belmont and just figured the race was always 10f:rolleyes: |
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Was there a jockey change to Prado that I'm not aware of? |
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