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And, the distance incentive has been a BUST, IMO. Do we really need $70k maiden route races? How about we use that EXTRA cash in writing some BETTER races for BETTER horses. Seems to me, the quality of horses is down this year as there are other options for them (at comparable purses). While the quality of the fields doesn't really affect my handicapping, as I know the turf horses well and I've pretty much accepted that there just won't be as many quality turf races in NY anymore, I do, every so often, want to see a nice competitive turf race. If I wanted CLAIMERS, I'd focus on DEL, CNL, Maryland, and (in a lesser sense) AP and MTH. I realize that SAR offers a nice ON TRACK experience. For the OFF track player, however, it's very much an ordinary (even subpar) one. |
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Sacrifice one of the courses in bad weather?
Come on, you're smarter than that. Honestly. |
The problem is that the better races DONT FILL. The trainers want to run their allowance stock every 6 weeks so those races don't go.
The additional money in overnight races has hurt the stakes program though. A filly like Nehantic Cat is through her NY bred conditions yet instead of going in the Yaddo against multiple stakes winners, Tagg had the option to run for and $85k purse on Wed against NW1x fillies. Purse for Yaddo against filies like Rewrite, $100K or $60k to winner, before expenses. Purse for allowance $85k or $51k. I know $9k is alot of money but for the difference in the expected quality of the fields, it's a no brainer, especially after paying trainer/rider fees etc. PJ is giving trainers too many options. Why card a 9f "overnight" stakes 30 minutes before the Jim Dandy with the same conditions as the G2? In the example above, if the allowance that Nehantic Cat won had a $50k purse, she might have gone for the stakes. A few months ago he carded an overnight sprint for NYB fillies with a $85k purse. The following day was an open overnight for fillies with the same purse. The open race didn't fill. Why not just card the open and force the trainers of good NYB's to run in it. Instead they got a short field of NYB mares. Makes no sense... |
In many respects, the racing office is in a "damned if you do, damned if you don't" situation on the overnight stakes program. My sense is that a few years ago, several NW2x or NW3X allowance-type horses were shipping to places like Monmouth or Delaware to run in overnight/$70K stakes races. To keep them at home, NYRA bolstered its own overnight program. One of the unforeseen consequences is that, given the state of racing today, it has cannibalized the overnight allowance program (especially with 3YO races, where the stakes are glorified NW1/2X-type races). But at least the horses are generally staying home now. Should there be a greater purse difference between the allowance/overnight stakes and the "featured" stakes races? Probably.
Two other thoughts: I am not a fan of the extra races that NYRA is carding, especially with the 6 day race week. (I almost feel like I'm at Calder or Gulfstream.) Aside from taxing the horse population (and leading to lesser quality fields being needed), I think it taxes the fans as well. There's something about being able to leave the track at a reasonable hour. Combined with an average of 33 minutes between races (about 1-2 minutes per race additional this year), it's tough. Approximate post for Thursday's 10th race is 6:04 PM. That's not good. In the past, that race, even on a weekend, would go off around 5:45 PM. Finally, I'm also perplexed by the positioning of the stakes races on the cards. I understand that, when there is a short field in the given race, they may want to move it to get it out of the late pic-4 or pic-6. However, the positioning of the stakes races this past Sunday was downright baffling. The Yaddo was the fourth race of the day, while the West Point (an excellent betting race with a full field) was the seventh race on an 11 race card. Meanwhile, the next sequence of races consisted of a $35K NW2L claimer for fillies at 5.5F, an NY-bred NW2X and an open NW1X allowance. |
The difficulty of the races that fill at Saratoga are not worth the extra few thousand. Trainers realize they are much better off going to Delaware of Monmouth.
Training racehorses has become a game of percentages. You don't get good win and in the money percentages running in tough fields. You go where the softer fields are. Saratoga is slowly becoming stakes races with some NY bred races as filler. |
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The distance incentive has NOT been a bust, IMO. How many would have been in the Unbridled's Heart race a couple Saturdays ago if the purse incentive was not there? It would have been a 5-6 horse field with a heavy favorite, not exactly a fun gambling experience. There's a couple things I've had an issue with. (1) Writing races that cannabalize their own feature events (i.e., the race before the Jim Dandy and the 3YO filly sprint stake on Test day.) (2) Going to the California-style layout of the races, putting the shorter fields in the beginning of the day, in an attempt to induce pick-6 carryovers (which given the moderate size of the pick 6 pools relative to CA, isn't worth it). As for the quality horses thing... they're just not out there. Find me a horse that is running at another meet that would normally be running in NY. |
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Just to clarify some confusion....
Not one horse in the Allowance before the Jim Dandy was going to run in the Jim Dandy ( which PJ knew ) and as a consequence we now have two new starters, and contenders, for the Travers. If this was a mistake on his part he should continue screwing things up. |
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Also, while it looks like it may have worked out well so far as creating two possible Travers starters, I think it's probably a stretch to say that PJ "knew" that no one from that stakes race would have contested the Jim Dandy when the condition book came out the first week of July. Tizbig, for example, had just finished second in the Dwyer, and Pascal was a "wiseguy" selection in the Saratoga race off an interesting running line in the Dwyer as well. |
Andy
If that's the case, good for PJ. I do think that some of the additions have hurt the stakes program. |
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Herein lies the difference.....you think....while I know. |
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I'm not necessarily arguing with this. I just wanted to be clear on the race before the Jim Dandy. |
The Dandy worked out but the carding of the 3yo filly sprint on the same day as the Test was a big mistake. The Test has drawn fields in the past even with heavy favorites simply cause it is the last G1 of the racing season for 3yo fillies so people will take the shot. The last four years it drew 12, 13, 9, and 12 horse fields. This year it was a joke.
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Anyone know if Fairbanks will try the Woodward?
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Because its a huge purse, he loves Saratoga and who besides Curlin would he have to face? 2nd place pays out a lot of money.
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There is a lot of competition for horseflesh to fill good races, we all agree with that. A 3YO wanting to go in an age restricted stakes race at a mile and an eighth could choose the Jim Dandy for $500k, the WV Derby for $750k, and the Haskell for $1,000,000 all within that week, not to mention, for those that were still N1X eligible an $80k allowance against 3YO's. Why would anyone in their right mind write a condition that gives the trainers an out? You don't want to go in the Dandy? Fine, run against older in an N2X or ship out to Chester, WV. Save the barn space for someone who actually wants to run. Oh wait, I forgot- Pyro is such a monster they were all avoiding him :rolleyes: |
Just be thankful that it is raining out again and the drought is staved off for another day.
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By the way, half of the fillies that should have been running in Friday's Lake George went in Saturday's Madame Jumel Stakes...
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