SniperSB23 |
05-02-2008 12:36 PM |
Tough to pick between the top three but I'm leaning towards Bsharpsonata. She hasn't had the chance to go beyond a mile on dirt and certainly has a pedigree that would suggest 9 furlongs might be perfect for her. She has the conditioning from the turf and synthetics where she does quite well but I think she's ready to fire a huge one on the dirt.
Next I like Pure Clan. A win by her would certainly flatter Eight Belles and Alina and the only question mark is whether the figure increases going from Churchill to Oaklawn were simply a matter of maturity or indicate she's better at OP.
Proud Spell is certainly capable and it will be interesting to see how the bettors handle her third in the Ashland (which is meaningless in my opinion). If she gets overlooked cause of that race she offers great value. If the bettors looks past that and see her class and she goes off at 2/1 or less it is tough to like her at that price with Bsharp and Pure Clan in the field.
Long way back from the top three to Little Belle, Awesome Chic, Elusive Lady, and the darkhorse Rasierra who all should be battling for fourth. Rasierra may not have the pedigree that suggests 9 furlongs is up her alley but it is tough to argue with her results where she's got better at longer distances.
I'm confident that Golden Doc A is a toss. She gets better at shorter distances so it is unlikely she is going to be doing much running at the end. Looks like a nice filly at 7 furlongs to a mile but I don't like her at all at 9. She might be able to beat Absolutely Sindy at least to avoid the embarassment of a last place finish.
$1 Super
Bsharpsonata
Pure Clan, Proud Spell
Pure Clan, Proud Spell
Little Belle, Awesome Chic, Elusive Lady, Rasierra
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