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-   -   7/6: Belmont ($303k Carry) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=14833)

philcski 07-06-2007 01:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Yeha, that would be the smart thing to do, but I like some things later....

Scav's ticket
4: 2,12
5: 2,9
6: 6
7: 3,9,10
8: 1
9: 1,7

$48, gonna punch it 3 times

4: 2,12
5: 2,9
6: 6
7: 3,9,10
8: 5
9: 1,7

$48, gonna punch this one once

Interesting approach; why punch it three times instead of getting more coverage?

Also, the 7 is interesting in the last. Im debating adding her in my backup ticket for an extra $24.

I like the 4 a bit but Lycius' are just miserable on dirt (less than 11% winners in nearly 2,500 starts.)

Scav 07-06-2007 01:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
Interesting approach; why punch it three times instead of getting more coverage?

Also, the 7 is interesting in the last. Im debating adding her in my backup ticket for an extra $24.

I like the 4 a bit but Lycius' are just miserable on dirt (less than 11% winners in nearly 2,500 starts.)

I am bailing on it, becuase YB won't let me deposit. I actually love the Hollywood Card tonight, the pick six is a pick four and the pool will be the same size

knickslions2 07-06-2007 01:36 PM

Pick 6

2,12
1,9
2,8,9
6,9
1,2
1,7,13

A little better with the scratches but this is still tough. I love the 12 in race 4 (even though I covered myself with the 2).

philcski 07-06-2007 01:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
I am bailing on it, becuase YB won't let me deposit. I actually love the Hollywood Card tonight, the pick six is a pick four and the pool will be the same size

what legs are you singling in the Hwd card

Scav 07-06-2007 01:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
what legs are you singling in the Hwd card

First and 2nd

1 with 6

I like Clinet and Ellis's horse a little in the G2 sprint

Matter of fact, i am going to pick every winner tonight at Hollywood, I am depositing $500 and it will be spent this way.

$68 Pick Four
1: 6
2: 7
3: 4
4: 1

$2 Pick Six = $432
4: 1
5: 6
6: 2,3,7
7: 1,2,7,9
8: 1,2,3,5,6,8,9
9: 6,8,9

Scav 07-06-2007 02:00 PM

I was considering a $500 straight pick three starting in race 3: 4/1/6 but I thought against it, the P6 is better spent. Not 100% confident in the 4 in the 3rd, but I love the sheet....Love the sheets on the 1 and 6 in the 4th and 5th

robfla 07-06-2007 02:04 PM

baffert gets beat

Scav 07-06-2007 02:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by robfla
baffert gets beat

Rob my friend, not in that race, that horse dueled with Taints War Sir who ran well last out and is progressing real well. I see nothing else in that race. Baffert loses my day and roll is shot for the night...

philcski 07-06-2007 02:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Rob my friend, not in that race, that horse dueled with Taints War Sir who ran well last out and is progressing real well. I see nothing else in that race. Baffert loses my day and roll is shot for the night...

I agree, Baffert is an A+ single in there. I have less faith in Price Tag than you, however- I like Precious Kitten a bit...

Coach Pants 07-06-2007 02:59 PM

Race 3
Pick 3
4
1,7,12
3,6,9
Also a win wager on the 4

Scav 07-06-2007 03:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
I agree, Baffert is an A+ single in there. I have less faith in Price Tag than you, however- I like Precious Kitten a bit...

Phil, that horse is a mortal lock tonight, I agree about Precious Kitten, but I am telling you, Price Tag at a Mile is unbeatable IMO. her last sheet number is absolutely monsterous (BC Mile Winner monsterous). There will be some speed in this race so she will be able to close. I fear ZERO of the Japanese. Prado is not coming out here for his health, especially with all the money floating around this weekend all over the country

Rudeboyelvis 07-06-2007 03:27 PM

Belmont P6
 
R4) 2,12
R5) 1,2,3,4,9
R6) 2,7,8,9
R7) 1,9
R8) 1,2,5
R9) 1

480.00

Storm Cadet 07-06-2007 03:42 PM

your boy ran without the blinks...scav...those horses stunk...some are still running

knickslions2 07-06-2007 03:42 PM

Belmont Race 4 - #12 Carrs and Stripes the winner. Easy race...They do get lots harder

fpsoxfan 07-06-2007 03:42 PM

Ok Folks. A bit of a minor red board here, but let me explain. I've been on sabbatical since the day after the Belmont. But put a kid next to a cookie jar long enough and he's going to grab one. So anyway, I took a consensus of Steve, Philsci, Dellinger and Scav and played my ticket at my local OTB and this is what I came up with.

12
2,9
2,6,9
9
1,5
1,7

$48

I watched the first leg at the OTB and then came right home to share my ticket info with all of you. Good Luck!! Pat

philcski 07-06-2007 03:48 PM

I don't like that the 9 isn't taking money right now. He should be 2-1 against this bunch of bums.

Scav 07-06-2007 03:55 PM

You watch that I would have hit those tickets. I am praying for a bomb so I won't hit them...

pmacdaddy 07-06-2007 03:57 PM

I will try late pick4:
R6 - 1,2,6,7,9,10
R7 - 1,3,9
R8 - 1,4,5
R9 - 1
$54

Like the confidence with HOL tonight. Think I will tune in and poach some plays...

Good Luck!

Rudeboyelvis 07-06-2007 03:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
I don't like that the 9 isn't taking money right now. He should be 2-1 against this bunch of bums.

Phil - what do you make of the 7 getting bought down to 5-1 from 12-1 m/l? Don't see anything in the form to justify - never better than 4th at this condition....2 min to post...the 9 is 2-1 :)


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