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-   -   300 dollar horse at GP3 (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=10772)

randallscott35 03-12-2007 03:35 PM

[quote=Antitrust32]
Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35
Anti, the one big exacta that happened was a 3-1 over a 25-1. Those are the ones she needs....not the other way around. The big faves won't get it done for her...

And regarding the sample size...this will easily take a month. 32 in 4 days of busy racing works out to a month easy...Like I said, I'd be willing to go to 350 or 400 but not if its clear cut at 250....[/QUOTE]

you are correct randall, i confused the Total Races So Far--111 for being the sample size. 250 should be a good size

as far as the 3-1 over the 25-1 goes, you are right, those are the ones she needs. which is funny because those are the ones she wouldnt play. also i believe she said for the bet to be made it would have to be a 20-1 shot or higher.. anyways this is a very good study and good luck to both. I am thinking about going though a few months of races to find out the percentage that heavy favorites win at compared to "favorites"

The ones she needs are the ones she doesn't play---in a nut shell, that is why in real life her method makes even less sense....But I didn't mean to start this in this thread---just a joke with Grits, should've put it in the main thread--carry on.

Antitrust32 03-12-2007 03:43 PM

[quote=randallscott35]
Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32
The ones she needs are the ones she doesn't play---in a nut shell, that is why in real life her method makes even less sense....But I didn't mean to start this in this thread---just a joke with Grits, should've put it in the main thread--carry on.

its all good.. "300 dollar horse at GP3" made for a good discussion today


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