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-   -   Tips/Thoughts on Breeders' Cup tickets this year? (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=24969)

fpsoxfan 10-21-2008 09:14 AM

That's it....The Breeder's Cup is horrible. I'm not watching. I think I'll go to the woods and look for scat. Come on folks, sure the quality is down and it's on Poly or pro-ride or whatever, but it's still a fun day if you are a horse racing fan. It's still better than a Mid-February Aqueduct inner track card.

blackthroatedwind 10-21-2008 09:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC
If my memory is correct, Arcangues is the only European horse to go turf to dirt to win the Classic, ironically it was at Santa Anita hunch players. :$:


Right, but he beat a very weak field, and Sahkee, Giant's Causeway, and even Ibn Bay all ran much better in defeat.

Antitrust32 10-21-2008 09:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by declansharbor
That was soooo last week.

:rolleyes:

oh yeah my bad! ;)

blackthroatedwind 10-21-2008 09:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fpsoxfan
That's it....The Breeder's Cup is horrible. I'm not watching. I think I'll go to the woods and look for scat. Come on folks, sure the quality is down and it's on Poly or pro-ride or whatever, but it's still a fun day if you are a horse racing fan. It's still better than a Mid-February Aqueduct inner track card.

I doubt I will have many February days where my handle is less than it will be on all 14 BC races combined.

fpsoxfan 10-21-2008 10:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
I doubt I will have many February days where my handle is less than it will be on all 14 BC races combined.



I don't doubt that Andy and I understand your stance on this issue. You've never been a big fan of this day and I understand that. I'm just saying in general that it's not as bad as some people are making it out to be. I'm still looking forward to a good time with my friends like we do on most "big" days in horse racing.

odbaxter 10-21-2008 10:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SniperSB23
I've seen it up close, no way it is 87% dirt.

I need help here. Is it going to play more like Poly and Tapeta (apparent advantage to closers and turf types) or is it going to play more like dirt. Who cares what it is made off? I just want to know how it will play.

Is there any chance that the track supers will adjust how it is going to play? Speed it up? Water it? I don't have any confidence playing the non grass races.

CSC 10-21-2008 10:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Right, but he beat a very weak field, and Sahkee, Giant's Causeway, and even Ibn Bay all ran much better in defeat.

Giant's Causeway ran a heck of a race to Tiznow.

fpsoxfan 10-21-2008 10:37 AM

After reading today's Cristblog on DRF about the overall earnings of the entrants I'm even a little more interested.

10 pnt move up 10-21-2008 11:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
I doubt I will have many February days where my handle is less than it will be on all 14 BC races combined.

Is it because it is in California or because its on synthetic? If its synthetic I assume you dont play Kee on the main track anymore.

Antitrust32 10-21-2008 12:21 PM

I'm not sure what I'll end up watching this Sat, the BC or college football.

The only thing that seems remotely interesting is Curlin & his Con-Ride experience.

Sure there are a few okay horses running like Zenyetta, IB and... and... well I cant come up with another. UGH!

fpsoxfan 10-21-2008 12:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32
I'm not sure what I'll end up watching this Sat, the BC or college football.

The only thing that seems remotely interesting is Curlin & his Con-Ride experience.

Sure there are a few okay horses running like Zenyetta, IB and... and... well I cant come up with another. UGH!

Of course this one will be running Friday.

King Glorious 10-21-2008 01:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up
Is it because it is in California or because its on synthetic? If its synthetic I assume you dont play Kee on the main track anymore.

Nobody plays Keeneland's main track anymore. Have you seen the statistics from their meet?

I don't know the amounts each individual on this board bets but I know Andy is not alone in this. Not even close. I personally will play very little, if any, on the main track races. I just do not like games of chance that much. I like gambling on horses because I feel confident that I can read a form, know the horses, and make an informed decision on where my money will go. I have ZERO such confidence in that on this track.

Antitrust32 10-21-2008 01:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fpsoxfan
Of course this one will be running Friday.


You are right... both Zen and Indian Blessing are running on Friday.


That makes Saturday suck even more!

Kasept 10-21-2008 01:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious
Nobody plays Keeneland's main track anymore. Have you seen the statistics from their meet?

I don't know the amounts each individual on this board bets but I know Andy is not alone in this. Not even close. I personally will play very little, if any, on the main track races. I just do not like games of chance that much. I like gambling on horses because I feel confident that I can read a form, know the horses, and make an informed decision on where my money will go. I have ZERO such confidence in that on this track.

KG...

With all due respect, the 'games of chance' out is the widespread excuse for those unwilling to work at capping and playing synthetic tracks. The Oak Tree racing has been fair and formful on the dirt-lile Pro-Ride surface, and regulars of West Coast circuit play have stated they aren't even thinking there is any unusually 'unique' aspect to the oval.

King Glorious 10-21-2008 01:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
KG...

With all due respect, the 'games of chance' out is the widespread excuse for those unwilling to work at capping and playing synthetic tracks. The Oak Tree racing has been fair and formful on the dirt-lile Pro-Ride surface, and regulars of West Coast circuit play have stated they aren't even thinking there is any unusually 'unique' aspect to the oval.

I think you are looking at it the wrong way. It's been fair and formful.....to those that have already been stabled out in California or have shown an ability to handle a synthetic track. Some people looked at the results of the Goodwood, Oak Leaf, Ancient Title, and Lady's Secret and said they proved that it's formful. But think about it. Well Armed had already shown he liked synthetics. So had Stardom Bound and the runner-up in the Oak Leaf. The 1-2-3 finishers in the Ancient Title were all proven performers on synthetics. And Zenyatta is just a beast that can win on anything. But did you notice Hystericalady barely holding for second after the pace scenario she had? What the track showed it was is similar to other synthetics and holds the form of those races. But it still told us nothing about how horses that haven't run on it, Curlin for instance, will perform. It didn't tell us if the best horses will win the races or the best synthetic horses will win the races. That's the great unknown and for a lot of bettors, it's too big of one.

letswastemoney 10-21-2008 02:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious
I think you are looking at it the wrong way. It's been fair and formful.....to those that have already been stabled out in California or have shown an ability to handle a synthetic track. Some people looked at the results of the Goodwood, Oak Leaf, Ancient Title, and Lady's Secret and said they proved that it's formful. But think about it. Well Armed had already shown he liked synthetics. So had Stardom Bound and the runner-up in the Oak Leaf. The 1-2-3 finishers in the Ancient Title were all proven performers on synthetics. And Zenyatta is just a beast that can win on anything. But did you notice Hystericalady barely holding for second after the pace scenario she had? What the track showed it was is similar to other synthetics and holds the form of those races. But it still told us nothing about how horses that haven't run on it, Curlin for instance, will perform. It didn't tell us if the best horses will win the races or the best synthetic horses will win the races. That's the great unknown and for a lot of bettors, it's too big of one.

I agree!! Everyone is saying Zenyatta crushed her. But HL set fractions of 24 and 48 and didn't even put up a fight.

There is something wrong with that picture......Any G1 quality horse should win with that kind of pace.

Kasept 10-21-2008 02:50 PM

Final Decisions
 
Awesome Gem: Mile (2)
Black Magic Mama: Juvenile Fillies (1)
Casino Drive: Classic (1)
Coronet of a Baron: Juvenile Turf (2)
Dave ’s Revenge: Juvenile Fillies (2)
Dream Empress: Juvenile Fillies (1)
Elusive Bluff: Juvenile (1)
Emmy Darling: Juvenile Fillies Turf (1)
Evita Argentina: Juvenile Fillies (1)
Fairbanks: Classic (2)
First Defence: Sprint (1)
Gallant Son: Juvenile (1)
Goldikova: Mile (1)
Indian Blessing: Filly & Mare Sprint (1)
Lewis Michael: Dirt Mile (1)
Lord Admiral: Dirt Mile (2)
Mast Track: Dirt Mile (2)
Mine That Bird: Juvenile (1)
Precious Kitten: Mile (1)
Pyro: Dirt Mile (2)
Raven ’s Pass: Classic (1)
Rebellion: Dirt Mile (1)
Renda: Juvenile Fillies Turf (1)
Saucey Evening: Juvenile Fillies Turf (1)
Slew ’s Tizzy: Dirt Mile (2)
Spring House: Turf (1)
Ventura: Filly & Mare Sprint (1)
Well Armed: Dirt Mile (1)

SCUDSBROTHER 10-21-2008 02:57 PM

Raven ’s Pass: Classic (1)

LUV IT. Stay outta my mile.

fpsoxfan 10-21-2008 04:23 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32
You are right... both Zen and Indian Blessing are running on Friday.


That makes Saturday suck even more!

Attachment 1043






Oh....What do I do? Play the Breeder's Cup or play fetch..........hmmmm...

miraja2 10-21-2008 06:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by odbaxter
I need help here. Is it going to play more like Poly and Tapeta (apparent advantage to closers and turf types) or is it going to play more like dirt. Who cares what it is made off? I just want to know how it will play.

Over the first three weeks, frontrunners did not do particularly well on the Pro-Ride.
Last week however, a number of speed horses wired the field.

Thirteen out of the sixteen races there on Wednesday and Thursday are over the main track. The best way to guess at how the track will be playing on Friday and Saturday will be to watch how it plays in those thirteen races.


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