Best Bet: Race 6 #8 Yougottahavehope 9/2 - I get that De Paz has horrible numbers with these types but I think that might be largely irrelevant today besides maybe boosting the price. This filly is lightning quick out the gate based on the work and I really liked it visually. Expect her to pop out straight to the front and take them a long way, hopefully all the way.

Best Value: Race 8 #4 Clear the Air 6/1 - Not sure why the reluctance to get back to dirt but I think fits as well as any in here if still capable on dirt and the connections should ensure a good price.

Nice call TG

Good shot... had him to place

Tell me you played the pk three with singles and an all bet

Wish I could say I did. I'm alive to the 2,4/1,3,5 for a buck and 1,3/1,3,5 for .50 in the late pick 5....Queens MG about to win by the length of the stretch...

Really didn't want to make it 3/3 on predictions today :zz:

Going to be back with another for today and to update records a little later but wanted to post this one now...

Best Value: Race 3 #6 Principe D'Oro 8/1 - Not sure how good this one ultimately is but I have to give another shot after the ridiculous trip this one had earlier in the meet that I discussed previously on the the thread. Don't mind the cutback and drawing off the rail should help.

Best Bet: Race 7 #3 On The Ledge 6/1 -Really liked that last effort when finally dropped and I don't see anything in this field that really scares me off.

Bet: $160.00
Returned: $260.80

Struggled with the card today.

Best Bet: Race 9 #7 Marco T. 7/2 - Despite the win last out at 6 I think the 5.5 is going to be perfect for her style...Manny will have to time it right and not lose too much ground though.

Best Value: Race 9 #8 Ninja Abarrio 8/1 - Not sure I'm convinced this one is really good enough but did finish pretty well considering the wild trip two back. Kind if hung last out but gets an upgrade to Dylan today and seems to fit well enough.

With the races coming off the turf ill stick with Ninja Abarrio in the last although I won't claim a lot of confidence.

Race 9 switching to the MTO #9 Bank on Anna - maybe will be overbet as the lone MTO but on Beyers at least there are some faster options so maybe the price will be ok. Has some back races to be tough. Drawing a line through the last and thought the previous two were a little better than they look on paper.

Best Bet: Race 11 #4 Dot's Dollar 9/2 - Drawing a line through the last and think the cutback helps. Got an awkward inside trip chasing a fast pace, the run two back should win today.
Best Value: Race 12 #1 Golden Degree - no idea what to expect for a price but assume the other three will take a lot of money so could be OK. Exaggerated victories and not that fast but she's really moving up for Linda and with another step forward can win here, especially if you think Barayes last is as dressed up as I do.

Best Bet: Race 10 #7 More Than Looks 7/2 - Just think hes the best horse in here with the most upside to boot. In particularly I think he was much better than Carl Spackler in the Hall of Fame last year. I guess we will see if hes ready but based on the works I watched I think he is and might be the only time to get a price you can stomach if he's as good as I think.

Best Value: Race 5 #9 Charming Jim 8/1 - I know this horse is a real plodder but i thought Castellano gave him a bit of a passive ride in the last and he also lost momentum in the stretch. He seemed to be tiring anyway so I'm not sure it mattered that much but I wanted to give him a chance to turn the tables on Judge Rules today. I also might be making up a bit of a story in my head but I don't think he really likes the dirt and ran so poorly in the two dirt races off the freshening I don't think he got much out of those...so I'm viewing today as almost a second off the layoff where I'm hoping hell be more fit late and improve, he'll obviously need to.

Best Bet: Race 5 #6 Awesome Czech 5/2
Best Value: Race 7 #8 Backed by Gold 8/1

Ninja Abarrio and Bank on Anna were pretty flat Thursday.
Dots Dollar and Golden Degree were awful Saturday.
Charming Jim I thought was tons the best but was only good enough for third at 14/1. More Than Looks proved no match for Carl Spackler paying 3.80 to place.
Awesome Czech was a generous 7/2 today proving best and paying 9.70/4.50
Backed by Gold got a perfect ride by Romero paying 23/10.20

Bet: $192.00
Returned: $312.00

Best Bet Race 10 #4 Scrictly Taboo 6/1 - Not a flashy sort but I think can step up and beat these. I thought the race two back was very impressive and last time just did what was needed very professionally. Not exactly scared of anyone in here even though Risk Threshold was visually impressive last out...hoping that actually leads to that one being overbet.

Best Value: Race 9 #8 Charles J 8/1 - Despite what the beyers indicate I think this ones route was much stronger than the two sprints its sandwiched between...within the context of that race I thought ran much better than Wild Dancer and hopefully offers some value for the dangerous Joseph Lee/Frankie combo.

Good luck

Will make up for cancellations at some point.

Best Bet: Race 8: #8 Caroline Street
Best Value Race 10 #4 Wrigelyville

Best Bet: Race 10 #4 Just Basking 5/1 - Tricky race the Alabama came up this year. Obviously Candied can win but I wanted to beat her. I was originally leaning toward Miss Justify but I can't shake the feeling she might not get the added ground. This one certainly should, just a matter of if she classes up to these.

Best Value: Race 9 #2 Grayosh 8/1 - Not sure she's really good enough to beat She Feels Pretty or the Appleby horse everyone seems to be against (don't love her but don't totally get it either, she's a little scary to me)...but I have to give her another shot after the last where I thought she was much the best just forced to move a little early and wide. I'm hoping given the draw that Prat will be a little more aggressive early getting a little more forward while saving all the ground. I still think she's a little better than she looks on paper and might be still improving.

Best handicapper around
 

Dude thank your efforts.
I follow a lot of guys looking for value.
You are the best and I thank you

^Thanks. Glad you're finding it insightful.

Three pack today.

Race 9: #7 Playingwithmatches 8/1- I think he needed that last and will love the seven furlongs today. Seems to be spotted to win today. Hopefully Lezcano can work out the right kind of trip in a tricky field with a murky pace scenario to me.

Race 10 #2 Enfuega 4/1 - Two back was so impressive to me. Talk about doing all the dirty work...i really thought she was sitting on a big move forward off that and then for some reason they tried the turf. Hoping that is an easy cross off and it actually gets us a little value in here today. Not sure though because she still feels pretty obvious with IMO all the upside of these in here today.

Race 11 #16 Colloquy 5/1 - Hoping Irad off gets some value here because he really got this horse beat moving far too early in the last after completely missing the break. I do think this is stretching the distance limits here but if Junior can get him to break better today and time his move right, something I think hes usually really good at with these types, think he can get the money in here today.

Good luck

Thursdays runners scratched.
Caroline Street was terrible Friday. I watched the replay multiple times and still not sure if Wrigleyville wouldve been a winner but certainly took the worst of it in the stretch.
Saturday - would've been interesting if Landeros opted not to swing Just Basking into the parking lot, with that said he saved ground every step and she had a perfect setup, ultimately lacked a potent enough late kick with dead aim.
Grayosh was nice, been following this one closely a while now and good to get some vindication, even better was that Flavien did exactly what I was hoping and rode a masterful race which made the difference. Paid 17.60/5.10
Playingwithmatches was a bad pick yesterday. Overthought that race as my initial cap was to single Super Chief, who was on my watch list from a while back off a series of incredibly bad rides from Herrera.
Really disappointed in Enfuega yesterday. I was confident she would handle that field relatively easy, was a generous price and the favorite was as phony as I thought...somehow Enfuega was worse.
Junior got Colloquy out the gate and timed his move perfectly, perhaps a touch overconfident but still proved best at a generous 5/1 paying 13.80/6.40.

Bet: $224.00
Returned: $354.90

Best Bet: Race 9 #13 Kings Leap 5/1 - Not sure how much of a runner this one is but arguably the debut is better than anything in here imp and the last trip was a nightmare.

Best Value: Race 7 #9 Midnight Trouble 8/1 - Obviously drawing a line through the last, not really sure what to expect today as hes a bit inconsistent...but the better efforts, particularly that race two back, would make him pretty tough today.

Best Bet: Race 7 #2 Central Avenue 9/2 - Hoping the Irad money doesn't come but I've been really high on her and with Headline Numbers in here we might get an OK price.

Best Value: Race 10 #3 Arrasou 7/2 - Just viewing as a very likely winner and not sure this one will take as much support as usual for these connections.

Good luck.

Best Bet:Race 7 # 9 Good Conduct 5/1
Best Value: Race 11 #9 Turriga 6/1

Nice work so far. I’ll add one bet. Haven’t been able to look at much.

I’m going to bet this horse Corporate Power in the Travers. I honestly wasn’t a big fan of his early in his career but think maybe he’s ready to take a step forward and should be a monster price and suspect pace will setup for him to finish well.

Thanks Moses. You're with me on Corporate Power today. Might be more likely underneath but I think is steadily improving, could get the jump on Sierra Leone and the closers. Needs to improve and run straighter (ironically enough in a race with Sierra.

Best Bet: Race 12 #6 Timberlake 5/1 - I love this horse in here today. Think hes been begging for this turnback and some of the efforts are better than they look on paper to me. Perhaps he's just not that good, clearly has a lot of improving to do on figures but he has the tactical speed and all the makings of a classic cutback. Last chance for me in here to live up to the promise and should get a square number at least.

Best Bet#2: Race 10 #4 Society 4/1 - Don't love the vibes around Munnys Gold and think she's the only one capable of running with her early. If she doesn't have it today I think Society could be gone. Another that I think they've been fooled a bit trying to stretch and gets to do what she wants today. Maybe Vahva will run her down again but I love horses like this second off the layoff. Fully expect her to run huge and be tough to reel in late.

Best Value Race 13 #4 Corporate Power 15/1 - Mentioned above but will add I think Unmatched Wisdom is dangerous in here but think CP will be a better number and can turn the tables with added ground and expected pace. Another that might not get it done but I think is sitting on a peak effort today. Well see if he can move forward enough.

Quick thoughts on the other stakes/the 8th:

I considered making Rabaja a pick in the 8th. Liked the way he finished considering the issues he had early and don't think he ever really got comfortable. Scared of the post though and there's no telling how good Rhetorical really is. Will probably take a stab at a big price though

Sword Dancer - If Measured Time doesn't win ill be looking at the pick 4. I've never really bought into Silver Knott although I get it. I don't think Buick shipped in to run second though and I just think hes the goods. May try to get Far Bridge into second for the exacta but that might get overbet as I think everyone has the same thought.

Forego - I think Mullikin feels like the type everyone is trying to beat because of ML favoritism and maybe actually ends up the value. I think hes extremely fast and very legit. My main alternative is Cagliostro. Should be motoring late and I don't see why he wouldn't take to this turnback. Sharp spotting by Cherie IMO and would not surprise me a bit. Angkor and Gun Pilot have their merits and wouldn't shock me but think ill be sticking with my top two in most everything. Anyone else would really surprise me.

In the Allen Jerkens if Timberlake doesn't get it done I lean toward Jefferson Street and Speak Easy. I thought I would like Prince of Monaco more off his last but watching him train I didn't love...hed hardly surprise me but might be underlaid off that last trip when I needed him bad. Book'em Danno might shove me in a locker again but I don't like him at all in here today. World Record will have to prove it to me again today. Everyone seems to love Domestic Product but I don't see it at all...i think Prat likes the horse but too much being made of him "choosing" to ride for Chad/Klaravich.Kind of led me by default to Soeak Easy and Jefferson Street as my backups. I don't trust either at all but if Jefferson Street can prove that race two back was no fluke, and I think the last is a line through type race, look out. I was completely against Soeak Easy in his return race and was telling myself how smart I was for about 3/4's of that race then wow was he impressive...

Last thought I agree with Steve that the filly should not be dismissed in the Travers...i have it as Sierra's race to lose with the value on Corporate Power...but ill absolutely be using her. Cant afford to break poorly again but her "cruising speed" is incredibly impressive...she has tactical speed and has those gears that make her adaptable to any pace scenario. I think she proves best of the horses racing near the lead but gets gunned down in heartbreaking fashion late...hopefully by CP.

Good luck everyone.

Will recap tomorrow but another frustrating day...some good opinions but struggling to string them together this meet...been fruitful but feel like a lot left on the table...

Haven't had a ton iof success at this Del Mar meet but I think The Chosen Vron will continue his winning ways and I like a horse in the last...

$30 double 6/3 and will come back with like $50 win on the 3 in the last if TCV gets beat...

Liked the sprints from Highplainsdrifter ad while the last looks terrible I think it was almost too bad to be true. Really hungry field...not sure how much horse he truly is but we are getting a nice price to give one more shot with the added ground today due in part to low profile connections. Kent is very inconsistent but can still give a masterful ride now and again. Worth a shot to me but again I've been terrible at Del Mar...good luck

Got tied up but for today:
Best Bet Race 11 #3 Gallant Greta 6/1
Best Value Race 7 #3 LadyJasmine 20/1 - Takes a real leap of faith but she has numbers from last summer that make her competitive in here, maybe more if you think the Beyers were a little low like I do. Needs to find form but will be a huge price.

Good luck

Best Bet: Race 7 #8 Queens Masterpiece 8/1
Best Value: Race 8 #8 Merry and Bright 8/1

Best Bet: Race 9 #6 Skyler's Starship 9/2
Best Value: Race 8 #8 Emerald Forest 9/2

Best Bet Race 12 #5 Charles J 10/1 - scratched previously if you want to scroll back I like for similar reasons but mainly because I think the turf route was far and away his best rest and has muddled up form.
Best Value Race 9 #1 Moonlight Gal 6/1 - Seems like we will get a price wanted to ensure before posting based on some of the works. I just think this one is very fast and talented. Might prove too green and will have to break. Weaver overdue and Ricardo might help the price…if breaks though the rail has been good and I think it’s a talented runner so I’ll take a shot on a tough day

:zz::zz::zz:

Best Bet Race 11: #2 Sherbini 8/1 - Looking for a closer, not sure I have the right Casse but thought Sherbini at least figures to turn the tables on Queens MG at 7F.

Best Value: Race 13 #4 Miztertonic 8/1 - Race looks completely wide open, wanted to actually make a case for a true bomb but kept coming back here thinking that win although just against MCL by a nose fits in here. Might be ready for a small step forward today and that would put him right there at a square price.

Best Bet Race 11 #3 Rebel Red 8/1 - couldn’t have been more impressed last out and while it’s well documented he lost an eye since the last, Cherie really shouldn’t have felt compelled to enter here, particularly with Taking Candy. Think the price will be right to see if this one can overcome the new complications because this one is definitely a runner that was improving rapidly.

Best Value Race 6 #7 Get Ready to Rock 20/1 - I’m not so sure this one has that much ability but at the expected price I’m excited to give a chance. You can toss the two dirt races, I don’t think he can stand up on it. In the lone turf route he met a field that absolutely towers over these and did more running than the line suggests. Took a minor bump early and ultimately was not winning but was within a few lengths of a much better field before getting completely crushed. The turf sprint was a sizzler and he just clearly doesn’t have enough early foot to compete in those. Giving a shot today at the right level doing what he wants to do imo.

Not an official pick but I quite like Tapit Trice today. Obviously will need Arthurs Ride to regress a little but if getting 7/2 or more I’m going to take a big shot with. Looking back at the Travers I think he actually ran way better than Disarm who still has his fans. The Monmouth effort I initially dismissed a touch but watching back he just seems like a new horse. I don’t get the love I’ve seen from some sharp people on Highland Falls. I get the case to an extent but he blitzed him and showed no signs of anything but wanting more powerful through the wire. Hoping the price is fair.

I can stop a freight train
 

Remind me to keep my big mouth shut from now on.
I praise the guy for picking tons of winners. Then he never wins another race ever! Holy moly I apologize to anybody else following this thread. I can stop a dam freight train.

Haha you're not wrong. I am staggering to the wire this meet.
Will go through the bets and give a final tally tomorrow.
Lets see if we can find something on closing day...

Best Bet Race 8 #3 Surveillance 10/1 - Seems to be in raging form again and his best shot is pretty competitive here, not sure the pace will develop but hoping and the price will be right.

Best Value Race 11 #1 Centuria 15/1 - Child of the Moon can win buti wanted to try to find a Longshot in here as I don't think either of Chad's runners are that great. Romans on the turf at the Spa isn't usually my thing and you have to draw a line through the last...I liked the maiden win a lot though and seemed to be a progressive filly at that point. Met a very difficult group for the level and the trip didn't work out at all two back. Rosario isn't riding well but seems an ideal fit here as I think she will need to save all the ground and get a little lucky...i like getting on the Mellon as I my main theory for tossing the last is she didn't handle the tight turns that well. At the least should provide some value at potentially a very big price.

Good luck.