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Travis Stone 04-10-2011 09:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gin talking (Post 767851)
Nothing against Repole putting money in the business and supporting racing is great. Do not quote me but I think he made comments about running horses more and showing off uncle mo, (correct me if I am wrong). Then he runs him twice before the derby, and you know damn well if Mo had swept the triple crown he would have been sent to the shed right away. As for Pletcher maybe he had no choice but to run him in the races he did, we all know Repole wanted the Wood all along, but could an extra race helped?

There are obviously theories and thoughts as to why everything panned-out like it did. It's odd though that a horse arrives at Palm Meadows in early December but does not start in a "race" until early March.

That said, he obviously worked hard yesterday and that should tighten him up. But I'm skeptical about his ability, at this point, to recapture his 2-year-old form.

Thunder Gulch 04-10-2011 09:26 AM

I'll just say that I'm really disappointed, though not shocked. He was handled this spring in a fashion that coming up short was almost to be expected, even for an enormously talented individual as he showed himself to be last year. I wanted to believe- really I did. I don't need better odds or a Derby "score", I wanted a superstar....I hope he's not hurt, and I hope he gets tight in the next 4 weeks, but this just sucks today.

Gin talking 04-10-2011 09:53 AM

As good of a trainer as Pletcher is, and his numbers say he is the best in the game. That being said, he gets the best horses year after year and his Derby record is poor. So maybe his method of getting horses to the derby is not the best? I do not know.

Dahoss 04-10-2011 10:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fpsoxfan (Post 767824)
Envy (also called invidiousness) is best defined as an emotion that "occurs when a person lacks another's (perceived) superior quality, achievement, or possession and either desires it or wishes that the other lacked it."[1]

Envy can also derive from a sense of low self-esteem that results from an upward social comparison threatening a person's self image: another person has something that the envier considers to be important to have. If the other person is perceived to be similar to the envier, the aroused envy will be particularly intense, because it signals to the envier that it just as well could have been he or she who had the desired object.[2][3]

You've got to be kidding.

Is it April Fool's Day again.

fpsoxfan 04-10-2011 10:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 767861)
You've got to be kidding.

Is it April Fool's Day again.

Just sayin my man. I'm not necessarily saying their yours, but if the shoe fits..........

Dahoss 04-10-2011 10:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fpsoxfan (Post 767863)
Just sayin my man. I'm not necessarily saying their yours, but if the shoe fits..........

Interesting. If you dislike someone who comes off as a pompous douche, you're envious of them. Anyone catch the comments he made in regards to Zito and the Florida Derby? Douchebag move.

And maybe I missed something, but the trainer is still Pletcher. Did he become beloved all of the sudden and I missed it? Wasn't there a thread just last week (after his horses ran like energizer bunnies at Gulfstream all weekend) about him?

NTamm1215 04-10-2011 10:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 767868)
Interesting. If you dislike someone who comes off as a pompous douche, you're envious of them. Anyone catch the comments he made in regards to Zito and the Florida Derby? Douchebag move.

And maybe I missed something, but the trainer is still Pletcher. Did he become beloved all of the sudden and I missed it? Wasn't there a thread just last week (after his horses ran like energizer bunnies at Gulfstream all weekend) about him?

He has a history of running his mouth and saying dumb things because he can't say no to the camera. He did the same thing last year before the Hopeful with his line about how he was confident that Stay Thirsty would be much better than Boys at Tosconova in 2011.

If it's bringing you some satisfaction that Uncle Mo lost yesterday you're probably not envious, a miserable person, or someone who hates Indian Charlie.

fpsoxfan 04-10-2011 10:50 AM

Once again, I posted that as a general comment in response to some people asking why this guy is not liked. It wasn't necessarily aimed at you.

I posted this after I researched and read up on the guy. I couldn't find anything negative about him. Therefore, the only thing I could come up with is envy. There are many out there that are pissed at their own lives, so they try to make themselves feel better by cutting others down.

richard burch 04-10-2011 10:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 767868)
Interesting. If you dislike someone who comes off as a pompous douche, you're envious of them. Anyone catch the comments he made in regards to Zito and the Florida Derby? Douchebag move.

And maybe I missed something, but the trainer is still Pletcher. Did he become beloved all of the sudden and I missed it? Wasn't there a thread just last week (after his horses ran like energizer bunnies at Gulfstream all weekend) about him?

Yes, I did catch those comments....and when I mentioned it here on this board i was called "stupid" by some of the "smart" people on this board. i'm just happy i wasn't one of the "smart" ones who wagered $466,788 to win on mo because the pick 3 that i played paid very nicely!

fpsoxfan 04-10-2011 10:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 767870)
He has a history of running his mouth and saying dumb things because he can't say no to the camera. He did the same thing last year before the Hopeful with his line about how he was confident that Stay Thirsty would be much better than Boys at Tosconova in 2011.

If it's bringing you some satisfaction that Uncle Mo lost yesterday you're probably not envious, a miserable person, or someone who hates Indian Charlie.


Oh so it's an image thing. I get it. Hmmmmm

HaloWishingwell 04-10-2011 10:59 AM

:tro::tro::tro:
Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 767868)
Interesting. If you dislike someone who comes off as a pompous douche, you're envious of them. Anyone catch the comments he made in regards to Zito and the Florida Derby? Douchebag move.

And maybe I missed something, but the trainer is still Pletcher. Did he become beloved all of the sudden and I missed it? Wasn't there a thread just last week (after his horses ran like energizer bunnies at Gulfstream all weekend) about him?

Now those comments makes him come off as a sore loser and envious

Bigsmc 04-10-2011 12:42 PM

I am envious of Richard Burch and his redboarding skills.

Dahoss 04-10-2011 12:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fpsoxfan (Post 767871)
Once again, I posted that as a general comment in response to some people asking why this guy is not liked. It wasn't necessarily aimed at you.

I posted this after I researched and read up on the guy. I couldn't find anything negative about him. Therefore, the only thing I could come up with is envy. There are many out there that are pissed at their own lives, so they try to make themselves feel better by cutting others down.

It wasn't aimed at me, but you told me if the shoe fits. Whatever, own it if you're going to insult me.

I wanted him to win. I needed him for a bet (not paying much but better than ripping it up) and he seemed like a really good one, in an era with so few of them. I wasn't happy at all he lost.

But it doesn't make his human connections easy to root for and it has nothing to do with envy.

fpsoxfan 04-10-2011 12:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 767902)
It wasn't aimed at me, but you told me if the shoe fits. Whatever, own it if you're going to insult me.

I wanted him to win. I needed him for a bet (not paying much but better than ripping it up) and he seemed like a really good one, in an era with so few of them. I wasn't happy at all he lost.

But it doesn't make his human connections easy to root for and it has nothing to do with envy.

I would never insult you Hoss!

MisterB 04-10-2011 01:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 3kings (Post 767838)
I hope this is just the 3:48 AM talking because this is ignorant. The guy gave out a $120. horse earlier in the day and if you boxed his horses in that race it was a $3000. tri. Yet you get on him for missing on a horse that looked far superior on paper. I'm sorry someone held a gun to your head and made you bet what he said. :rolleyes: Many on here appreciate Andy, Doug, Nick T, and Steve for giving their insight and it has helped us become better handicappers. Don't be such an @hole, if you aren't willing to lose on some one else's opinion, don't use it.

I didn't bet the horse, it was a bad bet, even in a P4. Something I learned from Andy. I know he had a bomb earlier, I listen to his show everyday. Your digging for burning embers, when there is none. Pointing out something he teaches, so what. What does getting up early getting ready to work have anything to with anything? Some people just love to start up BS.

HaloWishingwell 04-10-2011 03:03 PM

Uncle Mo apparently will get some bloodwork. Hopefully he is not suffering from Lifeattenitis


http://www.drf.com/news/uncle-mo-hav...ky-derby-trail

MaTH716 04-10-2011 09:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MisterB (Post 767908)
I didn't bet the horse, it was a bad bet, even in a P4. Something I learned from Andy. I know he had a bomb earlier, I listen to his show everyday. Your digging for burning embers, when there is none. Pointing out something he teaches, so what. What does getting up early getting ready to work have anything to with anything? Some people just love to start up BS.

I just want to know why you think it was a bad bet?
To me on paper, I thought the horse looked unbeatable. I thought the Motion horse was a little intriguing with the addition of blinkers, but I thought that there was going to be other horses looking for the lead as well. That's why I was kind of shocked when Uncle Mo found the lead so early. The race just never came together the way I envisioned it. Also, I never thought Toby's Corner was going to be the one coming late especially with the addition of the shades.

I didn't bet the race or the sequence, but I will admit Uncle Mo would have been a definite single on any ticket I would have put in. Then I could have spread in the other races where it looked like it was going to be needed. Like I said, I'm just curious why you feel like it was a bad bet.


Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc (Post 767901)
I am envious of Richard Burch and his redboarding skills.

What do you have against the guy having a pick 3 that paid very nicely?...................:rolleyes:

MisterB 04-11-2011 04:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716 (Post 768021)
I just want to know why you think it was a bad bet?
To me on paper, I thought the horse looked unbeatable. I thought the Motion horse was a little intriguing with the addition of blinkers, but I thought that there was going to be other horses looking for the lead as well. That's why I was kind of shocked when Uncle Mo found the lead so early. The race just never came together the way I envisioned it. Also, I never thought Toby's Corner was going to be the one coming late especially with the addition of the shades.

I didn't bet the race or the sequence, but I will admit Uncle Mo would have been a definite single on any ticket I would have put in. Then I could have spread in the other races where it looked like it was going to be needed. Like I said, I'm just curious why you feel like it was a bad bet.

You are suppose to try and beat horses at these odds. Granted he looked unbeatable, so the second thing you look at is investment vs payoff. Anyone and everyone had Mo as a single on a P4 ticket if they played one. That alone draws down the pot. Given the fact that the Favs have been coming in at a 40%+ rate at the Big A all winter, how much do you think it would have payed vs your investment. To me, not enough to lay out 5x5x1x5.

Kasept 04-11-2011 05:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MisterB (Post 768045)
You are suppose to try and beat horses at these odds. Granted he looked unbeatable, so the second thing you look at is investment vs payoff. Anyone and everyone had Mo as a single on a P4 ticket if they played one. That alone draws down the pot. Given the fact that the Favs have been coming in at a 40%+ rate at the Big A all winter, how much do you think it would have payed vs your investment. To me, not enough to lay out 5x5x1x5.

'Faves all winter on the Inner Track' have zero to do with the Wood Memorial and the all stakes P4 sequence Saturday. Yes you try and beat horses at short odds within races and in multi-race bets. Except you do so when they appear clearly questionable or vulnerable. But in the circumstance Saturday, you needed a large bankroll to be so clever as to attack the quad with the assumption Uncle Mo might lose.

I had suggested a 5x5x2x1 play for $50. The P4 to Uncle Mo was paying $200, so you were getting 4-1 in that case. Toby's Corner was the right 'other' horse, if you believed there was an 'other' horse, and the P4 paid $4,000 (80-1). The problem with trying to get clever Saturday was that the Comely and Bay Shore were tricky, and required slightly wide-cast nets. (4 possible winners in the Comely? As many as 5 plausable winners in the Bay Shore?) The Carter was, for me anyway, Apriority and Morning Line only, so that helped. But trying to get to Toby's Corner on back-up tickets was hard to accept as a prop given that you easily could have ended up with an Ava K (3-2), JJ's Lucky Train (2-1), Apriority (3-2), Uncle Mo (1-9) parlay that returned $37.50.

So in addition to spending $50 on the main ticket, which covers the vast majority of the most likely possible outcomes, your view is that public handicappers suggest to people that they spend an additional $50 to try and snare a much less likely outcome. And those handicappers are supposed to do that knowing that the likliest outcomes may not cover the cost of the tickets? And by the way, Arthur's Tale ended up every bit as 'good' in the race as the winner, so even if you backed up with Toby's Corner, you may have ended up losing had Arthur's Tale gotten to the wire. Or should it have been suggested that people spend another $50 covering Arthur's Tale?

MisterB 04-11-2011 06:20 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 768046)
'Faves all winter on the Inner Track' have zero to do with the Wood Memorial and the all stakes P4 sequence Saturday. Yes you try and beat horses at short odds within races and in multi-race bets. Except you do so when they appear clearly questionable or vulnerable. But in the circumstance Saturday, you needed a large bankroll to be so clever as to attack the quad with the assumption Uncle Mo might lose.

I had suggested a 5x5x2x1 play for $50. The P4 to Uncle Mo was paying $200, so you were getting 4-1 in that case. Toby's Corner was the right 'other' horse, if you believed there was an 'other' horse, and the P4 paid $4,000 (80-1). The problem with trying to get clever Saturday was that the Comely and Bay Shore were tricky, and required slightly wide-cast nets. (4 possible winners in the Comely? As many as 5 plausable winners in the Bay Shore?) The Carter was, for me anyway, Apriority and Morning Line only, so that helped. But trying to get to Toby's Corner on back-up tickets was hard to accept as a prop given that you easily could have ended up with an Ava K (3-2), JJ's Lucky Train (2-1), Apriority (3-2), Uncle Mo (1-9) parlay that returned $37.50.

So in addition to spending $50 on the main ticket, which covers the vast majority of the most likely possible outcomes, your view is that public handicappers suggest to people that they spend an additional $50 to try and snare a much less likely outcome. And those handicappers are supposed to do that knowing that the likliest outcomes may not cover the cost of the tickets? And by the way, Arthur's Tale ended up every bit as 'good' in the race as the winner, so even if you backed up with Toby's Corner, you may have ended up losing had Arthur's Tale gotten to the wire. Or should it have been suggested that people spend another $50 covering Arthur's Tale?

Thanks, but favs do come into the picture when figuring your ticket will be hit with a fav in your sequence, plus your single. I nor anyone else would have covered beyond Mo, at least I wouldn't have. I still say Mo was a bad bet as a single in the P4, even with a 50.00 ticket. 4-1 isn't a very good return on a P4.

Most public handicappers didn't say to spread at all here. And your P4 50.00 play was for a buck, so you where getting 2-1, not 4-1.

Kasept 04-11-2011 07:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MisterB (Post 768048)
Thanks, but favs do come into the picture when figuring your ticket will be hit with a fav in your sequence, plus your single. I nor anyone else would have covered beyond Mo, at least I wouldn't have. I still say Mo was a bad bet as a single in the P4, even with a 50.00 ticket. 4-1 isn't a very good return on a P4.

Most public handicappers didn't say to spread at all here. And your P4 50.00 play was for a buck, so you where getting 2-1, not 4-1.

You're right on the increment, because the will pays screen would have been for $2. So that takes the Mo will-pay to $100 and the Toby's to $2,000 (For $1 as opposed to $2). Anyway, it comes down to philosophy as to what to spend in an attempt to reach a payoff you deem rewarding for your risk. The point I was trying to address was in terms of the contention that it is inappropriate to suggest singling to an Uncle Mo type in that setting Saturday.

MisterB 04-11-2011 07:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 768050)
You're right on the increment, because the will pays screen would have been for $2. So that takes the Mo will-pay to $100 and the Toby's to $2,000 (For $1 as opposed to $2). Anyway, it comes down to philosophy as to what to spend in an attempt to reach a payoff you deem rewarding for your risk. The point I was trying to address was in terms of the contention that it is inappropriate to suggest singling to an Uncle Mo type in that setting Saturday.

Most of what I learned from many here, and across the public handicappers nation wide was watch this unfold, and save your money. Many handicappers thought it was not a good bet, and I followed the suggested play from them.

johnny pinwheel 04-11-2011 07:20 AM

this is why you don't listen to public handicappers........uncle mo's race is the type i spread in everytime......do you want the pool? or do you want to share it with thousands of other people? those guys just care about win percentage and looking good to the public.......theres only a few that don't worry about ripping them up and thats their problem. or they have to say certain things for the venue they work at....the guy that hosts this site puts together good tickets (steve) watch how he does it.....heres a hint...the biggest Pick 3 scores come when horses like smarty jones, big brown, rachel and uncle mo lose....people should forget the envy talk and learn how to gamble....take a math class and learn how to take the biggest part of the pool......very few public handicappers even talk about this......THEY GIVE YOU THE 2-5 (1-9) SHOT.....good luck doing well in this game with that! instead of whining and envy talk you can be in line signing a huge win.........people give a crap about all the WRONG things......if uncle mo wins thats my saver...its more of a loss. when he loses...now its something worth cashing.....

OTM Al 04-11-2011 08:35 AM

This is an argument of preference. I singled Uncle Mo as well because I was trying to find my value elsewhere. I went against Ava K in the first leg as a heavy false favorite and also tried for a price with Laysh Laysh Laysh in the third leg on my "A" ticket because of his high level of success at a specilist distance. I bet all of $20, a $1 2x3x3x1 plus a $2 single ticket, which died when Laysh completely missed the break. I was however very happy to see that I would get a gross return of about $101 on the $1 ticket with a win by Uncle Mo. So I actually did both things you are talking about. I tossed a heavy favorite I considered false and went single on another heavy favorite. I wasn't a huge fan of Mo, but even still he looked to tower above the rest. Ava K however didn't even look the 3rd best horse to me.

I think these are the only two reasonable options when facing heavy favorites in a sequence. Either single them or toss them completely. Anything else it throwing away money. Which you do though is preference. Would you rather swing for the fences with a high chance of striking out, or go for a smaller, but much more likely return.

blackthroatedwind 04-11-2011 08:56 AM

Uncle Mo was 20:1 on the internet and 1:9 at the windows.

Now we have proof that the vast majority of internet prognosticators don't bet.

So unbelievably tiresome. The only reason internet bettors are blowing their horns is because Uncle Mo lost. When these results don't go their internet way we never hear a fukking peep. It's preposterous.

Betting is done at the windows.

Dahoss 04-11-2011 08:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by johnny pinwheel (Post 768062)
this is why you don't listen to public handicappers........uncle mo's race is the type i spread in everytime......do you want the pool? or do you want to share it with thousands of other people? those guys just care about win percentage and looking good to the public.......theres only a few that don't worry about ripping them up and thats their problem. or they have to say certain things for the venue they work at....the guy that hosts this site puts together good tickets (steve) watch how he does it.....heres a hint...the biggest Pick 3 scores come when horses like smarty jones, big brown, rachel and uncle mo lose....people should forget the envy talk and learn how to gamble....take a math class and learn how to take the biggest part of the pool......very few public handicappers even talk about this......THEY GIVE YOU THE 2-5 (1-9) SHOT.....good luck doing well in this game with that! instead of whining and envy talk you can be in line signing a huge win.........people give a crap about all the WRONG things......if uncle mo wins thats my saver...its more of a loss. when he loses...now its something worth cashing.....

Shut up already.

Thunder Gulch 04-11-2011 09:08 AM

Some really smarty folks showed up to tell us about it AFTER the race. After trolling the boards and Twitter, I think someone needs to audit the NYRA, because it sure seems as if Toby's Corner took the majority of the money.

Linny 04-11-2011 11:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 768082)
Uncle Mo was 20:1 on the internet and 1:9 at the windows.

Now we have proof that the vast majority of internet prognosticators don't bet.

So unbelievably tiresome. The only reason internet bettors are blowing their horns is because Uncle Mo lost. When these results don't go their internet way we never hear a fukking peep. It's preposterous.

Betting is done at the windows.

Kinda like how if all the people who said thery were at Woodstock reall went, there'd have been 10 million people there.:rolleyes: Clearly, EVERY person who used Toby posts on this board.:zz:

Indian Charlie 04-11-2011 12:05 PM

I had $5,000 to win on Toby's Corner in the Wood, but I feel really bad, cause I had a huge exacta with Toby's Corner on top of Uncle Mo.

I'm such a dickwad.

randallscott35 04-11-2011 12:12 PM

such a shame he didn't finish 4th for those moron bridgejumpers that xpressbet doesnt want

fpsoxfan 04-11-2011 08:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 768082)
Uncle Mo was 20:1 on the internet and 1:9 at the windows.

Now we have proof that the vast majority of internet prognosticators don't bet.

So unbelievably tiresome. The only reason internet bettors are blowing their horns is because Uncle Mo lost. When these results don't go their internet way we never hear a fukking peep. It's preposterous.

Betting is done at the windows.

Very well said! BTW...funny story. I was joining some buddies Saturday a little late when the horses were at the gate. I ran to the computer and asked the guys who they liked. They shouted back....Andy likes the 4...he's 60-1. For shiats and giggles I threw $2 wps. Unbelievable. Great call! Thanks for the extra cash.


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