Derby Trail Forums

Derby Trail Forums (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/index.php)
-   The Paddock (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=2)
-   -   Rachel confirmed for Personal Ensign (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=37480)

copying 07-31-2010 07:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 676346)
What if we're all actually wrong about Zenyatta and she's actually better than we think? That's what sucks about the way they're campaigning her.

It's not Zenyatta's fault that she was kept on the sidelines as a 2-year-old and for almost all of her 3-year-old season - while a filly her own age (Rags To Riches) won the Belmont over Curlin and Hard Spun and than got hurt before they could ever meet.

It's not Zenyatta's fault that her trainer scratched her the morning of the race against favored Nashoba's Key because he felt she wasn't quite 100% from missing a few days of training weeks prior.

It's not Zenyatta's fault that Nashoba's Key died in a stall accident - which meant Zenyatta never took over her division in So. Cal - she merely inherited it from a dead horse who had obliterated everything she faced on synthetic and totally wiped out everything but the ducking Zenyatta within that division.

It's not Zenyatta's fault that the Breeders Cup was, for the first time in history, held two straight years at Santa Anita - on that terrible Pro-Ride junk - and that every Eastern dirt horse who went out there failed, most of them failed miserably.

It's not Zenyatta's fault that her trainer scratched her out of a stakes race at Churchill the morning of the race because the track was wet.

It's not Zenyatta's fault that her stablemate Life Is Sweet was offered up for the Hollywood Gold Cup and had to deal with Rail Trip when crushed on a speed-biased track - while she was safely at home in her stall.

It's not Zenyatta's fault that her competition has mostly royally sucked.

It's not Zenyatta's fault that the Clement L. Hirsch and Ladies Secret are no longer Handicaps. Azeri had to give 19lbs away to an already Grade 1 stakes placed horse when she won the Hirsch. Azeri carried 12lbs more than multiple Grade 1 winner Elloluv and 10lbs more than Grade 1 winner and Breeders Cup Distaff 3rd Got Koko in the Ladies Secret when she finished a close 3rd to the two of them. Zenyatta was level weight in those former handicaps against an alw horse in Anabaa's Creations. She would have had to give Anabaa's Creation 25lbs in weight if those two races were still handicaps and she was treated as harshly by the racing secretary as Azeri was.


Shirreffs is on the easy path to the Breeders Cup and he will have this bitch cranked up to the moon for that race - and assuming he chooses the Classic over the Distaff (a no-brainer last year - doubtful this year) he's just going to hope she falls into a Breeders Cup win the same way his Giacomo fell into a Derby win against Afleet Alex and Bellamy Road. He's two more paid workouts away from a possible daring half court heave at history. I think God is on her side.

I hope you don't think it was the surface that did those easterners in -- more likely the competition. And now you offer up Azeri to back up your argument. I remember all the NYers panned Get Koko as that years' Anabaa's Creation. It may take you a few years, but eventually you'll admit greatness when it's far gone.

Danzig 07-31-2010 08:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaTruth (Post 676451)
She will probably beat Rachel at 10 furlongs. Rachel isn't as good as she was last year and it would be a good time to catch her.

who? life at ten? maybe she will. i'm seeing inconsistent opinions on rachel. some say she's on par with a year ago, some saying she's not. some are saying she's suited to 10f based on how she is now. won't know til she tries.

RolloTomasi 07-31-2010 08:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by copying (Post 676523)
I hope you don't think it was the surface that did those easterners in -- more likely the competition. And now you offer up Azeri to back up your argument. I remember all the NYers panned Get Koko as that years' Anabaa's Creation. It may take you a few years, but eventually you'll admit greatness when it's far gone.

Got Koko was that year's Anabaa's Creation?

You made this up, right?

Got Koko was the first filly (and only 3rd ever) to sweep the La Canada series in nearly 20 years. She won the Gr 1 7f La Brea, the Gr 2 8.5f El Encino, and the Gr 2 9f La Canada in succession. In the final leg, she defeated Sightseek, who was probably the only other contemperary mare that could hold a candle to Azeri.

Of course, this all took place before the Clement Hirsch that year and, of course, Got Koko came right back to beat Azeri in the Lady's Secret.

slotdirt 07-31-2010 09:27 PM

Pwned.

letswastemoney 07-31-2010 09:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by copying (Post 676523)
I hope you don't think it was the surface that did those easterners in -- more likely the competition. And now you offer up Azeri to back up your argument. I remember all the NYers panned Get Koko as that years' Anabaa's Creation. It may take you a few years, but eventually you'll admit greatness when it's far gone.

omg

Anyone can see some horses prefer dirt over synthetics, whether it's because they were trained on dirt their whole lives or because they were bred for dirt,

not every dirt horse will have the same form on synthetics!!!!

I live and have lived in California for 27 years (my entire life) and even I am not blind enough to ignore what synthetic tracks does to certain dirt horses.

Yes there are exceptions, just as there are horses who run the same on dirt and turf, but there are horses who don't such as Hystericalady.

Merlinsky 07-31-2010 10:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man (Post 676131)
RA had HER chance to show up, at OP. She didn't. Her connections had committed to it. They reneged. Z's connections haven't committed to anything at SAR. The RA crew can spin it any way they want but why should she get a 2nd chance? Especially when giving her ANOTHER opportunity would require shipping your horse cross country. The RA crew can whine all they want; that's about all that having your horse NOT SHOW UP gets you.

Funny how the **** gets spun around here.

I don't care what anybody says. It's pretty darn impressive when someone learns to type while wearing a straight jacket.

RA spent 5 months as a barn potato, and Jackson let $5 mil lure him into doing something stupid. There's no point in marching your horse toward a major confrontation they're not fit for just because the mob in the colliseum wants to turn their thumbs up or down.

Theatrical 07-31-2010 10:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Merlinsky (Post 676549)
I don't care what anybody says. It's pretty darn impressive when someone learns to type while wearing a straight jacket.

RA spent 5 months as a barn potato and Jackson let $5 mil lure him into doing something stupid. There's no point in marching your horse toward a major confrontation they're not fit for just because the mob in the colliseum wants to turn their thumbs up or down.

Her owner could have said "no" from the get go. He didn't.

Merlinsky 07-31-2010 10:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Theatrical (Post 676551)
Her owner could have said "no" from the get go. He didn't.

Jess Jackson could've said a lot of things, things that made logical, coherent sense, but he doesn't. He's not so good with the brain+filter situation. It's not news.

As if saying no in the beginning wouldn't have drawn a different criticism. You'd rather be calling him chicken instead of being strung along and getting your hopes up? Under what circumstances would people have been happy? The Apple Blossom was never a good idea. Better he figured that out before the race than after. Of all the crazy things he says and does, there are worse to focus on.

CSC 07-31-2010 10:49 PM

Another Rachel thread turned into a Zenyatta thread, I wish I could say I am surprised but I am not a very convincing liar.

Theatrical 07-31-2010 10:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Merlinsky (Post 676552)
Jess Jackson could've said a lot of things, things that made logical, coherent sense, but he doesn't. He's not so good with the brain+filter situation. It's not news.

As if saying no in the beginning wouldn't have drawn a different criticism. You'd rather be calling him chicken instead of being strung along and getting your hopes up? Under what circumstances would people have been happy? The Apple Blossom was never a good idea. Better he figured that out before the race than after. Of all the crazy things he says and does, there are worse to focus on.

I'm sure Mr. Jackson will appreciate your apologizing for him in his choices.

Please do not tell me what I would have been calling the man, o.k.? The facts are the facts. It's out there how the entire Apple Blossom thing went down. All he had to say was the filly wouldn't be ready and stick by it. How hard is that?

Danzig 07-31-2010 11:12 PM

lol

so, because jess jackson wanted rachel to be ready, and she couldn't be, that reflects poorly on the horse?! you people are aware, aren't you, that you're talking about a horse? she had no say in the schedule he tried to make her fit. give me a break here, people! are you sure, those of you who keep going on and on about this one race, that you know anything about horses?
bash jess all you want, he's the one who deserves it.

Theatrical 07-31-2010 11:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig (Post 676558)
lol

so, because jess jackson wanted rachel to be ready, and she couldn't be, that reflects poorly on the horse?! you people are aware, aren't you, that you're talking about a horse? she had no say in the schedule he tried to make her fit. give me a break here, people! are you sure, those of you who keep going on and on about this one race, that you know anything about horses?
bash jess all you want, he's the one who deserves it.

I'm bashing no one and I don't believe I have brought Rachel into this, other than Mr. Jackson is her owner. This has nothing to do with her. Nothing. It is about the choices her owner made for her.

As far as what I know about horses, I am a breeder and have been for over 40 years. I made an observation about the owner of a horse who had the opportunity to assess his filly's condition and chose to be wishy washy about it. Has nothing whatsoever to do with the filly.

Danzig 07-31-2010 11:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Theatrical (Post 676560)
I'm bashing no one and I don't believe I have brought Rachel into this, other than Mr. Jackson is her owner. This has nothing to do with her. Nothing. It is about the choices her owner made for her.

As far as what I know about horses, I am a breeder and have been for over 40 years. I made an observation about the owner of a horse who had the opportunity to assess his filly's condition and chose to be wishy washy about it. Has nothing whatsoever to do with the filly.


gotcha

there have been others here who have repeatedly referred to the apple blossom as a way to bash the horse. it's really crazy. it's like bashing zenyatta because of her races. she has no more say over where she runs than rachel does.
i hope they face off at some point, but i just wonder if it will ever happen.

DaTruth 08-01-2010 12:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Theatrical (Post 676551)
Her owner could have said "no" from the get go. He didn't.

Jackson did say "no" from the very beginning because he thought the race was too soon. He probably didn't give a "no under any circumstances to an Oaklawn race" response because he didn't want to lose face in the PR war. Cella then agreed to move the race back six days, and Jackson was painted in a corner.

copying 08-01-2010 01:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi (Post 676532)
Got Koko was that year's Anabaa's Creation?

You made this up, right?

Got Koko was the first filly (and only 3rd ever) to sweep the La Canada series in nearly 20 years. She won the Gr 1 7f La Brea, the Gr 2 8.5f El Encino, and the Gr 2 9f La Canada in succession. In the final leg, she defeated Sightseek, who was probably the only other contemperary mare that could hold a candle to Azeri.

Of course, this all took place before the Clement Hirsch that year and, of course, Got Koko came right back to beat Azeri in the Lady's Secret.

I didn't say Got Koko was that years' AC -- All the easterners were saying that. They were saying Azeri was beating the same old overmatched allowance horses over and over again -- the same argument they now use against Zenyatta.

cmorioles 08-01-2010 09:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miraja2 (Post 676120)
This question is perfectly logical, but it is almost ridiculous to ask at this point.

The only thing more ridiculous is the litany of reasons given by the Z camp to avoid any and all real competition.

Danzig 08-01-2010 09:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by copying (Post 676569)
I didn't say Got Koko was that years' AC -- All the easterners were saying that. They were saying Azeri was beating the same old overmatched allowance horses over and over again -- the same argument they now use against Zenyatta.


but....it's true.


keep reading from those with a zenyatta bias how she travelled to the ab to take on rachel as tho it was a brave act. john shirreffs is a smart man, and a savvy trainer. he hasn't enjoyed the successes he's achieved by being otherwise. what better time to take on a good horse than after a long layoff? shirreffs had every advantage going in, and he knew that. he had a horse that hadn't missed a beat, who hadn't had a tough season the previous year. everything was right for him, and wrong for rachel-it's so obvious.
the fact they haven't done anything different with the mare since, and won't, is also abundantly clear. she won't leave california. i'll be surprised at this point if she leaves before becoming a broodmare.

Danzig 08-01-2010 09:34 AM

i have no doubt at all now that zenyatta will run in the clement hirsch. just read this line from the article on drf about dakota phone's win:

There were several horses who won with wide rallies on Saturday, a rare day in the first two weeks of the meeting with ample sunshine.



i'd imagine shirreffs will find himself rather happy with how the del mar track is playing.

copying 08-01-2010 10:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig (Post 676604)
but....it's true.


keep reading from those with a zenyatta bias how she travelled to the ab to take on rachel as tho it was a brave act. john shirreffs is a smart man, and a savvy trainer. he hasn't enjoyed the successes he's achieved by being otherwise. what better time to take on a good horse than after a long layoff? shirreffs had every advantage going in, and he knew that. he had a horse that hadn't missed a beat, who hadn't had a tough season the previous year. everything was right for him, and wrong for rachel-it's so obvious.
the fact they haven't done anything different with the mare since, and won't, is also abundantly clear. she won't leave california. i'll be surprised at this point if she leaves before becoming a broodmare.

But now, after Azeri's been retired, those same east coast elite acknowledge Azeri's greatness and say maybe those fields she beat were not so bad after all. They will eventually with Zenyatta too -- it just will be years after she is retired.

brianwspencer 08-01-2010 10:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by copying (Post 676633)
But now, after Azeri's been retired, those same east coast elite acknowledge Azeri's greatness and say maybe those fields she beat were not so bad after all. They will eventually with Zenyatta too -- it just will be years after she is retired.

This is likely.

Because years from now people will say things like, "hey, that 3rd-level allowance race that Anabaa's Creation ran 5th in before almost beating Zenyatta wasn't so bad after all, right? And those 15 straight races that Dance To My Tune lost before almost beating Zenyatta weren't so bad, right? I mean, give her some credit, she won a race in 2007!"

Problem is that Got Koko and Sightseek were actually good horses with proven records. Trying to compare them to the garbage that Zenyatta has beaten is laughable. And to try to think that "years after Zenyatta is retired," everyone will forget just what was behind Zenyatta is even more hilarious.

2Hot4TV 08-01-2010 12:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by brianwspencer (Post 676640)
This is likely.

Because years from now people will say things like, "hey, that 3rd-level allowance race that Anabaa's Creation ran 5th in before almost beating Zenyatta wasn't so bad after all, right? And those 15 straight races that Dance To My Tune lost before almost beating Zenyatta weren't so bad, right? I mean, give her some credit, she won a race in 2007!"

Problem is that Got Koko and Sightseek were actually good horses with proven records. Trying to compare them to the garbage that Zenyatta has beaten is laughable. And to try to think that "years after Zenyatta is retired," everyone will forget just what was behind Zenyatta is even more hilarious.

or they will see an undefeated mare that won 2 Breeders Cup Classics and not even question the animals she beat.

10 pnt move up 08-01-2010 01:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by brianwspencer (Post 676640)
This is likely.


Problem is that Got Koko and Sightseek were actually good horses with proven records. Trying to compare them to the garbage that Zenyatta has beaten is laughable. And to try to think that "years after Zenyatta is retired," everyone will forget just what was behind Zenyatta is even more hilarious.

There were few bigger fans of Azeri than I was but she never beat a field as good as last years classic, not even close really.

brianwspencer 08-01-2010 01:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up (Post 676699)
There were few bigger fans of Azeri than I was but she never beat a field as good as last years classic, not even close really.

Top to bottom talent-wise, of course not.

But it's impossible to compare what Azeri beat on the dirt to what last year's Classic, the country's biggest "dirt" race, included in terms of talent when it was full of mostly non-dirt horses and was not run on dirt. Part of the game, yadda, yadda, I know that and have no problem with it. But saying that Gio Ponti and Twice Over rounding out a trifecta is better than anything Azeri beat in a race is an unsustainable comparison, because put all of them on the Churchill dirt, and you've got a good race, and then 20 lengths back to everything Zenyatta beat.

But again -- sticking the head in the sand and hanging a hat on one career race to try to prove eternal greatness just won't cut it....didn't cut it for HOY of the last year and won't cut it for future thinking on Zenyatta, which is why races throughout the year matter, and why these garbage races against garbage opponents don't stack up at ALL to what Azeri did.

As Doug said earlier, and I've said probably here and several other places in the recent past -- she may well be GREAT. She may well be one of the greatest horses to ever live; she certainly seems to have the talent to fulfill all of the hyperbole and mouth breathing we hear from her fans -- but I want to see it, I don't just want to take everyone's word for it. And so far, she has about 1.5 races in her cap that actually make her important, and a bunch of other ones in which she beat horses I would have a chance of dead-heating with jumping in a potato sack.

Show me how great she is. Alas, being undefeated is what they clearly care about more at this point in time, and that's a feat to be commended -- but it doesn't make people wondering about her rightful place in history "haters," it makes them analytical because we actually want to see something great before we anoint something great.

DaTruth 08-01-2010 01:28 PM

When the quality of the field that Zenyatta beat in the Classic is called into question, her supporters often point out that a Derby winner and a Belmont winner were in that field. Usually forgotten is that Azeri also beat a Derby winner (Funny Cide) and a Belmont winner (Birdstone) when she ran 5th behind Ghostzapper in the 2004 Classic.

10 pnt move up 08-01-2010 02:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by brianwspencer (Post 676707)
Top to bottom talent-wise, of course not.

But it's impossible to compare what Azeri beat on the dirt to what last year's Classic, the country's biggest "dirt" race, included in terms of talent when it was full of mostly non-dirt horses and was not run on dirt. Part of the game, yadda, yadda, I know that and have no problem with it. But saying that Gio Ponti and Twice Over rounding out a trifecta is better than anything Azeri beat in a race is an unsustainable comparison, because put all of them on the Churchill dirt, and you've got a good race, and then 20 lengths back to everything Zenyatta beat.

But again -- sticking the head in the sand and hanging a hat on one career race to try to prove eternal greatness just won't cut it....didn't cut it for HOY of the last year and won't cut it for future thinking on Zenyatta, which is why races throughout the year matter, and why these garbage races against garbage opponents don't stack up at ALL to what Azeri did.

As Doug said earlier, and I've said probably here and several other places in the recent past -- she may well be GREAT. She may well be one of the greatest horses to ever live; she certainly seems to have the talent to fulfill all of the hyperbole and mouth breathing we hear from her fans -- but I want to see it, I don't just want to take everyone's word for it. And so far, she has about 1.5 races in her cap that actually make her important, and a bunch of other ones in which she beat horses I would have a chance of dead-heating with jumping in a potato sack.

Show me how great she is. Alas, being undefeated is what they clearly care about more at this point in time, and that's a feat to be commended -- but it doesn't make people wondering about her rightful place in history "haters," it makes them analytical because we actually want to see something great before we anoint something great.

well she will get a chance to prove something to you on dirt at CD like you say. I have no clue what you would say if she wins, or heck runs great in that race because no 6 year old has ever won it, heck no horse has ever won 3 breeders cup races, heck no horse has even who two different events in the BC, and surely none has done it over two different surfaces (syn and dirt, or turn and dirt).

Heres hoping, would be the meltdown of all meltdowns on this board.

2Hot4TV 08-01-2010 02:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up (Post 676739)
well she will get a chance to prove something to you on dirt at CD like you say. I have no clue what you would say if she wins, or heck runs great in that race because no 6 year old has ever won it, heck no horse has ever won 3 breeders cup races, heck no horse has even who two different events in the BC, and surely none has done it over two different surfaces (syn and dirt, or turn and dirt).

Heres hoping, would be the meltdown of all meltdowns on this board.

No melt down, just no reply. They would act like it never happened.

Indian Charlie 08-01-2010 03:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up (Post 676739)
well she will get a chance to prove something to you on dirt at CD like you say. I have no clue what you would say if she wins, or heck runs great in that race because no 6 year old has ever won it, heck no horse has ever won 3 breeders cup races, heck no horse has even who two different events in the BC, and surely none has done it over two different surfaces (syn and dirt, or turn and dirt).

Heres hoping, would be the meltdown of all meltdowns on this board.

And what will you say when she doesn't even run in the BCC?

Or should I say if she doesn't.

10 pnt move up 08-01-2010 03:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie (Post 676761)
And what will you say when she doesn't even run in the BCC?

Or should I say if she doesn't.

that its too bad she got hurt...that would be the only reason.

Danzig 08-01-2010 05:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up (Post 676772)
that its too bad she got hurt...that would be the only reason.


i doubt she goes. everything was set up perfect for her to attempt the classic last year. no one else in the field had excelled on that surface, it was her home track. the best older horse in the field was a turf horse. the best euro in the field was also a turfer. the top three year old had lost twice to rachel, and had never attempted an awt before.
this year? she'd have to ship further than she's shipped in years, it will be a surface she's never raced on. she'll have legitimate competition, proven on that surface. i hope she shows, but i don't trust that they will take her there.

CSC 08-01-2010 05:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up (Post 676772)
that its too bad she got hurt...that would be the only reason.

You must forgive Indian Charlie, I'm beginning to wonder if he is indeed a Zenyatta fan, he mentions her in more posts per capita than just about any other poster here. It's not even close between him and Smooth Operator.

Indian Charlie 08-01-2010 05:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC (Post 676855)
You must forgive Indian Charlie, I'm beginning to wonder if he is indeed a Zenyatta fan, he mentions her in more posts per capita than just about any other poster here. It's not even close between him and Smooth Operator.

Not only are you delusional, you also have very poor math skills.

Indian Charlie 08-01-2010 05:43 PM

And what the hell do you mean by per capita?

CSC 08-01-2010 05:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie (Post 676866)
Not only are you delusional, you also have very poor math skills.

I'll never be misconstrued with Issac Newton or Pythagoras, however you do seem to have an obession with posting about her. You don't have to have an abundance of rationality to notice this.

CSC 08-01-2010 05:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie (Post 676867)
And what the hell do you mean by per capita?

Well the latin term translates into "by head" basically meaning average.

Antitrust32 08-02-2010 08:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up (Post 676699)
There were few bigger fans of Azeri than I was but she never beat a field as good as last years classic, not even close really.

she never beat a field like it... but her 5th in the classic wasnt that bad. In fact anybody who ran in last years classic (including Z) would have had a hard time finishing 5th to that Ghostzapper classic.

slotdirt 08-02-2010 08:59 AM

That 2004 Classic was loaded.


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 06:39 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.