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-   -   Much respect to Mine That Bird (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=29731)

tiggerv 05-16-2009 06:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
How mediocre is Fresian Fire?

Very surprised Larry Jones ran him back today.

ateamstupid 05-16-2009 06:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious
So you don't think on dirt he'd be better normally than a horse like Luv Guv? Plenty that are better than they showed today? Like whom? The only ones that seem to be better than what they showed are Pioneer and Friesan Fire and since that's back to back horrible ones for FF, he may not be better.

I'm done debating over the millionth excuse for this overhyped turf horse. The freaking horse was beaten 26 lengths in a terrificly exciting race, and we're talking about how much better he is than that. I'd rather talk about a horse that actually ran today. Have a nice day.

Kasept 05-16-2009 06:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tiggerv
Very surprised Larry Jones ran him back today.

Larry Jones doesn't own him.

tiggerv 05-16-2009 06:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Larry Jones doesn't own him.

Very true.

Bigsmc 05-16-2009 06:08 PM

If nothing else, Musket Man is the most consistent of the 3yr old crop...

cowgirlintexas 05-16-2009 06:08 PM

Maybe he grabbed another quarter :rolleyes:

hi_im_god 05-16-2009 06:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheSpyder
And if they would have kept RA out of the race we'd be looking at a triple crown try. How crazy is that to think about????

on the flip side, if the filly had run in the derby...?

10 pnt move up 05-16-2009 06:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
It's you. Time was square. 1:55.0.

You have to go to the Schaefer (4th) for the previous dirt route.

thanks, I dont follow that track enough to say off the top of my head.

its going to be a very legit race by the numbers then if it had that fast of a pace and final time. The first three must be very legit horses.

sdjcom 05-16-2009 06:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
I'm done debating over the millionth excuse for this overhyped turf horse. The freaking horse was beaten 26 lengths in a terrificly exciting race, and we're talking about how much better he is than that. I'd rather talk about a horse that actually ran today. Have a nice day.

POTN 1,700,000 in winnngs, he runs one horrible race in his career and you say he's not as good as we say.

Left Bank 05-16-2009 06:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sdjcom
POTN 1,700,000 in winnngs, he runs one horrible race in his career and you say he's not as good as we say.

Only one?? I see a few more than that in his PP's,and you can add today's race.He looks like another Lava Man,only can win in Socal.

Gauchos0522 05-16-2009 06:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sdjcom
POTN 1,700,000 in winnngs, he runs one horrible race in his career and you say he's not as good as we say.

One horrible races and countless races that were solid at the very best...He has still yet to run a legitimatly fast race regardless of earnings.

Payson Dave 05-16-2009 06:15 PM

Mine That Bird has now twice made a pretty impressive sustained run...

Kasept 05-16-2009 06:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up
thanks, I dont follow that track enough to say off the top of my head.

its going to be a very legit race by the numbers then if it had that fast of a pace and final time. The first three must be very legit horses.

Just was talking to Serling about the number. Using that earlier race and Musket Man as the key, look for Rachel to earn a 104-105 here, Bird a 103 and Musket a 100. Something around that scale... Actually fits Thoro-Graph as well now that I think about it where Rachel likely came back off her -4 to about a -1, Bird a pair up and Musket a slight new top.

sdjcom 05-16-2009 06:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Left Bank
Only one?? I see a few more than that in his PP's,and you can add today's race.

sure he has lost early in career but not this bad of a race . he's not 26 lenghts worse than these horses just a bad race some bumping good excuse as any

Sightseek 05-16-2009 06:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sdjcom
sure he has lost early in career but not this bad of a race . he's not 26 lenghts worse than these horses just a bad race some bumping good excuse as any

Maybe on an artificial surface he is not.

Left Bank 05-16-2009 06:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sdjcom
sure he has lost early in career but not this bad of a race . he's not 26 lenghts worse than these horses just a bad race some bumping good excuse as any

He Su__ks!Period!!

ArlJim78 05-16-2009 06:20 PM

a terrific performance by the filly, a gutsy run from Mine That Bird to make it close, Musket Man proves he is solid and belongs near the top of the crop,
yet Pioneer of the Nile somehow still dominates the discussion?

cowgirlintexas 05-16-2009 06:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hi_im_god
on the flip side, if the filly had run in the derby...?

Would have been just what racing needs right now. A filly that might have been the next Triple Crown Winner...

Kinda feel bad for Mine That Bird.

Now yet another year of "what if's" and "might have been's"

ateamstupid 05-16-2009 06:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78
a terrific performance by the filly, a gutsy run from Mine That Bird to make it close, Musket Man proves he is solid and belongs near the top of the crop,
yet Pioneer of the Nile somehow still dominates the discussion?

This is what I'm saying. I'll never understand it. I'm done talking about slow horses, I'd rather talk about horses that actually run fast races and don't need 48 billion excuses.

GPK 05-16-2009 06:22 PM

Certianly all Pioneer of the Nile needs is 1 1/2 and the sweeping wide turns of Belmont, right?

cowgirlintexas 05-16-2009 06:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
Certianly all Pioneer of the Nile needs is 1 1/2 and the sweeping wide turns of Belmont, right?

Maybe so :D

King Glorious 05-16-2009 06:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78
a terrific performance by the filly, a gutsy run from Mine That Bird to make it close, Musket Man proves he is solid and belongs near the top of the crop,
yet Pioneer of the Nile somehow still dominates the discussion?

He shouldn't dominate the discussion but his detractors are just being ridiculous. No matter the surface, he's not 26 lengths worse than Mine that Bird. Be honest. He's not worse than Luv Guv and Flying Private. He was better than Papa Clem on synthetic and in the Derby and today was destroyed by that horse. Perhaps he's not top 20 of his class on dirt. Perhaps he's best of his class on synthetics. But when a horse runs a race that's obviously well below his par after being very consistent up til then.....they are just being silly. His Derby didn't validate his backers and this Preakness didn't validate his detractors.

Sightseek 05-16-2009 06:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious
He shouldn't dominate the discussion but his detractors are just being ridiculous. No matter the surface, he's not 26 lengths worse than Mine that Bird. Be honest. He's not worse than Luv Guv and Flying Private. He was better than Papa Clem on synthetic and in the Derby and today was destroyed by that horse. Perhaps he's not top 20 of his class on dirt. Perhaps he's best of his class on synthetics. But when a horse runs a race that's obviously well below his par after being very consistent up til then.....they are just being silly. His Derby didn't validate his backers and this Preakness didn't validate his detractors.

And it's not at all possible that this sudden loss of consistancy is because he has finally run over a dry dirt track?

Pioneerof Denial is what he should have been named. :D

sdjcom 05-16-2009 06:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious
He shouldn't dominate the discussion but his detractors are just being ridiculous. No matter the surface, he's not 26 lengths worse than Mine that Bird. Be honest. He's not worse than Luv Guv and Flying Private. He was better than Papa Clem on synthetic and in the Derby and today was destroyed by that horse. Perhaps he's not top 20 of his class on dirt. Perhaps he's best of his class on synthetics. But when a horse runs a race that's obviously well below his par after being very consistent up til then.....they are just being silly. His Derby didn't validate his backers and this Preakness didn't validate his detractors.

well said

pgardn 05-16-2009 06:27 PM

I think it is a good thing Rachel did not
run in the Derby. Mine that Bird is clearly
a tough horse.

King Glorious 05-16-2009 06:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek
And it's not at all possible that this sudden loss of consistancy is because he has finally run over a dry dirt track?

Pioneerof Denial is what he should have been named. :D

So then if he faces Flying Private and Luv Guv again on a dry dirt track, you'd pick them over him? Be honest. The truth more than likely lies in the middle. He's not as good as his junk track races would have made it appear but he's not as bad as today either. I mean come on. If you put Forever Together on dirt, she's not going to lose to maiden winners. She'd probably lose to good dirt horses but at some point, talent overcomes the surface doesn't it? If he'd lost to all good horses, that's one thing. He was beaten by LUV GUV!! Come on.

ArlJim78 05-16-2009 06:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious
He shouldn't dominate the discussion but his detractors are just being ridiculous. No matter the surface, he's not 26 lengths worse than Mine that Bird. Be honest. He's not worse than Luv Guv and Flying Private. He was better than Papa Clem on synthetic and in the Derby and today was destroyed by that horse. Perhaps he's not top 20 of his class on dirt. Perhaps he's best of his class on synthetics. But when a horse runs a race that's obviously well below his par after being very consistent up til then.....they are just being silly. His Derby didn't validate his backers and this Preakness didn't validate his detractors.

he's no Luv Guv, and he's been consistent, but I wasn't impressed with the way he looked in his synthetic races. I was surprised by his derby finish. honestly I don't think he is anything special

Handicappy 05-16-2009 06:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
How wide was he at the top of the stretch?

Not as bad as he could have been. Mike Smith (and I am not a huge fan) ran a terrific race. Rail wasn't open and he picked some small, tight spots with a very gutsy horse.

King Glorious 05-16-2009 06:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78
he's no Luv Guv, and he's been consistent, but I wasn't impressed with the way he looked in his synthetic races. I was surprised by his derby finish. honestly I don't think he is anything special

That's all I'm saying. He's not special. He's not a world beater. He obviously clearly better on synthetic than on dirt. But he's not as bad as he showed today either. That result wasn't simply a matter of the race being on dry dirt anymore than the result of the Derby being because it was in the slop.

Sightseek 05-16-2009 06:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious
So then if he faces Flying Private and Luv Guv again on a dry dirt track, you'd pick them over him? Be honest. The truth more than likely lies in the middle. He's not as good as his junk track races would have made it appear but he's not as bad as today either. I mean come on. If you put Forever Together on dirt, she's not going to lose to maiden winners. She'd probably lose to good dirt horses but at some point, talent overcomes the surface doesn't it? If he'd lost to all good horses, that's one thing. He was beaten by LUV GUV!! Come on.

Like I said on the other board, he didn't look as comfortable today as in his other races, but that is sort of the big debate with him - He wouldn't improve on dirt and thus far he has shown that is the case.

Indian Charlie 05-16-2009 06:40 PM

I can think of other reasons to account for POTN's race today that don't have anything to do with dirt.

Maybe something happened to the horse?
Maybe he peaked at SA?

I don't know what his story is, but there is no way he is as bad as his finish indicated.

As for Friesan Fire, he had no business running in this race. I read some speculation on here that his hoof injury was minimal and 'probably' was just blood from some minor lacerations on the leg.

I remember reading 4-5 days after the derby that they were using some sort of gunk on his hoof that is commonly used in diabetics with circulation and periphery tissue problems. They said it seemed to be working and if things went well, they would run him.

It really didn't seem possible that either the injury was grossly exaggerated to being with, or even less likely, the grabbed quarter miraculously healed in two weeks.

Handicappy 05-16-2009 06:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Larry Jones doesn't own him.

LOL, It is amazing how 5 words can be so well chosen. Larry Jones and his wife are a credit to the game and I dearly hope his time away from it is short.

Riot 05-16-2009 06:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man
That's pretty embarrassing, pushing her out late in the 1st turn and on the backstretch like he did, but, then again, Johnny V stopped riding anywhere near the rail years ago.

Please. The guy race-rode the whole damn field out of the gate.

pgardn 05-16-2009 06:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78
he's no Luv Guv, and he's been consistent, but I wasn't impressed with the way he looked in his synthetic races. I was surprised by his derby finish. honestly I don't think he is anything special

He was impressive in that he won.
His last two on syn. were not that great.
The Lewis was a nice one.

They connections said he had put on weight,
he looked really good, his coat was nice, all this
after the Derby. Well he chucked a real clunker.
He had not done that before.

King Glorious 05-16-2009 06:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek
Like I said on the other board, he didn't look as comfortable today as in his other races, but that is sort of the big debate with him - He wouldn't improve on dirt and thus far he has shown that is the case.

And I totally agree with that. Before the Derby, I never once said he would improve. I only said that I didn't think it was automatic that he wouldn't like it and would regress. Now, I'm on the side of those that said he wouldn't like it. But there is a difference between not liking a surface and running bad and not showing up at all. A lot of horses prefer one surface over another but I don't think you go from being a grade one winner on one to not even being able to beat maidens on another.

Handicappy 05-16-2009 06:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
Certianly all Pioneer of the Nile needs is 1 1/2 and the sweeping wide turns of Belmont, right?

He's not going there. Baffert is taking him back to California, give him a little break and look forward to the rest of the year that includes the Breeders Cup in his own backyard.

The Indomitable DrugS 05-16-2009 06:50 PM

Mine That Bird certainly got a great pace setup ... but he made an excellent account of himself for sure.

Looks like the tactic of having him jog and loaf through the very early stages has moved him up big time. Obviously.

I'm curious to see how he runs in the Belmont when you can't loaf away the early stages of the race and expect them to come back to you because the pace is often much slower. ... baring the entry of any speed sprinter types like High Finance or baring the entry of a dominant speed router like a Smarty Jones who was forced to brush off an insanely premature middle move from a Malibu winner.

To me RA is a dominant speed router - and I like MTB's Belmont chances better if she runs .. they won't let her have a Da Tara jog on an uncontested lead trip obviously.

Even though I thought RA was a cinch today .. I got burnt because I played against MTB underneath .. and I will eagerly play against him in the Belmont again if RA doesn't run.

RA saw real pace pressure today from a very good and very fresh speed horse coming off of a razor sharp win. Look at the horses who were also wide into the 1st turn and not far behind her ... I believe they were Friesan Fire, POTN, and General Quarters ... all of them were exhusted and beaten by a country mile.

Riot 05-16-2009 06:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cowgirlintexas
Would have been just what racing needs right now. A filly that might have been the next Triple Crown Winner...

Kinda feel bad for Mine That Bird.

Now yet another year of "what if's" and "might have been's"

Huh? Why think about races not run, when what's right in front of our eyes is pretty first class? :tro:

What racing needs right now it's getting, in spades and on national TV - a KY Derby winner who duplicated his impressive performance in the Preakness, but was beaten a length by a filly that just may be among the greats.

pgardn 05-16-2009 06:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
I'm curious to see how he MTB runs in the Belmont when you can't loaf away the early stages of the race and expect them to come back to you because the pace is often much slower.

I wanted to say this.


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