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the_fat_man 08-12-2008 10:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
What has been done wrong other than the horrifically bad weather?

What's wrong is that MUCHO time of handicappers (particularly those focusing almost exclusively on turf) has been wasted with all the OFF the TURF races. This would be excusable IF there were only ONE turf course. As there are TWO turf courses, NYRA needs to shelve the old way of doing things and sacrifice one of those courses for wet days. It's not like they'll need BOTH turf courses for the entire year. Same applies to BEL.

And, the distance incentive has been a BUST, IMO. Do we really need $70k maiden route races? How about we use that EXTRA cash in writing some BETTER races for BETTER horses. Seems to me, the quality of horses is down this year as there are other options for them (at comparable purses).

While the quality of the fields doesn't really affect my handicapping, as I know the turf horses well and I've pretty much accepted that there just won't be as many quality turf races in NY anymore, I do, every so often, want to see a nice competitive turf race. If I wanted CLAIMERS, I'd focus on DEL, CNL, Maryland, and (in a lesser sense) AP and MTH.

I realize that SAR offers a nice ON TRACK experience. For the OFF track player, however, it's very much an ordinary (even subpar) one.

Sightseek 08-12-2008 11:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man
What's wrong is that MUCHO time of handicappers (particularly those focusing almost exclusively on turf) has been wasted with all the OFF the TURF races. This would be excusable IF there were only ONE turf course. As there are TWO turf courses, NYRA needs to shelve the old way of doing things and sacrifice one of those courses for wet days. It's not like they'll need BOTH turf courses for the entire year. Same applies to BEL.

And, the distance incentive has been a BUST, IMO. Do we really need $70k maiden route races? How about we use that EXTRA cash in writing some BETTER races for BETTER horses. Seems to me, the quality of horses is down this year as there are other options for them (at comparable purses).

While the quality of the fields doesn't really affect my handicapping, as I know the turf horses well and I've pretty much accepted that there just won't be as many quality turf races in NY anymore, I do, every so often, want to see a nice competitive turf race. If I wanted CLAIMERS, I'd focus on DEL, CNL, Maryland, and (in a lesser sense) AP and MTH.

I realize that SAR offers a nice ON TRACK experience. For the OFF track player, however, it's very much an ordinary (even subpar) one.

Where are there better horses?

blackthroatedwind 08-12-2008 11:04 AM

Sacrifice one of the courses in bad weather?

Come on, you're smarter than that. Honestly.

Linny 08-12-2008 11:09 AM

The problem is that the better races DONT FILL. The trainers want to run their allowance stock every 6 weeks so those races don't go.
The additional money in overnight races has hurt the stakes program though. A filly like Nehantic Cat is through her NY bred conditions yet instead of going in the Yaddo against multiple stakes winners, Tagg had the option to run for and $85k purse on Wed against NW1x fillies. Purse for Yaddo against filies like Rewrite, $100K or $60k to winner, before expenses. Purse for allowance $85k or $51k. I know $9k is alot of money but for the difference in the expected quality of the fields, it's a no brainer, especially after paying trainer/rider fees etc.
PJ is giving trainers too many options. Why card a 9f "overnight" stakes 30 minutes before the Jim Dandy with the same conditions as the G2? In the example above, if the allowance that Nehantic Cat won had a $50k purse, she might have gone for the stakes.
A few months ago he carded an overnight sprint for NYB fillies with a $85k purse. The following day was an open overnight for fillies with the same purse. The open race didn't fill. Why not just card the open and force the trainers of good NYB's to run in it. Instead they got a short field of NYB mares. Makes no sense...

parsixfarms 08-12-2008 11:33 AM

In many respects, the racing office is in a "damned if you do, damned if you don't" situation on the overnight stakes program. My sense is that a few years ago, several NW2x or NW3X allowance-type horses were shipping to places like Monmouth or Delaware to run in overnight/$70K stakes races. To keep them at home, NYRA bolstered its own overnight program. One of the unforeseen consequences is that, given the state of racing today, it has cannibalized the overnight allowance program (especially with 3YO races, where the stakes are glorified NW1/2X-type races). But at least the horses are generally staying home now. Should there be a greater purse difference between the allowance/overnight stakes and the "featured" stakes races? Probably.

Two other thoughts: I am not a fan of the extra races that NYRA is carding, especially with the 6 day race week. (I almost feel like I'm at Calder or Gulfstream.) Aside from taxing the horse population (and leading to lesser quality fields being needed), I think it taxes the fans as well. There's something about being able to leave the track at a reasonable hour. Combined with an average of 33 minutes between races (about 1-2 minutes per race additional this year), it's tough. Approximate post for Thursday's 10th race is 6:04 PM. That's not good. In the past, that race, even on a weekend, would go off around 5:45 PM.

Finally, I'm also perplexed by the positioning of the stakes races on the cards. I understand that, when there is a short field in the given race, they may want to move it to get it out of the late pic-4 or pic-6. However, the positioning of the stakes races this past Sunday was downright baffling. The Yaddo was the fourth race of the day, while the West Point (an excellent betting race with a full field) was the seventh race on an 11 race card. Meanwhile, the next sequence of races consisted of a $35K NW2L claimer for fillies at 5.5F, an NY-bred NW2X and an open NW1X allowance.

Quiet Chris 08-12-2008 11:37 AM

The difficulty of the races that fill at Saratoga are not worth the extra few thousand. Trainers realize they are much better off going to Delaware of Monmouth.

Training racehorses has become a game of percentages. You don't get good win and in the money percentages running in tough fields. You go where the softer fields are.

Saratoga is slowly becoming stakes races with some NY bred races as filler.

philcski 08-12-2008 11:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man
What's wrong is that MUCHO time of handicappers (particularly those focusing almost exclusively on turf) has been wasted with all the OFF the TURF races. This would be excusable IF there were only ONE turf course. As there are TWO turf courses, NYRA needs to shelve the old way of doing things and sacrifice one of those courses for wet days. It's not like they'll need BOTH turf courses for the entire year. Same applies to BEL.

And, the distance incentive has been a BUST, IMO. Do we really need $70k maiden route races? How about we use that EXTRA cash in writing some BETTER races for BETTER horses. Seems to me, the quality of horses is down this year as there are other options for them (at comparable purses).

While the quality of the fields doesn't really affect my handicapping, as I know the turf horses well and I've pretty much accepted that there just won't be as many quality turf races in NY anymore, I do, every so often, want to see a nice competitive turf race. If I wanted CLAIMERS, I'd focus on DEL, CNL, Maryland, and (in a lesser sense) AP and MTH.

I realize that SAR offers a nice ON TRACK experience. For the OFF track player, however, it's very much an ordinary (even subpar) one.

You're out of your mind. Sacrifice one of the turf courses?? Even if they did, how is handicapping running in a bog any fun? Do you realize how much rain there has been up there over the past three weeks?

The distance incentive has NOT been a bust, IMO. How many would have been in the Unbridled's Heart race a couple Saturdays ago if the purse incentive was not there? It would have been a 5-6 horse field with a heavy favorite, not exactly a fun gambling experience.

There's a couple things I've had an issue with. (1) Writing races that cannabalize their own feature events (i.e., the race before the Jim Dandy and the 3YO filly sprint stake on Test day.) (2) Going to the California-style layout of the races, putting the shorter fields in the beginning of the day, in an attempt to induce pick-6 carryovers (which given the moderate size of the pick 6 pools relative to CA, isn't worth it).

As for the quality horses thing... they're just not out there. Find me a horse that is running at another meet that would normally be running in NY.

Sightseek 08-12-2008 11:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
You're out of your mind. Sacrifice one of the turf courses?? Even if they did, how is handicapping running in a bog any fun? Do you realize how much rain there has been up there over the past three weeks?

The distance incentive has NOT been a bust, IMO. How many would have been in the Unbridled's Heart race a couple Saturdays ago if the purse incentive was not there? It would have been a 5-6 horse field with a heavy favorite, not exactly a fun gambling experience.

There's a couple things I've had an issue with. (1) Writing races that cannabalize their own feature events (i.e., the race before the Jim Dandy and the 3YO filly sprint stake on Test day.) (2) Going to the California-style layout of the races, putting the shorter fields in the beginning of the day, in an attempt to induce pick-6 carryovers (which given the moderate size of the pick 6 pools relative to CA, isn't worth it).

As for the quality horses thing... they're just not out there. Find me a horse that is running at another meet that would normally be running in NY.

Even if they hadn't carded that filly stake, with the way horses are managed now, it's doubtful many of them would have wanted to face Indian Blessing.

blackthroatedwind 08-12-2008 11:56 AM

Just to clarify some confusion....


Not one horse in the Allowance before the Jim Dandy was going to run in the Jim Dandy ( which PJ knew ) and as a consequence we now have two new starters, and contenders, for the Travers.


If this was a mistake on his part he should continue screwing things up.

parsixfarms 08-12-2008 12:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Not one horse in the Allowance before the Jim Dandy was going to run in the Jim Dandy ( which PJ knew ) and as a consequence we now have two new starters, and contenders, for the Travers.

Just to be correct, it was a "stakes" race that was contested directly before the Jim Dandy.

Also, while it looks like it may have worked out well so far as creating two possible Travers starters, I think it's probably a stretch to say that PJ "knew" that no one from that stakes race would have contested the Jim Dandy when the condition book came out the first week of July. Tizbig, for example, had just finished second in the Dwyer, and Pascal was a "wiseguy" selection in the Saratoga race off an interesting running line in the Dwyer as well.

Linny 08-12-2008 12:21 PM

Andy
If that's the case, good for PJ. I do think that some of the additions have hurt the stakes program.

blackthroatedwind 08-12-2008 12:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by parsixfarms
Just to be correct, it was a "stakes" race that was contested directly before the Jim Dandy.

Also, while it looks like it may have worked out well so far as creating two possible Travers starters, I think it's probably a stretch to say that PJ "knew" that no one from that stakes race would have contested the Jim Dandy when the condition book came out the first week of July. Tizbig, for example, had just finished second in the Dwyer, and Pascal was a "wiseguy" selection in the Saratoga race off an interesting running line in the Dwyer as well.



Herein lies the difference.....you think....while I know.

blackthroatedwind 08-12-2008 12:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Linny
Andy
If that's the case, good for PJ. I do think that some of the additions have hurt the stakes program.


I'm not necessarily arguing with this. I just wanted to be clear on the race before the Jim Dandy.

SniperSB23 08-12-2008 12:25 PM

The Dandy worked out but the carding of the 3yo filly sprint on the same day as the Test was a big mistake. The Test has drawn fields in the past even with heavy favorites simply cause it is the last G1 of the racing season for 3yo fillies so people will take the shot. The last four years it drew 12, 13, 9, and 12 horse fields. This year it was a joke.

Gander 08-12-2008 12:36 PM

Anyone know if Fairbanks will try the Woodward?

Coach Pants 08-12-2008 12:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gander
Anyone know if Fairbanks will try the Woodward?

Why would he?

Gander 08-12-2008 12:43 PM

Because its a huge purse, he loves Saratoga and who besides Curlin would he have to face? 2nd place pays out a lot of money.

philcski 08-12-2008 12:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Just to clarify some confusion....


Not one horse in the Allowance before the Jim Dandy was going to run in the Jim Dandy ( which PJ knew ) and as a consequence we now have two new starters, and contenders, for the Travers.


If this was a mistake on his part he should continue screwing things up.

Well therein lies a major problem, the condition book came out 2-3 weeks before this race went off. 7 horses ran in the Henry Walton, all of whose trainers told him they would not run in the Jim Dandy under ANY circumstances? So he went ahead and wrote a "stakes" race for 3YO's at the same distance on the same day?

There is a lot of competition for horseflesh to fill good races, we all agree with that. A 3YO wanting to go in an age restricted stakes race at a mile and an eighth could choose the Jim Dandy for $500k, the WV Derby for $750k, and the Haskell for $1,000,000 all within that week, not to mention, for those that were still N1X eligible an $80k allowance against 3YO's. Why would anyone in their right mind write a condition that gives the trainers an out? You don't want to go in the Dandy? Fine, run against older in an N2X or ship out to Chester, WV. Save the barn space for someone who actually wants to run.

Oh wait, I forgot- Pyro is such a monster they were all avoiding him :rolleyes:

blackthroatedwind 08-12-2008 12:53 PM

Just be thankful that it is raining out again and the drought is staved off for another day.

philcski 08-12-2008 12:53 PM

By the way, half of the fillies that should have been running in Friday's Lake George went in Saturday's Madame Jumel Stakes...

the_fat_man 08-12-2008 12:54 PM

Here's the evidence:

next 2 days on the turf

8 races total (not including the jumper)

3 sprints (5.5F): 2 clmg ($35k), mdn clmg ($45-40k),

5 routes:

4 MSW and 1 clmg ($35k)


NOW, that's QUALITY!!! what an embarrassment.


As for the sacrificing of one of the turf courses, why can't it be done?
Use extended rails on one of the courses and run on it when you'd typically take the races off. You'd have a course you'd beat up but that you could use for the rain days and you'd have a pristine course for the 'BIG' races (as few as these might be these days). The only reason this hasn't been done before is that, to the best of my knowledge, SAR and BEL are the only tracks with 2 turf courses. Put them to use. Stop wasting my time. WTF are we saving the courses for, winter polo?

parsixfarms 08-12-2008 12:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Herein lies the difference.....you think....while I know.

You highlighted the wrong part of my post on which I was focusing ("...when the condition book came out"). The Saratoga condition book came out on July 4. The Dwyer Stakes was not contested until July 6. To say that PJ "knew" before the Dwyer was contested that the Henry Walton would not draw a horse from the Jim Dandy makes absolutely no sense. To "know" that a few weeks later is believable.

Coach Pants 08-12-2008 01:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gander
Because its a huge purse, he loves Saratoga and who besides Curlin would he have to face? 2nd place pays out a lot of money.

He has a tendency to fold like a cheap tent when he gets passed.

If I were his trainer I would run him at Monmouth.

parsixfarms 08-12-2008 01:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gander
Because its a huge purse, he loves Saratoga and who besides Curlin would he have to face? 2nd place pays out a lot of money.

Divine Park is a decent horse.

blackthroatedwind 08-12-2008 01:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by parsixfarms
You highlighted the wrong part of my post on which I was focusing ("...when the condition book came out"). The Saratoga condition book came out on July 4. The Dwyer Stakes was not contested until July 6. To say that PJ "knew" before the Dwyer was contested that the Henry Walton would not draw a horse from the Jim Dandy makes absolutely no sense. To "know" that a few weeks later is believable.



Sorry. I was probably excited that we finally got some rain.

philcski 08-12-2008 01:17 PM

How many fully dry days have there been this meet?

I think the over/under is 3.5.

Sightseek 08-12-2008 01:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
How many fully dry days have there been this meet?

I think the over/under is 3.5.

At least 3, the first friday, Racing Hall of Fame Stakes day and last Saturday.

Gander 08-12-2008 01:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants
He has a tendency to fold like a cheap tent when he gets passed.

If I were his trainer I would run him at Monmouth.

Monmouth would work. Either that or Saratoga where he just blasted allowance horses disguised as a stakes race. :zz: On a Saturday of all days.
Imagine that, we can look back on this meet in Sep and reflect back on who the stars of the Saturdays were and Fairbanks name will be front and center.
My, have times and racing changed.

SniperSB23 08-12-2008 01:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek
At least 3, the first friday, Racing Hall of Fame Stakes day and last Saturday.

It rained for at least a few minutes that day.

Coach Pants 08-12-2008 01:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gander
Monmouth would work. Either that or Saratoga where he just blasted allowance horses disguised as a stakes race. :zz: On a Saturday of all days.
Imagine that, we can look back on this meet in Sep and reflect back on who the stars of the Saturdays were and Fairbanks name will be front and center.
My, have times and racing changed.

It was a paceless race. He would be the bet against of the century in the Woodward against Curlin.

If Fairbanks is considered a star then mass suicides should be an option for racing fans.

philcski 08-12-2008 01:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants
It was a paceless race. He would be the bet against of the century in the Woodward against Curlin.

If Fairbanks is considered a star then mass suicides should be an option for racing fans.

Agree 100%... and if Commentator goes he'll be the best bet of the year to finish last.

parsixfarms 08-12-2008 02:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Sorry. I was probably excited that we finally got some rain.

And to think in May that I was concerned about what might happen to my lawn because the sprinkler system was not working properly.

Gander 08-12-2008 02:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants
It was a paceless race. He would be the bet against of the century in the Woodward against Curlin.

If Fairbanks is considered a star then mass suicides should be an option for racing fans.

A bet against?! Only an idiot like me would bet him. He'll be 30/1 in the Woodward. Everybody will be betting against him.

I dont think Commentator is running. In which case might make this another paceless race. The Whitney was paceless. They let Commentator crawl on the front end. Why does he get so much credit for that win and Fairbanks hardly any for his?

slotdirt 08-12-2008 02:11 PM

You know, I'm looking at tomorrow's card for Laurel and given its quality, I can certainly see why folks are complaining about the cards at Saratoga. I'd much rather have Wednesday cards filled with the $4500 claimers at Laurel than the horse flesh seeing the track in upstate New York.

TheSpyder 08-12-2008 02:20 PM

You know I started this thread and have not changed my mind, but, there are some good races. You may think differently but tomorrow's 6th race is what I like about Saratoga. Yes, it's a 35000 claiming race, but on the turf with horses coming off 6 different tracks. Some old ones coming down, some new ones coming up, and a puzzle that if you can figure out has tremendous value.

Spyder

Gander 08-12-2008 02:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheSpyder
You know I started this thread and have not changed my mind, but, there are some good races. You may think differently but tomorrow's 6th race is what I like about Saratoga. Yes, it's a 35000 claiming race, but on the turf with horses coming off 6 different tracks. Some old ones coming down, some new ones coming up, and a puzzle that if you can figure out has tremendous value.

Spyder

I agree. Tomorrow's card is quite intriguing. The meet's 2nd half will be pretty great. So many big stakes to look forward to and the weather just has to be better.

SniperSB23 08-12-2008 02:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
Agree 100%... and if Commentator goes he'll be the best bet of the year to finish last.

Somehow I don't think Zito would run Wanderin Boy against him.

Sightseek 08-12-2008 02:34 PM

I thought both the filly and colt stake races this week came up better than in past years.

ateamstupid 08-12-2008 02:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gander
I agree. Tomorrow's card is quite intriguing. The meet's 2nd half will be pretty great. So many big stakes to look forward to and the weather just has to be better.

I'd agree if there weren't five two-year-old races. The other half of the card is solid. Thursday's card looks good, though I've only glanced at it.

alysheba4 08-12-2008 03:06 PM

i like the 2 year old races, but much like any race at toga its hard for me to put anything together:confused:


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