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-   -   Lock of the year (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=63257)

jms62 10-13-2017 12:09 PM

I'd take a shot with 2-Pinot

Kasept 10-13-2017 12:17 PM

Joe & Ed look like they have this cornered with the 1 & 11..

I think you want to add #2 Pinot, by win early Into Mischief, to the mix at 10-1. KEE-based Gorder another guy that does strong work second out, filly got an education in modest debut and drilled a sharp half mile readying for this..

Best Value: #2 Pinot 10-1 5th
Next Best: #11 Trust 5-1 WON ($9.80)
Exotics Use: #12 Flash n' Dance 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Gorgeous in Rags 12-1 4th

knickslions2 10-13-2017 12:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1100950)
Joe & Ed look like they have this cornered with the 1 & 11..

I think you want to add #2 Pinot, by win early Into Mischief, to the mix at 10-1. KEE-based Gorder another guy that does strong work second out, filly got an education in modest debut and drilled a sharp half mile readying for this..

Best Value: #2 Pinot 10-1
Next Best: #11 Trust 5-1
Exotics Use: #1 Dagney's Warrior 6-1
Super Add; #12 Flash n' Dance 3-1

Ya that 1 scratched so 2 is a must add on for sure. I think the 12 is just faster then the 11 here so I wouldn't use the 11 so Im sure 11 will romp. The 14 horse is interesting that I may dabble a little on. GL

Kasept 10-13-2017 01:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2 (Post 1100952)
Ya that 1 scratched so 2 is a must add on for sure. I think the 12 is just faster then the 11 here so I wouldn't use the 11 so Im sure 11 will romp. The 14 horse is interesting that I may dabble a little on. GL

#14 August Snow a $1.3MM half to Hoppertunity/Executiveprivlege by Tapit..

10 pnt move up 10-13-2017 01:59 PM

5/1, is that a good thing given the connections? maybe its just that good a race, either way you can send it in at that price on your lock...good luck.

blackthroatedwind 10-13-2017 02:21 PM

Tremendous job.

10 pnt move up 10-13-2017 02:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RHT2004 (Post 1100900)
Friday, Keeneland Race 5
#11 Trust

This horse cannot be defeated.

SWEEEEEEEEEEEEET

robfla 10-13-2017 02:21 PM

great job! - especially with all the dead weight on your back

cakes44 10-13-2017 02:21 PM

BOOM.

knickslions2 10-13-2017 02:22 PM

Well done Joey

jms62 10-13-2017 02:23 PM

Well Done...

Rverge 10-13-2017 02:24 PM

nice hit 7/2!

Alabama Stakes 10-13-2017 02:24 PM

Well done on the lock.

MinnSkinny 10-13-2017 02:24 PM

Good call.

ONTHERAIL 10-13-2017 02:32 PM

Nice Work!!

3kings 10-13-2017 03:12 PM

Nice call at just a tick under 4-1.

Kitan 10-13-2017 03:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RHT2004 (Post 1100947)
20-1 Is silly. Even if he runs last, giving me 7x his likely post time odds is ignorant.

Nice pick RHT. I wouldn't have bet her even at 20-1 because I thought the horse had no chance with the inside speed. Evidently, they both SCRed after I posted. Not backing away from what I said (in fixed odds it doesn't matter) or taking away from your pick, but it definitely changed the race complexion.

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 1100948)
So you have no opinion, but knocked his?

You didn't need the second paragraph. You were just piling on yourself. What exchange wagering has to do with you obnoxiously criticizing someone else's pick, especially when you don't even have one of your own, will remain a great mystery.

I've posted enough picks here for it to be well known I'm not afraid of making my opinions public. Other than to force bets, why do I have to have an opinion on a winner every race? I'm not being paid to pick. Can't my opinion be that I find it hard to like anything and I'd much rather lay against what I think is a bad favourite or low underlay than to take a shot to try and beat him/her? How many times have you taken a random stab against a bad fav only for some other random horse like Snake Oil Charlie to win? Wouldn't you have preferred just to bet against the fav winning?

blackthroatedwind 10-13-2017 03:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kitan (Post 1100974)
Nice pick RHT. I wouldn't have bet her even at 20-1 because I thought the horse had no chance with the inside speed. Evidently, they both SCRed after I posted. Not backing away from what I said (in fixed odds it doesn't matter) or taking away from your pick, but it definitely changed the race complexion.



I've posted enough picks here for it to be well known I'm not afraid of making my opinions public. Other than to force bets, why do I have to have an opinion on a winner every race? I'm not being paid to pick. Can't my opinion be that I find it hard to like anything and I'd much rather lay against what I think is a bad favourite or low underlay than to take a shot to try and beat him/her? How many times have you taken a random stab against a bad fav only for some other random horse like Snake Oil Charlie to win? Wouldn't you have preferred just to bet against the fav winning?


So let's see, you actually gave a caveat for your horrendous opinion ( one man's caveat is another's whine ) as opposed to JUST congratulating him on a sensational opinion.

As for stabs...Snake Oil Charlie? Really? The last time I picked him he won at Aqueduct a couple years ago and paid around $24. You're really on top of your game today. Probably should have quit while you were merely badly behind.

I do, however, give you credit for posting pre-race picks here. That's very fair. You certainly have done a lot of that.

Kasept 10-13-2017 04:03 PM

Great work Joe! That was fun.

Kitan 10-13-2017 04:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 1100975)
So let's see, you actually gave a caveat for your horrendous opinion ( one man's caveat is another's whine ) as opposed to JUST congratulating him on a sensational opinion.

As for stabs...Snake Oil Charlie? Really? The last time I picked him he won at Aqueduct a couple years ago and paid around $24. You're really on top of your game today. Probably should have quit while you were merely badly behind.

I do, however, give you credit for posting pre-race picks here. That's very fair. You certainly have done a lot of that.

$24 isn't random, $100+ in his maiden was. Anyways, criticized for not giving an opinion, lambasted for then explaining my opinion. It's midnight, I don't have time to keep giving you bait. Have a nice day.


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