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-   -   Live Odds for Derby (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=42188)

philcski 05-06-2011 09:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sightseek (Post 774703)
This article is saying 276K in the pool and only 1 simulcast outlet has sent their money in.

Twice the Appeal 2nd choice at 7-1...

This will probably come back to bite me in the pants, but is Pants On Fire 9-1 because of Rosie and the name? :confused:

http://www.drf.com/news/kentucky-der...-early-betting
POF fits pretty well on Thorograph. I think he's a contender in a very muddled group.

And I can't believe I'm saying this but I agree with Justin Dew. The odds don't usually change that much from Friday's action to post time Saturday. Twice the Appeal will be less than 15-1.

randallscott35 05-07-2011 12:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski (Post 774707)
POF fits pretty well on Thorograph. I think he's a contender in a very muddled group.

And I can't believe I'm saying this but I agree with Justin Dew. The odds don't usually change that much from Friday's action to post time Saturday. Twice the Appeal will be less than 15-1.
Astoundingly 9-1 still. I was wrong.

Dunbar 05-07-2011 01:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 774895)
Astoundingly 9-1 still. I was wrong.
I made the same mistake last year, Randall, predicting that one horse's odds were an early betting anomoly that would surely be corrected on Saturday. I don't remember the horse, but the odds hardly moved at all.

--Dunbar

randallscott35 05-07-2011 01:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dunbar (Post 774931)
I made the same mistake last year, Randall, predicting that one horse's odds were an early betting anomoly that would surely be corrected on Saturday. I don't remember the horse, but the odds hardly moved at all.

--Dunbar
I mean if he wins with TTA he deserves to be in the Hall of Fame this summer.

pointman 05-07-2011 02:19 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski (Post 774707)
POF fits pretty well on Thorograph. I think he's a contender in a very muddled group.

And I can't believe I'm saying this but I agree with Justin Dew. The odds don't usually change that much from Friday's action to post time Saturday. Twice the Appeal will be less than 15-1.
Even a broken clock is right twice a day. The odds rarely move significantly from day 1 to post time in the Derby

justindew 05-08-2011 08:46 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 774596)
95k. I'm not taking your money Jdew
11.9 to 1.

I win.

randallscott35 05-08-2011 11:32 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by justindew (Post 775227)
11.9 to 1.

I win.
I purchased a new clown car for you. Enjoy!

justindew 05-08-2011 11:36 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 775273)
I purchased a new clown car for you. Enjoy!
Those who follow me on Facebook and Twitter know why I don't need anyone to purchase anything for me. I'll but my own clown car.


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