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-   -   Early Early derby odds (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=35827)

philcski 04-30-2010 11:10 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 641714)
Surprised she's that high.
I'm not... Jerry Brown recommended a bet against. She'll probably drift down but 6/5 was probably too low a morning line.

Antitrust32 04-30-2010 11:11 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rpncaine (Post 641711)
Correct
thanks!

NoLuvForPletch 04-30-2010 11:17 AM
a) what does 2 inches of rain do to this place besides make it real wet?

b) knowing what is coming (above), and knowing that all people are talking about in regards to how much speed there will be on the front end, how is ice box not taking more money? i don't like him at 6-1, but have to play him at double digits, especially after his work in the water the other day...

tjfla 04-30-2010 11:19 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by alysheba4 (Post 641717)
noble,s promise @ 23-1 is fantastic......i am getting down a 1,2,3,4,20 ex. bx & tri bx. n.p is ready to fire HUGE.....
The Hammer pick him=no one will play him LOL

alysheba4 04-30-2010 11:27 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by tjfla (Post 641724)
The Hammer pick him=no one will play him LOL
....you just brought me down man........

ateamstupid 04-30-2010 12:47 PM
Early Derby wagering
 
Small sample, but nobody shorter than 7-1. Wouldn't be surprised if we see a Harlan's Holiday situation with this field.

randallscott35 04-30-2010 12:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 641783)
Small sample, but nobody shorter than 7-1. Wouldn't be surprised if we see a Harlan's Holiday situation with this field.
Already a thread

randallscott35 04-30-2010 02:09 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski (Post 641718)
I'm not... Jerry Brown recommended a bet against. She'll probably drift down but 6/5 was probably too low a morning line.
Now 7/5. Will go off even money IMO.

Antitrust32 04-30-2010 02:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 641859)
Now 7/5. Will go off even money IMO.
its settled than.. the only bet i'm making for the oaks is a oaks/derby double.

ateamstupid 04-30-2010 02:21 PM
Super Saver holding as surprising 7-1 chalk. Lookin at Lucky 8-1, Awesome Act and Devil May Care 10-1, Sidney's Candy 11-1.

iamthelurker 04-30-2010 02:31 PM
Even with the post 7 or 8 to one on Lookin at Lucky is major value.

2MinsToPost 04-30-2010 02:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 641877)
Super Saver holding as surprising 7-1 chalk. Lookin at Lucky 8-1, Awesome Act and Devil May Care 10-1, Sidney's Candy 11-1.
Calvin Borel fan club must be out in full force at Churchill today. Every time I have been there in person and he has won a race the place erupted. Smiley must be all smiles.

randallscott35 04-30-2010 02:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by iamthelurker (Post 641893)
Even with the post 7 or 8 to one on Lookin at Lucky is major value.
I agree but remember it is early in these pools. But 5-1 is even higher than I thought he'd go off so we'll see.

2MinsToPost 04-30-2010 02:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 641897)
I agree but remember it is early in these pools. But 5-1 is even higher than I thought he'd go off so we'll see.
Yeah I think they only got like $160,000 in right?

Patrick333 04-30-2010 03:20 PM
Thanks for posting the link.

pmacdaddy 04-30-2010 05:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski (Post 641713)
twinspires.com has the Oaks/Derby probables... I used Blind Luck's double prices as the start and recalculated to determine the odds.

For what it's worth, she's 9/5 in the double pool.
Have you seen willpays?

Thanks

jwkniska 04-30-2010 05:20 PM
Below are the Will Pays for the $2 Oaks-Derby Double Wager
1 - Lookin at Lucky $22.40
2 - Ice Box $59.60
3 - Noble's Promise $96.60
4 - Super Saver $56.60
5 - Line of David $151.80
6 - Stately Victor $87.20
7 - American Lion $137.80
8 - Dean's Kitten $235.40
9 - Make Music for Me $278.00
10 - Paddy O'Prado $106.20
11 - Devil May Care $67.80
12 - Conveyance $118.80
13 - Jackson Bend $122.80
14 - Mission Impazible $102.60
15 - Discreetly Mine $241.00
16 - Awesome Act $39.20
17 - Dublin $108.20
18 - Backtalk $250.20
19 - Homeboykris $309.20
20 - Sidney's Candy $46.40

TheSpyder 04-30-2010 05:24 PM
Thanks JW

Quote:
Originally Posted by jwkniska (Post 641999)
Below are the Will Pays for the $2 Oaks-Derby Double Wager
1 - Lookin at Lucky $22.40
2 - Ice Box $59.60
3 - Noble's Promise $96.60
4 - Super Saver $56.60
5 - Line of David $151.80
6 - Stately Victor $87.20
7 - American Lion $137.80
8 - Dean's Kitten $235.40
9 - Make Music for Me $278.00
10 - Paddy O'Prado $106.20
11 - Devil May Care $67.80
12 - Conveyance $118.80
13 - Jackson Bend $122.80
14 - Mission Impazible $102.60
15 - Discreetly Mine $241.00
16 - Awesome Act $39.20
17 - Dublin $108.20
18 - Backtalk $250.20
19 - Homeboykris $309.20
20 - Sidney's Candy $46.40

jwkniska 04-30-2010 05:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheSpyder (Post 642002)
Thanks JW
had to find that one quick, as I'm live to three of them.

pmacdaddy 04-30-2010 05:34 PM
GL. Thanks.


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