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-   -   The Wood June 5, 2009 (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=30088)

moses 06-05-2009 10:13 PM

On a very limited bankroll today since I got completely sodomized at the track today but what the hell. Basically, I need Silent Stalk to win in the 5th.

Race 4:

Pick 3 --> 3, 6, 10 / 3 / 4

Race 5:

Pick 3 --> 3 / 4 / 1, 4, 5, 6, 7

Pick 4 --> 3 / 4 / 6 / 2, 3, 7

Exacta --> 3 with 1, 7, 8

Trifecta --> 3 with 1, 8 with 1, 8

dean smith 06-05-2009 10:14 PM

There's a thread going on where someone listed the Derby Trail guys who they thought won money gambling on horses.

I was shocked and appalled not to see sdjcom on that list.

MaTH716 06-05-2009 10:23 PM

Wow, I can't believe the 7 is 4/5.

sdjcom 06-05-2009 10:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dean smith
There's a thread going on where someone listed the Derby Trail guys who they thought won money gambling on horses.

I was shocked and appalled not to see sdjcom on that list.

dean,... lol i'm down 4600 so far this year, iv'e got to do some big hitt'in to break even for the year.

dean smith 06-05-2009 10:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sdjcom
dean,... lol i'm down 4600 so far this year, iv'e got to do some big hitt'in to break even for the year.

But that's your style, baby! The ol' rope-a-dope. I know I'm going to log on someday and see that you've taken down a $10,000 trifecta or $100K Pick Six. You work too hard at this for me to think otherwise.

sdjcom 06-05-2009 10:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dean smith
But that's your style, baby! The ol' rope-a-dope. I know I'm going to log on someday and see that you've taken down a $10,000 trifecta or $100K Pick Six. You work too hard at this for me to think otherwise.

lol... well thx for your confidence it will be a tri or super cause i rarely play pk6 except for an occasion my wife will play a number or names, she is handicapping now and is going to box MTB-Chocalate C, -Summer B, i;m going to play wps on Summer bird. good-luck to you tommorrow i have to drive most of the day. on that big hit ..it's coming my friend

dean smith 06-05-2009 10:34 PM

R2) $5 w 4,10 lost
$2 exb 4,6,10 lost. cheaped out. almost added the 9.

Yeah... I'm dutching.

MaTH716 06-05-2009 10:34 PM

2nd
$1 tri 6/7,9,10/7,9,10

dean smith 06-05-2009 10:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716
2nd
$1 tri 6/7,9,10/7,9,10

Oof. Heartbreaker. You were right on it, Math. Just missed it. Warning track.

MaTH716 06-05-2009 10:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dean smith
Oof. Heartbreaker. You were right on it, Math. Just missed it. Warning track.

Yeah unfortunately for me any horse Joy Scott is on is usually an auto toss. But there were a few angles that made him playable.

moses 06-05-2009 10:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sdjcom
lol... well thx for your confidence it will be a tri or super cause i rarely play pk6 except for an occasion my wife will play a number or names, she is handicapping now and is going to box MTB-Chocalate C, -Summer B, i;m going to play wps on Summer bird. good-luck to you tommorrow i have to drive most of the day. on that big hit ..it's coming my friend

Have you hit a $10,000 trifecta before?

dean smith 06-05-2009 10:52 PM

How do you guys handicap turf races differently than dirt? I understand it's the late kick that counts, but I have to admit, I'm lost on the turf.

moses 06-05-2009 10:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dean smith
How do you guys handicap turf races differently than dirt? I understand it's the late kick that counts, but I have to admit, I'm lost on the turf.

I just pick the horse with the best name.

dean smith 06-05-2009 10:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sdjcom
lol... well thx for your confidence it will be a tri or super cause i rarely play pk6 except for an occasion my wife will play a number or names, she is handicapping now and is going to box MTB-Chocalate C, -Summer B, i;m going to play wps on Summer bird. good-luck to you tommorrow i have to drive most of the day. on that big hit ..it's coming my friend

You're the first expert I've heard or read who doesn't love Dunkirk tomorrow.

dean smith 06-05-2009 10:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by moses
I just pick the horse with the best name.

I can dig that. Sometimes I think handicapping is all just a big bull$hitting game. Nobody knows anything and anything can happen. We try and make sense out of the chaos of a calvary stampede before and after the fact.

sdjcom 06-05-2009 10:59 PM

Hol
 
3) $2 ex 35/14 $1 tri 35/1345/13456 $5 ex bx 35 bet 36 lost last bet tonight -236 on day -4851

dean smith 06-05-2009 11:01 PM

R3) $10 w 5
$2 ex 5 w/ 1,3

atolunch 06-05-2009 11:01 PM

Takin a shot with a little P3:

3: 1,3,4,5,6
4: 10
5: 1,2,3,4,8

$25

BOL!!

moses 06-05-2009 11:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by moses
I just pick the horse with the best name.

But seriously, I'm a complete novice. I just didn't want you to think I was ignoring your question.

I don't know how much the experts put into this, but when dealing with horses racing on turf for the first time I heavily consider the horse's Tomlinson turf number. It doesn't always work, and it's certainly not the only thing to look at, but there have been a few 10-1 shots that I've had come in based on the Tomlinson number.

dean smith 06-05-2009 11:03 PM

Why doesn't RUSSELL Baze ever pilot anyone in the Triple Crown and/or Breeders Cup races? Is he afraid to fly or something?


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