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-   -   Looking For Some Wager Guidance @ Belmont (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=23033)

Quiet Chris 06-06-2008 08:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RollerDoc
I'm more concerned about the gas pump. Yesterday I hit $100.00 to fill up. Iy was shocking.

I'd love to win that tank of gas back. C'mon give me some Belmont advice with that 100.00.

I'm looking at BB to win for $200.00 and possibly $100.00 exacta on BB and Denis of Cork. If I win, that might cover summer air-conditioning and one tank of gas.

Put it all on the BB- Casino Drive Exacta. All $300. Personally I am boxing the two for $200 and hoping Casino Drive wins and it pays in the $20 range.

Denis of Cork and all the other are too slow to beat either Casino Drive or Big Brown.

Big Brown and Casino Drive are a lock to run 1-2 with a 15-20% shot CD beats BB.

If you are someone who bets really chalky horses, which I am not, try a 3 horse parlay. Benny the Bull, Indian Blessing, Big Brown. $300 might get you back $1000.

hoovesupsideyourhead 06-06-2008 08:32 AM

what if the great casino drive ,runs off the board....mucho again is my next in line after bb

slotdirt 06-06-2008 08:32 AM

All I know is if you put $ 200 to win on Big Brown at the Preakness, you got back $40. The odds for Big Brown will be even lower at the Belmont, so if you're looking to score $100 for a tank of gas, I would suggest looking elsewhere.

RollerDoc 06-06-2008 08:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Quiet Chris
Put it all on the BB- Casino Drive Exacta. All $300. Personally I am boxing the two for $200 and hoping Casino Drive wins and it pays in the $20 range.

Denis of Cork and all the other are too slow to beat either Casino Drive or Big Brown.

Big Brown and Casino Drive are a lock to run 1-2 with a 15-20% shot CD beats BB.


Excuse my lack of knowledge on Exactas. If I were to bet part of my money on Big Brown and Casino Drive in a box? OK but what do I say word for word to the person at the ticket window so I don't look like an idiot. I don't mind looking like an idiot here since no one can see me :)

2 Dollar Bill 06-06-2008 08:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RollerDoc
Excuse my lack of knowledge on Exactas. If I were to bet part of my money on Big Brown and Casino Drive in a box? OK but what do I say word for word to the person at the ticket window so I don't look like an idiot. I don't mind looking like an idiot here since no one can see me :)

Have you thought about taking the $300.00 and putting it in a Pick-6 ticket ? :zz:

IrishofNDMan 06-06-2008 08:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RollerDoc
Excuse my lack of knowledge on Exactas. If I were to bet part of my money on Big Brown and Casino Drive in a box? OK but what do I say word for word to the person at the ticket window so I don't look like an idiot. I don't mind looking like an idiot here since no one can see me :)

Go up to the Teller, say Belmont Race 11, $100 exacta box (or however much you want to make it), then say 1-5 and they will place it.

If you do a $100 exacta box it will cost $200. When you box two horses for a certain amount of money you double that to get your final cost. hope this helps a little.

RollerDoc 06-06-2008 09:08 AM

Thank you, and I just printed out your instructions. I'll rehearse in the parking lot. LOL

2 Dollar Bill 06-06-2008 09:12 AM

Last year I hit the Belmont triple by playing

ALL / ALL / ALL...........

Quiet Chris 06-06-2008 09:36 AM

Big Brown is now a certain 1-9 even if Casino Drive runs. Save your money.

kgar311 06-06-2008 09:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 2 Dollar Bill
Have you thought about taking the $300.00 and putting it in a Pick-6 ticket ? :zz:

Dude doesnt even know how to play an exacta, how the hell is he going to play a pick six?

ateamstupid 06-06-2008 10:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Quiet Chris
Put it all on the BB- Casino Drive Exacta. All $300. Personally I am boxing the two for $200 and hoping Casino Drive wins and it pays in the $20 range.

Denis of Cork and all the other are too slow to beat either Casino Drive or Big Brown.

Big Brown and Casino Drive are a lock to run 1-2 with a 15-20% shot CD beats BB.

If you are someone who bets really chalky horses, which I am not, try a 3 horse parlay. Benny the Bull, Indian Blessing, Big Brown. $300 might get you back $1000.

Just so you know.. There is NO WAY a CD/BB exacta is paying $20. BB/CD will pay $5 and CD/BB will pay $10, maybe $11.

Quiet Chris 06-06-2008 10:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Just so you know.. There is NO WAY a CD/BB exacta is paying $20. BB/CD will pay $5 and CD/BB will pay $10, maybe $11.

Yes it would. Denis of Cork, Tale of Ekati, and CD would all be around $20. There are many more CD skeptics than believers. The chalky exacta is and was going to be the BB-DOC exacta. That is where all the smart money is going.

Now the BB-CD exacta could be as much as $15 and the CD-BB exacta probably $40.

philcski 06-06-2008 11:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
You couldn't be more wrong.

It's like talking to a 12 year old... they know enough to argue but not enough to be right.

Coach Pants 06-06-2008 11:24 AM

I think Quiet Chris has hydrocephalus. Go easy on him.

DogsUp 06-06-2008 11:31 AM

What I never understood is that when you invest in the stock market or buy a CD most people would be happy to get a 5% return on their investment. But when it comes to horse racing, us gamblers wouldn't touch a 5% return if it came up and bit us.

I have no clue what the exacta will pay on Belmont Day. It is really hard to say. Spectacular Bid won the Preakness at 1-10 odds and the exacta that day paid $36.60, the tri paid $336.80, and the super paid $1,192.30.

If I was betting an exacta and had $300, I would take $60 exacta wheel with BB over 5 horses. I would make sure that each horse would pay enough to where I could break even.

hockey2315 06-06-2008 11:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DogsUp
What I never understood is that when you invest in the stock market or buy a CD most people would be happy to get a 5% return on their investment. But when it comes to horse racing, us gamblers wouldn't touch a 5% return if it came up and bit us.

Because virtually no horse has that great of a chance to win. Too many things can happen.

philcski 06-06-2008 11:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DogsUp
What I never understood is that when you invest in the stock market or buy a CD most people would be happy to get a 5% return on their investment. But when it comes to horse racing, us gamblers wouldn't touch a 5% return if it came up and bit us.

I have no clue what the exacta will pay on Belmont Day. It is really hard to say. Spectacular Bid won the Preakness at 1-10 odds and the exacta that day paid $36.60, the tri paid $336.80, and the super paid $1,192.30.

If I was betting an exacta and had $300, I would take $60 exacta wheel with BB over 5 horses. I would make sure that each horse would pay enough to where I could break even.

I had no idea the super in '79 paid that high. :eek:

You meant Big Brown.

DogsUp 06-06-2008 11:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
Because virtually no horse has that great of a chance to win. Too many things can happen.

On the win I agree with you. The odds are much better for a horse to come in the top 3. All you need is for your horse to finish 3rd. If the horse pays $2.10 to show. You have made 5% on your money. I don't know. When it comes to racing I am not happy unless I at least double my bet :).

jcs11204 06-06-2008 11:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
You couldn't be more wrong.

he's always right... 100% of the time... so everyone please please listen to him
he is a master handicapper


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