King Glorious |
09-18-2007 05:48 PM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cardus
I understand that his pedigree makes him an attractive posibility to run in the Mile, but I recall three-year-olds Peace Rules and Favorite Trick trying to win the Mile off of turf starts at the end of his two-year-old season and beginning of his three-year-old season ('Rules) and only one turf start three weeks before (Trick). Both were well-backed at the windows. (I know that Peace Rules was 2-1, and I thought that Favorite Trick was either the favorite or about 5-1.)
Even with blazing speed, isn't it asking a little much of him to hold off seasoned turf runners in a race that has almost always supported stalkers and closers?
Additionally, would he get in on points or be selected by the committee if the race is oversubscribed, which sometimes occurs?
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While u recall Peace Rules and Favorite Trick, I think about Prized and War Chant. Prized won the BC Turf in his first start on the grass and War Chant won the BC Mile in his second start on grass, after having won the Oak Tree Mile in his grass debut. What about Lure? I am not sure but I think he made his grass debut in the Kelso (2nd) and then won the BC Mile. My point is that if a horse has the talent to do something, it won't matter if it's his first, second, or 20th time on the surface. If the distance of the Mile is his best distance, go for it. I can see him taking the same kind of tactics as Lure and wiring them.
If, however, the choice is between the Sprint, Dirt Mile or Classic, I'd go in the Classic. I agree that his best performance and best chance for a placing will come by jumping out there and making the others adjust to him. The others could make the assumption that he can't last and let Hard Spun coast on the lead just long enough to get brave enough to hold on. I don't think he's got the speed necessary to run with the best sprinters in the world early and I think it would be tougher holding off the best closers in a sprint than it was holding out First Defence.
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