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The Preakness number makes sense to me because it's right around what Street Sense ran in the Derby. . . I can't really see either horse jumping up 7 or so points in 2 weeks. . . I do, however, think the Diabolical/Talent Search numbers were way too low. . . They both ran HUGE and I thought that number would be somewhere in the mid-110s
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I don't trust any number in any race on anyones figures for Saturday's Pimlico card.
The track seemed to be changing speeds every race. Curlin didn't get his trip---no way he ran a 119....and no way C. P. West ran a 110 for finishing 4th. |
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CP West, without a doubt, ran a career best. Could he jump up 15-20 points? I'm not so sure, which is what makes me doubt the 118 I came up with yesterday. I have no doubt that either of the top two are capable of a huge number, it's the also-rans that throw the fly in the ointment. |
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Judging from the final time of the Schaefer (1:47.4) and the horses that ran that time (Flashy Bull and Hesanoldsalt), the track was at least 3-5 lengths faster than normal towards the end of the card.
Also, there was a lot of moisture in the track for the Preakness. Just take a look at Street Sense as he was coming through the stretch. His front was covered with dirt/mud (and Calvin ran out of goggles). |
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