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Hats off to Street Sense. They stuck to a strategy that worked -- mainly because of pinhead (sorry, had to throw in a Beyerism) moves by everyone else. It was clear they were going to run up the rail. They trained up the rail. Should have been obvious.
2:02 is nothing earthshaking. And the final quarter was decent but coming from 19th place nothing earthshaking either. The field pretty much imploded. The question is now -- can he some back in 2 weeks? And then 3 weeks? I'll hang with Curlin at Pimlico if we see a new jockey. Street Sense will be the one to beat. He handles the tight Churchill Downs turns well. And the turns at Pimlico are very similar. Pletcher said he's only running Roxy. Should be a short field. Would like to see Street Sense on the turf some day. He would run well on the grass. |
JMHO, but no, she would not have beaten the colts. Isolating an 1/8th, or looking at the final time myopically, or the Beyer # for that matter doesn't say enough to say she would have beaten the boys. The Beyer, the 1/8th, or the final time -- and a great deal of other things -- does not take into consideration that she would have had to line with 19 boys, break with them, race with them and look many of them right in the eye.
It's easy to see why many would think so, but it's a hypothetical and in this case, I don't think so. Eric |
I coulda won state.
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And if you are using Beyers for this, Silverbulletday put up a 107 in the Oaks. When she faced the boys at Belmont she finished 5th at 5-1.
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Kinda nice to bring this up again . . .
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eh, woulda coulda shoulda.
she won a classic...well, two. she won a filly classic with the oaks. i want to see her vs the guys again. bring on the travers. she's the best 3 yo in pletchers barn, don't waste our time with those pretenders todd!! run the filly again! |
i happen to think that she would not have won the derby, and that Pletcher made exactly the right moves with her.
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She won the Kentucky Oaks and the Belmont Stakes, really, how much better can it get without ruining the fairy tale?
The other two triple crown races were great in their own right, Curlin closing to nose out Street Sense. SS and Borel ridin' rail to win the Derby. Great last 5 weeks. |
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Today IS special. Winning any grade one is special and winning a classic race or a BC race is even more special than that. But there is only one Derby. I think people dream more about winning the Derby than the Belmont. There's nothing wrong with winning the Oaks and the Belmont. Nothing at all. But how do u think Pletcher would feel if, when he's ready to retire, he's never won a Derby (I think he will win a few though) and he has look back and know that he didn't even take a chance with the best 3yo he's had? That would hurt.
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i know there are hall of fame trainers who never won any classic...he's in rarified air right now, especially considering he, like lukas, won a classic with a filly.
i said back when they first started talking belmont that they did right to pass the derby, that 20-horse fiasco is not the place to be. |
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