Derby Trail Forums

Derby Trail Forums (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/index.php)
-   The Paddock (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=2)
-   -   Minister's Bid (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=1094)

kentuckyrosesinmay 06-22-2006 05:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miraja2
Wow, I think you might be a little tough on this horse! Did he look like he was ready to win the Travers today? Of course not. But this was only his second lifetime start. Nobody is going to confuse the 2 he beat with Slew and Affirmed, but they are both pretty good 3yo to beat your first time going 8f & after a layoff. He has the pedigree to indicate he will stretch out and improve, and although the closing time was slow, he was pulling away in the final strides. Obviously he will need to keep improving, but to me he looks like he has the potential to do it. Today was a nice win.

I agree, and I think the fact that he was going 8 furlongs for the first time, and the fact that he was coming off a substantial layoff are huge considerations in evaluating this horse's performance. He beat two very nice, experienced three year olds in only his second lifetime start and can only improve off of these circumstances. Most of you know that a horse usually doesn't win his first race back after a layoff unless it is a special animal because most of the time, they are not completely fit and mentally prepared until the second start back. This one is definitely one to watch for. Flashy Bull and Racketeer aren't bad horses, that is for sure, and MB beat them quite easily.

randallscott35 06-22-2006 05:10 PM

KYroses, there is only 1 "Bid". Let's not go there. LOL

kentuckyrosesinmay 06-22-2006 05:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35
KYroses, there is only 1 "Bid". Let's not go there. LOL

You're right. There will always only be one "Bid" no matter how good his son gets. Let's just hope his wonderful son carries on his amazing legacy.

RIP old buddy.

PSH 06-22-2006 05:16 PM

Minister Bid
 
I think it is very foolish to knock a horse, any horse.
Minister Bid did the job.
Bottom line, he won....
He will only improve off that effort... where that leads no one really knows, but it is obvious he has some talent.

Charlie Whittingham said never know a horse until he is dead...
Minister Bid has not died yet....

PSH

TheSpyder 06-22-2006 05:18 PM

My two cents
 
Yea, he won but did you see the way the jockey worked him for the lasy half of a race. To me he just past horses a little more tired than him and since they were in a speed duel together most the race he did not win with any resolve. Nice horse for a Thursday feature but didn't show me anything special. At least Strong Contender looked special even though he hasn't amounted to anything yet either. Nothing to hope for here as far as I;m concerned.

Downthestretch55 06-22-2006 06:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kentuckyrosesinmay
You're right. There will always only be one "Bid" no matter how good his son gets. Let's just hope his wonderful son carries on his amazing legacy.

RIP old buddy.

KY Rose,
Ministers Bid is not a son of Spectacular Bid.
He's by Deputy Minister-Princess Petrina (Spectacular Bid).
The one and only Bid was the broodmare sire.
DTS

Downthestretch55 06-22-2006 07:18 PM

The story...thought you all read it before the race.
My bad, shoulda posted it before.
http://www.nyra.com/belmont/second.aspx?track=B&id=2102

kentuckyrosesinmay 06-22-2006 07:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Downthestretch55
KY Rose,
Ministers Bid is not a son of Spectacular Bid.
He's by Deputy Minister-Princess Petrina (Spectacular Bid).
The one and only Bid was the broodmare sire.
DTS

ooppps...grandson...

Hoisttheflag 06-22-2006 07:38 PM

Ministers Bid looked like another overhyped Ward/Oxley horse, just like Strong Contender. Flashy Bull and Racketeert are slugs. They basically walked home. Bernardni's only 3yr old competition is going to come from a freshened Sweetnorthernsaint, a freshened Brother Derek or Showing Up. Those 3 are his only competition in my opinion. Corinthian is just too far behind the 8 ball.

Pointg5 06-22-2006 07:47 PM

I think the race was a push, it wasn't that good or bad. I have been all over this horse, but I don't think today told us anything either way, only that he won. Those were pretty good horses he beat, I will reserve further judgement until the next race, but I don't think this was a definitive race either way...

Cunningham Racing 06-22-2006 08:17 PM

He's a nice colt....he wasn't having the best time of things before the race yet he still destroyed two decent 3-year-olds that had a lot more experience than him.....I loved this colt's maiden win and I truly believe he is a good horse....Do I think he can be Bernardini or Discreet Cat-type material?...No, but he is nice...I just don't care for his connections...John Ward usually doesn't get it all out of his horses...

...He can impact the late summer 3-year-old races...

blackthroatedwind 06-22-2006 09:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cunningham Racing
He's a nice colt....he wasn't having the best time of things before the race yet he still destroyed two decent 3-year-olds that had a lot more experience than him.....I loved this colt's maiden win and I truly believe he is a good horse....Do I think he can be Bernardini or Discreet Cat-type material?...No, but he is nice...I just don't care for his connections...John Ward usually doesn't get it all out of his horses...

...He can impact the late summer 3-year-old races...

So, apparantly sitting behind two horses dueling for the lead, one of them in a drive from a quarter mile into the race, and being ridden very hard to win by a couple lengths is now considered a destruction? You gotta be kidding.

He had a perfect trip and was ridden hard to beat two OK, but decidedly lesser, 3YOs.

Hickory Hill Hoff 06-22-2006 09:57 PM

Not a bad race. Strong Contender II ? He just adds to a Spa meet with contenders for the Jim Dandy and Travers. From a betting stand point, it doesn't get better than that.

SCUDSBROTHER 06-22-2006 11:02 PM

Yea,it is not the race I was thinking I might see from him,but he beat stakes type horses fairly easily(although having to be whipped to do it.)He will have to be better than that,but it did seem as if he was not very cranked up by the trainer just yet.Very difficult to say just where this horse fits in as far as the 3 year olds go this year. He sure didn't look like a 2 turn horse to me,but his breeding says he is(and his trainer thinks he is.) If they wanted to win without blowing his wad,then mission accomplished.

JJP 06-23-2006 09:10 AM

I tend to agree w/Scuds here. Racketeer's last was on turf and his race before that was an experiment trying to rate so on a good day, he's only 2 1/2 behind Point Determined and AP Warrior so he's a decent 3YO. Same w/Flashy Bull. On paper there was very little speed in the race so it was going to be difficult to make up any ground. I don't know what some people on here were expecting but I don't understand the criticism.....I guess they were expecting a monster win margin ridden out. Get a grip. It was his first time going long, his second career race, and once Prado got him straightened out he leveled out pretty good in the final sixteenth. This is a very good horse.

Bold Brooklynite 06-23-2006 10:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by boldruler
Fractions for the race were 110.16 and 136.77 for the mile. Track looked a little slow but 26.5 for the final 1/4 is super slow.

I just took another look at the race .... and ...

... Minister's Bid was kept four-wide around the entire turn ... raced greenly until the eighth-pole ... and responded well when he switched leads and hit his best stride.

He ran his final quarter in about :26 flat ... which isn't great ... but not so bad considering that half of it was run off-stride.

A very decent effort for a second start ... and he's certainly eligible to improve. I wouldn't write him off just yet.

Cunningham Racing 06-23-2006 10:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
So, apparantly sitting behind two horses dueling for the lead, one of them in a drive from a quarter mile into the race, and being ridden very hard to win by a couple lengths is now considered a destruction? You gotta be kidding.

He had a perfect trip and was ridden hard to beat two OK, but decidedly lesser, 3YOs.

Horses go under a drive because they cannot keep up with other horses..do you not know this? Minister's Bid is a very inexperienced colt that was very rank early on...the fact he was ridden hard doesn't necessarily mean that he was "all-out" to win....he is not a seasoned racehorse and it would be asonine to assume that he turned in a top effort yesterday...the fact still remains that his trainer is very average and this colt will do better with racing experience - like most horses with bad trainers do....

...Contrary to what you may believe, Flashy Bull (only a couple lengths from winning the FOY) and Racketeer (only a couple of lengths behind California's best earlier this year) aren't exactly mules....just because they aren't Derby-caliber contenders doesn't mean that they are walk-overs...

For those of you who are interested and believe in beyer speed figs (which I don't necessarily do), Minister' Bid got a 101 for yesterday's effort - which is ot horrible for a colt making his second lifetime start.....AND, he'll only improve around two-turns..

....For blackthroatedwind to dub yesterday's performance as unimpressive, that is a horrible analysis....this horse can run

Betsy 06-23-2006 10:34 AM

I don't think anyone's writing off an obviously talented horse, but I've seen comments to the effect that MB is as good as the best (or better than) the best 3 year olds, he should be Travers favorite, etc....That is simply premature (very premature, actually) at this point. For one thing, Bernardini is out there. IMO, he is far more talented than his peers and is one of most talented horses, period, in the country. Plus, he's proven himself -let's not forget what he did in the Preakness (only 4th start, none around two turns, etc......). His Withers was tremendous, but no one knew really how good he was before the Preakness (could he even class up to the better 3 year olds?) so if I had said then that he was a top 3 year old, that would have been premature. Same thing with MB.

JJP 06-23-2006 10:48 AM

Speaking of Bernardini, didn't he get around a 101 when he won the Withers in basically a match race? That was career start number 3, and I think yesterday's NW1X with Racketeer and Flashy Bull (and others) was decidedly stronger than the graded Withers. After two races, Minister's Bid is every bit as good as Bernardini was after his first two (actually three) races. It wasn't until the Preakness that Bernardini really moved forward.

blackthroatedwind 06-23-2006 10:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cunningham Racing
Horses go under a drive because they cannot keep up with other horses..do you not know this? Minister's Bid is a very inexperienced colt that was very rank early on...the fact he was ridden hard doesn't necessarily mean that he was "all-out" to win....he is not a seasoned racehorse and it would be asonine to assume that he turned in a top effort yesterday...the fact still remains that his trainer is very average and this colt will do better with racing experience - like most horses with bad trainers do....

...Contrary to what you may believe, Flashy Bull (only a couple lengths from winning the FOY) and Racketeer (only a couple of lengths behind California's best earlier this year) aren't exactly mules....just because they aren't Derby-caliber contenders doesn't mean that they are walk-overs...

For those of you who are interested and believe in beyer speed figs (which I don't necessarily do), Minister' Bid got a 101 for yesterday's effort - which is ot horrible for a colt making his second lifetime start.....AND, he'll only improve around two-turns..

....For blackthroatedwind to dub yesterday's performance as unimpressive, that is a horrible analysis....this horse can run

Where to begin. In your response you didn't answer the one question I had for you....how could you label yesterday's win a " destruction " of his field? That was my only question. Your other sadly condescending remarks were unnecessary.

I will once again repeat, I believe yesterday's win was unimpressive, especially in relation to the hype this horse has generated. I realize you have already developed a built in excuse for his future failures ( John Ward being, according to you, a bad trainer ) but I would like to know your prediction for the future.....good or bad?

I believe suggesting he will improve around two turns, as you did, is a " horrible analysis " ( you don't mind if I borrow that one from you...do you? ). This is a closing sprinter. Perhaps if they don't ruin him before that he will do OK in this Fall's Jerome.

By the way, horses go into drives for a variety of reasons, and I didn't give one in the case of Racketeer, but merely pointed out that he was in one very early in the race. And, oh yeah, The Fountain of Youth was a HORRIBLE race this year and I suggest you take a good look at the subsequent performances by the entrants in that race.


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 04:46 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.