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-   -   Can Einstein do a repeat in the Gulfstream BC Turf (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=10178)

blackthroatedwind 02-23-2007 10:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Good luck with Go Between guys. He's a true dog-biscuit if you ask me.


Yeah, he's probably too slow, but he may have some upside and this field sucks.

I liked Jambalaya until about five minutes ago. I know I don't want anyone out of the Mac Diarmeda.

hoovesupsideyourhead 02-23-2007 10:36 PM

tommy turner has them right where he wants them....lol

The Indomitable DrugS 02-23-2007 10:39 PM

As crazy as it sounds, I believe anyone of HR's last six races (except the 4th in the Beverley D. when she was oddly close to a pace that was too fast for her comfort zone) are good enough to win.

I just see her in the 8/5-to-2/1 price range instead of the 4/1 she is on the line.

Besides singling her in multi-win exotics, I doubt I will have any bet on this race.

docicu3 02-23-2007 11:13 PM

The GP Breeders Cup Turf may go through "Go Between"
 
Go Between should be decent value and has a few historical items of note.

1) 2-2 on turf at GP Edgar has a win and a second on the horse in 2 starts in the last 12 months. The win a graded stakes at GP from similiar post. A slight homefield familiarity if not advantage over some.

2) His pattern is forward with a possibility that he may not have reached his peak this racing cycle if he gets a favorable trip. It is possible that if there really is a "speed bias" to the turf course as it becomes drier and harder as some DT's have suggested that he may try and steal it even at 11F knowing that others in the race are better closers and his best chance is to press or wire it.

3) His last race against Lavadude was perhaps his best albeit in a losing effort and thankfully this isn't California Toto where Lavaman dominates but a track that Go Between is comfortable at and has a modest history of evolving success.

4) As the sage in numerous posts above says this isn't the greatest stakes race period and thus may be devoid of early or earlier speed so having the ability to potentially exploit a racing angle or approach may spell success for #4.

I'm keying the 4 over 2/6/8....and hoping for the best.

MisterB 02-24-2007 07:59 AM

I don't know about you guy's, but I have been looking at this race so much, my head hurts. I keep on looking for something that may not be there, but one guy who always gets over looked is George Weaver. He brings in a DYNAFORMER runner named DYNATONIA coming off a rail trip win, and grabs the rail again. This could be a a great spot for that run into the 1st turn, and this horse does real good at GP. Prado jumps ship for another 12-1, but weaver doesn't get hurt with CORNELIO in the irons. These Dynaformers either put up a great race, or they don't fire. Weaver is also noted for his horses not to "as they say" (bounce). He likes the course, he likes this distance. Slow starter, but he has the late kick. The rail should provide an opportunity to over come some of that slow stuff. Weaver = cleaver. And he has burned me many times, because he can hide very well behind a wall of very talented horses.

Just a thought
I will have to put him in the mix up and down somehow

jpops757 02-24-2007 09:02 AM

I like the Canadian horse. Wondering where Bejrano lands? Hes named on Baghdria at the FG also. Amoss , Mott Gr1, Gr3. My guess he stays at GP. Even tho he looks like the winner at FG. If he stays at GP Ill sure give Einstine a lot better chance.

point given 02-24-2007 10:08 AM

ramazutti
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by docicu3
Go Between should be decent value and has a few historical items of note.

1) 2-2 on turf at GP Edgar has a win and a second on the horse in 2 starts in the last 12 months. The win a graded stakes at GP from similiar post. A slight homefield familiarity if not advantage over some.

2) His pattern is forward with a possibility that he may not have reached his peak this racing cycle if he gets a favorable trip. It is possible that if there really is a "speed bias" to the turf course as it becomes drier and harder as some DT's have suggested that he may try and steal it even at 11F knowing that others in the race are better closers and his best chance is to press or wire it.

3) His last race against Lavadude was perhaps his best albeit in a losing effort and thankfully this isn't California Toto where Lavaman dominates but a track that Go Between is comfortable at and has a modest history of evolving success.

4) As the sage in numerous posts above says this isn't the greatest stakes race period and thus may be devoid of early or earlier speed so having the ability to potentially exploit a racing angle or approach may spell success for #4.

I'm keying the 4 over 2/6/8....and hoping for the best.

I can't see why Ramazutti won't be on the lead in this one. His rating in last race was due to a need the lead horse who grabbed the lead. I'd be shocked if R isnot on the lead in here. I still think Einstein will be tough in here, last years race was devoid of speed, so he went to the lead, this years race I'd expect him to rate. Should be a good race, I'm going down today to see it, although I abhor Saturdays at Gulfstream.

randallscott35 02-24-2007 10:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by merasmag
whoa...not a chance????

You heard correctly. Hell freezing over.

Gander 02-24-2007 10:41 AM

Who gives a rat's ass if its a grade 1 or Grade 5? Unless you own a horse in here, really what difference does it make to you? Its a fantastic betting race where any one of about 6 in my opinion can win. It will totally depend on the odds as the winner of this race is nothing more than a guess and a lucky trip. That said, I agree with Hooves that Tommy Turner has a chance to win. Leaning towards him as he will most likely be the best price of those that I think are the most likeliest to win...Mustanfar and Jambalaya. Go Between is so overrated and slow. I didnt like Einstein but now that I read he has "no chance" that makes him a contender to me, LOL!

randallscott35 02-24-2007 10:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gander
Who gives a rat's ass if its a grade 1 or Grade 5? Unless you own a horse in here, really what difference does it make to you? Its a fantastic betting race where any one of about 6 in my opinion can win. It will totally depend on the odds as the winner of this race is nothing more than a guess and a lucky trip. That said, I agree with Hooves that Tommy Turner has a chance to win. Leaning towards him as he will most likely be the best price of those that I think are the most likeliest to win...Mustanfar and Jambalaya. Go Between is so overrated and slow. I didnt like Einstein but now that I read he has "no chance" that makes him a contender to me, LOL!

I'm not Seattle my man.

Gander 02-24-2007 10:48 AM

Maybe not, but to say this horse has no chance in this field on this turf course, training as good as he has been is kind of silly. Not my favorite horse or my top selection but I repeat, there are few in here who cant win this.
I think the worst bet on the board will be the mare Honey Ryder at what figures to be around 7/2 or 4/1. She can win but not with my money.

randallscott35 02-24-2007 10:56 AM

If I was going to bet it, I'd be playing Mustanfar.

Gander 02-24-2007 11:00 AM

Mustanfar figures for sure. I think if they all ran their A race, he would win but thats why they call it gambling. I think Interpretation will be the best bet on the board, all things considered. Not sure how I am playing this yet.

I loved Rutledge Cat in the 7th and he got scratched so all my late combos are out the window.

SniperSB23 02-24-2007 12:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Yeah, he's probably too slow, but he may have some upside and this field sucks.

I liked Jambalaya until about five minutes ago. I know I don't want anyone out of the Mac Diarmeda.

What did I miss? I like Jambalaya here too.

blackthroatedwind 02-24-2007 09:10 PM

The winner and second horse got picture perfect trips and Einstein was much the best. And I say that as someone who didn't like his chances at all.

randallscott35 02-24-2007 09:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
The winner and second horse got picture perfect trips and Einstein was much the best. And I say that as someone who didn't like his chances at all.

Without question he ran much better than I thought. But those wide trips are killers. Raffy could've come inside a number of times, but chose to keep him in the 4 path than drop in. He'll get a much better sheet number than the inside 2.

ELA 02-24-2007 09:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
The winner and second horse got picture perfect trips and Einstein was much the best. And I say that as someone who didn't like his chances at all.

Agreed 100%. I waited all day for this race. As much as Javier got a picture perfect trip, it didn't look good there for a bit, LOL. I didn't like Einstein either but he was much the best today.

Eric

blackthroatedwind 02-24-2007 10:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35
Without question he ran much better than I thought. But those wide trips are killers. Raffy could've come inside a number of times, but chose to keep him in the 4 path than drop in. He'll get a much better sheet number than the inside 2.


I think it was a combination of the wide trip and rushing the horse. Now, maybe he doesn't rate too well but it seemed like a ride without a plan.


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