I wonder how they will bet the big race ?
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Seems like everyone is against Social Paranoia. On paper I was going to be against him, then re-watching his replays I didn't find a ton to dislike. Ran OK facing decent on dirt, but whatever. When switched to the turf he ran pretty well with only the very solid Forty Under and Somelikeithotbrown defeating him with mild trips...off since September but it's Pletcher at Gulfstream...what am I missing?
Also, if anyone has any take on any of the firsters in there it'd be very welcome...I personally really like Freedom's Flight. Overbold has a big of longshot appeal. Clear Blue Sky if drawing in is worth consideration. Those + Pletcher and the firsters are my considerations but would prefer to narrow. |
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Feels like Bourbon War will take more money than Code of Honor is just my sense...I wanted to talk myself into Code of Honor for that reason but I just kept re-watching that race feeling like Code of Honor got the all-time trip and that, square as this thought is, Bourbon War will relish the added ground. I feel like Bourbon War will be more 2-1 or 5-2 and Code of Honor could drift. Maximum Security of course will basically make or break everyone's odds and I have no real guess as to where he ends up. Just my take. |
Humbling day so far.
Gulf 10th Big double 6,8 with 3,5 Prices on the 6,8 are way way way 2 big. |
My head spinning too.
Alive to 1-2-3-4 onto Harvey Wallbanger for the miracle get out |
Thank you, blinkers on in the 8th.
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Man...I give up.
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Lights out after the first quarter. Derby going to be very tough pick
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Javier rode poorly those last 2 races.
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Bodexpress now with 40 Derby points. Such a weird situation. The Lexington is going to be interesting. Might see a horse or two steal some points and get into the Derby that way.
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Where he probably falls down is his class level. Improbable tore him a new one in the latter race. Despite that, if I was convinced he would be taken off the engine in the Kentucky Derby, I think he could have a live longshot look. That said, I would love to see him in the Allen Jerkens at 7 furlongs (or the Malibu at the end of the year). In general, horses that can handle a middle distance have an advantage over true sprinters in extended sprints. |
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Disappointed in Harvey Banger but I would run him in the Belmont. I was hoping that I wouldn't have to pick a B.Baffert runner in the derby but it looks like I'll be picking a B.Baffert runner in the derby. :(
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