On another list I saw him at $48,502.

Thanks. With only $48k Ever So Lucky would have to get 2nd place to have any shot.

I think he goes unless he's hurt...

http://www.drf.com/news/oaklawn-park...hells-asmussen

You know Liaison and Drill will be there as well.

I like the sly move of putting Drill in the undercard at Oaklawn rather than exposing him in the Blue Grass. That way it won't be so obvious that the horse is in there to keep an AE horse out of the body of the race.

I wonder if he tries a Hail Mary with Stirred Up in one of the Keeneland races instead.

Sabercat was at the top of my list early on, even off those less than stellar wins at 2, they were wins nonetheless.. I will be interested to see if there is any progression at 3 (I can toss the Rebel as needing one) in the Ark before completely dismissing, but typically the "free ride" that the horse gets for winning the Delta Jackpot Stakes has never really impacted the the Derby trail or the Kentucky Derby

Trinniberg is listed as 15% for the Derby, 85% for the Preakness. Which of course means 100% for the Derby and 75% for the Preakness as well.

Considering Exothermic hasn't had a published work in six weeks, I'm guessing he's no longer under consideration for the Blue Grass or Lexington and my $200 Wynn futuer wager on him at 85-1 can now be used as a place to put my chewed gum.

Rusty Arnold on ATR earlier. Summer turf stake campaign.

KEE: 4/14/12 - Blue Grass (G1) -- Current Field

Dullahan (Romans)
Ever So Lucky (Sheppard)
Hansen (Maker)
Heavy Breathing (Pletcher)
Hero of Order (Dorochenko) -- Possible
Holy Candy (Sadler)
Howe Great (Motion)
Midnight Crooner (Baffert)
Politicallycorrect (Ward)
Prospective (Casse)
Russian Greek (Dorochenko)

Adirondack King (Servis) -- Lexington
Golden Ticket (McPeek) Lexington
Scatman (Lauer) -- Lexington

Raconteur (Pletcher) -- Unlikely

Maybe that dolt Sheppard no longer thinks Ever So Lucky is a sprinter!

$200 on a turf horse to win the Derby...:eek:

Hero of Order probable for Blue Grass
 

http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-raci...the-blue-grass

I get that when your horse gets a graded win, you look for other graded stakes so I'm not begrudging them the obvious course of action, esp. for a $750,000 race. It's not like they can wait on the sidelines til the Derby with some really expensive 'no no, you take this one, we'll wait.' I was just thinking that if I had a horse that missed out on sufficient Derby earnings because a another horse with no way of getting in finished ahead of mine, I'd be p'od.

Then there's the problem of an embarrassment of riches (well, two promising 3yos who've won something with the word "Derby" in it counts here). The trainer's got Russian Greek too. Was there no way to keep these two apart so the one who's Triple Crown nominated and by Giant's Causeway out of a Grindstone mare would have a better shot at getting the dough without having to deal with the one who's not TC nominated? Does Dorochenko have an ownership interest in either?

Hero of Order was bought for $3,000. It'd be a curious situation if he won 2 big Derby preps and then couldn't enter the race.

If you needed to beat Hero of Order to get to the Derby, and you couldn't, I'd be pissed that my horse was nowhere near as good as I originally thought...not that I didn't make the Derby.

That's the most interesting Blue Grass field in a while.

:tro:

That's what people said about Animal Kingdom. And have you seen how the horses that Exothermic has beaten have performed in subsequent starts?

I had a smaller future on Exothermic - by Empire Maker, there was every reason to think he'd get over dirt - but there really isn't much need to try now as he'll miss those classics.

There was every reason to think Exothermic would get over dirt because his sire is Empire Maker?

I was willing to take the chance that the son of a Florida Derby/Wood Memorial/Belmont winner was going to get over dirt - at 85-1. But the brilliance of his dam made it pretty clear turf would be his best game.