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skippy3481 07-03-2006 04:07 PM

oracle i have the 5-7 in my pick 4 for 4 dollars so im rooting for both of you

oracle80 07-03-2006 04:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by skippy3481
Good luck steve heres hoping the 5 comes in so i can hit the pick 4.

I thought that Smith gave the 7 an absolutely brutal ride in her last race. She still flew home to be 2nd. Switches to Johnny V and I think she gets the job done here.

skippy3481 07-03-2006 04:09 PM

Hey oracle, for some reason the pick 6 will pays wont come up what does it pay for the 5-7

SentToStud 07-03-2006 04:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
I thought that Smith gave the 7 an absolutely brutal ride in her last race. She still flew home to be 2nd. Switches to Johnny V and I think she gets the job done here.

good luck here. honk for Donk.

oracle80 07-03-2006 04:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by skippy3481
Hey oracle, for some reason the pick 6 will pays wont come up what does it pay for the 5-7

I can't get them up either. They had tote glitch after the 8th race with a delay in posting the prices. They won't show the pik-6 or pik-4 prices which is quite strange and lousy. Its nice to know how much you are screaming for.

SentToStud 07-03-2006 04:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
I can't get them up either. They had tote glitch after the 8th race with a delay in posting the prices. They won't show the pik-6 or pik-4 prices which is quite strange and lousy. Its nice to know how much you are screaming for.

1. 37.9k
5. 7.7k
7. 4.3k

skippy3481 07-03-2006 04:14 PM

37,000 for the 1
7,000 for the 4
4,000 for the 7

skippy3481 07-03-2006 04:17 PM

GOod luck guys i hope 2 of us win.

saratoga chuck 07-03-2006 05:52 PM

Thanx Steve!
 
just a quick shout out for a great day of handicaping- singled the 5 in the last to trim my ticket- wired by smitty?????????? go figure:(

maybe have some fireworks for you at Belmont tomorrow - Marquet Desire in the 2nd!

late

Kasept 07-03-2006 07:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by david1025
I hate to say it but its probably my bad luck. yesterday was third time i used your picks(unsuccessfully all day of course)

Yikes.. Sorry David.. Where were you Saturday? Or today.. It's funny because my buddy Martin seems to always play along with my tabs on off days... You kind of have to just plunge and commit and play 'em regularly I guess. Or wait till you see that I have an off day and then get on board. I seem to come back very well after an off day.

Was busy at Saratoga all day and just saw today's BEL results... A great day, but beat in the nightcap for the $12,000 P6 on a $192 ticket (Conso was $128)... The 4th race exacta ($210) and 7th race STRAIGHT superfecta ($400.. plus the $80 tri) I hope compensates for anyone who was buried Sunday by the rough outing. Plus, the 4-5-6 ($87) and 5-6-7 ($45) Pick 3's there too using the P6 plays...

I'll keep trying to send you home with a wad of cake!

Kasept 07-03-2006 07:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by skippy3481
Good luck steve heres hoping the 5 comes in so i can hit the pick 4.

Haven't seen the race as I was at SRC all day, but I guess all of us go home muttering..

Thx to you and Mike for the well-wishes...

Kasept 07-03-2006 07:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by saratoga chuck
just a quick shout out for a great day of handicaping- singled the 5 in the last to trim my ticket- wired by smitty?????????? go figure:(

maybe have some fireworks for you at Belmont tomorrow - Marquet Desire in the 2nd!

late

Chuck..

My pleasure.. Thx. I'm glad you did well. There were some nice numbers off the 4th and 7th especially... I'll hop on Marquet tomorrow!

bulllea 07-03-2006 07:42 PM

Kasept, nice handicapping the pick 6 at Belmont. Hope you played the ticket.

skippy3481 07-03-2006 10:50 PM

Steve, Easy lead+ easy fractions= no one is going to catch you . Just one of those races where the other speed horses never got there and while the 5 was moving, no way it got there in time. Not sure what happened to the 7. Saved ground on the first turn by cutting over and just never came back.

onebadbeast 07-04-2006 01:03 AM

good picks steve byk
 
hey steve, good picks today. but i guarantee if i play them you will never win. i wish the stars would aline and we could all win. are you going to do picks for del mar this year?? am headed there in a few weeks.

Kasept 07-04-2006 04:42 AM

Thx OBB..
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by onebadbeast
hey steve, good picks today. but i guarantee if i play them you will never win. i wish the stars would aline and we could all win. are you going to do picks for del mar this year?? am headed there in a few weeks.

OBB,

You've got it half right.. If I play them, YOU won't win!

I'll do a little Del Mar, but mostly I'll be doing Saratoga.. On Monday's ATRAB's I'll look at whatever appeals for the Toga off day (Tuesday). I've never had success historically 'where the surf meets the turf', and there will be guys here banging Del Mar on a daily basis... I'll demure to their expertese, and you should too...

Kasept 07-07-2006 06:11 AM

BEL: 7/7/06 P6 Carryover
 
While we would love to have continued the holiday break until next week or at least the Saturday Stakes, having the extra two days to look at the Friday Belmont Carryover card proved irresistable.

The four day July 4th cap-fest ended on a high note with alternating performances between Friday night at Prairie Meadows and Monday at Belmont. Friday and Sunday were lousy, Saturday and Monday were great... Hope you picked the "right" days to play along with us!

This afternoon's Belmont P6 comes up quite tough with four turf events, two being state bred maiden specials... We're not entirely sure the P6 is "worth" playing, even with the $81,000 pool coming, as the individual races look very attractive as stand alone wagering opportunities, but we'll provide a bargain play anyhow...


SELECTIONS -- BEL, 7/7 (R4-9)

4: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T

1. #1 Wicked Love 6-1: Gets GoGo; Paired last and should move forward
2. #6 Sweet Corredor 4-1: Showed marked improvement 1st sod, off break
A. #5 Zip Stream 12-1: Much better on lawn; Has posted poor last 4
B. #10 Clear Heels 20-1: Grabbing tote on another much better turfing

NOTE: #4 Fairytale Story (2-1) is obvious here and needs to be used in your multis, but may be vulnerable off the layoff...


5: Clm, 4+, 9f-IT

1. #1 Victory Circle 6-1: May not like warming Serpe above, but do here
2. #6 Mikethemoondog 9-2: Cross out off turf try and Tagg trainee fits
A. #2e Contessa entry 9-2: Hard to ignore Gallopin' Gary with Corny, Eibar
B. #9 Jockey's Dream 4-1: Frankel takes off blinks, puts on Gomez

NOTE: #8 Peace Emblem is a use if he goes.. Scratch candidate for Saturday try..

LONGSHOT WATCH: #5 Stage Classic (30-1) is part of rebuilding Pederson's string, and though long in the tooth, has back figs that make him competitive for tote boost underneath if Jen has him dialed in. Capable conditioner likely out to prove herself anew, and finds Jara for this opp...


6: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6.5f

1. #4 Little Miss Zip 2-1: Best on paper and likely in flesh for Puglisi, Klesaris
2. #6 What's Your Point 9-2: Highly-skilled Pecararo tabs Johnny V (50% J-T)
A. #1 Girl in Uniform 3-1: Purdy-bred came back nice in slop romp for Rice
B. #8 Cassette Case 6-1: Consistent check earner for Lake rarely off board


7: Clm, F&M-3+, 6f-IT

1. #6 Town Charmer 6-1: Lost Pablo last time; Most likely to "run her race"
2. #9 Loves to Peak 6-1: Contessa 17% with new trainees; gets Morales
A. #3 Brooke Haley 10-1: Tony D. goes to Johnny V., a rare request
B. #1 Diana Rose 10-1: My man Sciacca having good meet; Exotics booster

NOTE: #4 Classic Expression (5-2) adds another element to what makes this a hard P6. Like Fairytale Story, comes back at a low tab and while capable and a multi race-must use, appears beatable.


8: The Ziggy's Boy (L), $65,000, 3yo's, 6f

1. #4 Fabulous Strike 5-2: Philly Flash accounted well in Gr. I Woody
2. #6 Urban Guy 6-1: Tried in Gr. III Jacobs; Tough in this type of stake
3. #5 Luxembourg 3-1: Game third to Bernardini in Gr. III Withers

NOTE: #1 Saint Daimon (7-2) wheels back in 6 days, classic Allen Jerkens move, after viewing Henny Hughes' tail from 10 in the Gr. III Jersey Shore.


9: NYB-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T

1. #5 Saturday's Cat 6-1: Romans been trying to get Purdy-bred onto lawn
2. #1 Gold Key 3-1: Note Sacco blew out debut placer in mud; Shows intent
A. #4 Not on My Turf 7-2: Potential fave 2nd in lone turf try; Hill to Gomez
B. #9 One Goodnight 8-1: Hertler-Jara solid together; Red has sought sod

LONGSHOT ALERT: #7 Anxious Contender (30-1): Good 'ol Mike Shevy can spring upsets, and repeat of this Flying Zee-bred's September '05 mud-to-turf effort could put him in the super at a likely huge number.

NOTE: Should #12 Conrad's Crossing draw in, Hauswald gelding becomes an immediate player for all the money.


Bargain P6 Play:

4: 1-4-5-6
5: 1-6
6: 1-4-6
7: 6
8: 4-6
9: 5

4x2x3x1x2x1 = 48 x $2 = $96


$5 Grand Slam:

5: 1
6: 4
7: 6
8: 1-4-5-6

1x1x1x4 = 4 x $5 = $20


$1 P4:

6: 1-4-6
7: 3-4-6-9
8: 4
9: 1-4-5-9

3x4x1x4 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 07-07-2006 03:43 PM

Why the individual can be greater than the whole..
 
A $540 Super and $180 Tri to start the afternoon.. As suggested, the individual races in this sequence may be more lucrative than trying for the big score... To quote Joe Jackson, "so there goes your proof.." Key here obviously was including the 22-1 exotics booster Zip Stream (5)..

hoovesupsideyourhead 07-07-2006 04:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
A $540 Super and $180 Tri to start the afternoon.. As suggested, the individual races in this sequence may be more lucrative than trying for the big score... To quote Joe Jackson, "so there goes your proof.." Key here obviously was including the 22-1 exotics booster Zip Stream (5)..

wow your long shot just busted out the pick 6 congrats

Kasept 07-07-2006 04:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
We're not entirely sure the P6 is "worth" playing, even with the $81,000 pool coming, as the individual races look very attractive as stand alone wagering opportunities..

5: Clm, 4+, 9f-IT

1. #1 Victory Circle 6-1: May not like warming Serpe above, but do here
2. #6 Mikethemoondog 9-2: Cross out off turf try and Tagg trainee fits
A. #2e Contessa entry 9-2: Hard to ignore Gallopin' Gary with Corny, Eibar
B. #9 Jockey's Dream 4-1: Frankel takes off blinks, puts on Gomez

LONGSHOT WATCH: #5 Stage Classic (30-1) is part of rebuilding Pederson's string, and though long in the tooth, has back figs that make him competitive for tote boost underneath if Jen has him dialed in. Capable conditioner likely out to prove herself anew, and finds Jara for this opp...

And more proof that this was a good day to focus on the races and not the P6, though it will not surprise me a lick if there are many still alive after this 39-1 score by Jara. If I noticed this horse, the deep ticket slicksters certainly did..


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