Kasept
07-18-2014, 05:22 AM
Scene shifts to Saratoga after a rollicking opener at 'old Del Mar' that saw multiple longshots trip a $107k P6 carryover into Day 2. Based on Thursday's wild action and the first weekend of cards at both major summer venues, it should be an outstanding 7 weeks. Coolish temps at San Diego gave rise to some strong front end efforts on the poly, so as usual, you need to monitor the meteorologics when dabbling at DMR. Certainly Barry Abrams' implausible wire-to-wire winner Know More vwas the day's most glaring beneficiary of the tight surface. The new turf course played fairly with Super Ability wiring the 5th and Enterprising rallying from last into a square pace in the Oceanside. ATR listeners benefited from Brad Free's warning on $62.80 Passing Game and Jeff Seigel's excellent tab of 24-1 runner up Eldorado Prado ($20.60 to place) who was beaten in a photo. Hope everyone did well and are ready for a great weekend with the Spa's first day dawning gloriously..
SARATOGA RACE COURSE
POST-SCRATCHES
1st: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #4 King of Broadway 4-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Grandpa Len 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Goodnewsisnonews 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Winter Games 12-1 WON ($31.00)
2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)
First Maiden affair of the season. Be sure to utilize these sources for in-depth juvenile coverage this season:
Doug Salvatore's 2yo Opportunities at Twin Spires Blog: http://www.twinspires.com/blog/
John Forbes' Firsters: http://www.nyra.com/saratoga/blogs/firsters/
Dan Ilman's Spa Babies (DRF Plus): http://www.drf.com/news/premium/spa-babies-friday-july-18
Also eligible Overspending SCR the one to beat if she gets in..
Best Value: #2 Know It All Anna 4-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Wall Street Lady 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 By the Moon 8-1 WON ($14.00)
Super Add: #6 Vinolicious 5-2 5th
3rd: 96th Schuylerville (G3), 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #4 Fashion Alert 3-5 WON ($2.40)
Next Best: #2 Tulira's Star 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Mast Cove 20-1
4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #3 Mumtaazah 5-2 7th
Best Value: #7 Premura 5-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Judy Legend 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Magsamelia 5-1 2nd
Super Add: 1e Jerkens entry 12-1 3rd
5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 11f-IT (P6, P3, DD)
There's nothing overwhelming about 4-5 Can'thelpbelieving..
Best Value: #7 Papy 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Can'thelpbelieving 4-5 WON ($4.90)
Exotics Use: #8 Duke of Perth 8-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Ave Nox 30-1 9th
<$75 P5/P4 Plays:
All A Entries
1 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 - $4.00
A's with One B
2 $0.50 pick P5: 2,8 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 3,6 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 2,7 with 3,7 - $8.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 8 - $2.00
A's with Two B's
6 $0.50 pick P5: 2,8 with 3,6 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 2,8 with 2,8 with 4 with 2,7 with 3,7 - $8.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 2,8 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 8 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 3,6 with 4 with 2,7 with 3,7 - $8.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 3,6 with 4 with 3 with 8 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 2,7 with 8 - $4.00
A's with One C
12 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 4 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 2 with 3 with 3,7 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 1,4 with 3,7 - $8.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 1,2,6 - $6.00
Total: $72.00
6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (G/S, P3, DD)
Fun state-bred group with trio of 2nd time starters facing off v. 5 debuters..
Most Likely: #2 Saluda 5-1 DNF
Next Best: #6 Full Tap 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 The Lewis Dinner 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 In Spite of Mama 7-2 4th
7th: CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)
Pretty cool to see 5yo and 6yo half brothers Tiz Sardonic Joe (Tiznow) and Joes Blazing Aaron (Graeme Hall) come together here..
Best Value: #5 Nubin Ridge 10-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Joes Blazing Aaron 9-5 WON ($3.80)
Exotics Use: #2 Monument Hill 4-1 3rd-2nd for wagering
Super Add: #3 Tiz Sardonic Joe 7-2 2nd-Purse money only
8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)
Looks like pace up front will get spirited, so despite favoritism, think you have to look to late-arriving Ballerina Belle..
Most Likely: #10 Ballerina Belle 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Kiss Me Lola 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Aventure Love 7-2 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #1 Zamquick 6th
9th: 2nd Sir Cat-R, 3yo, 1m-IT (DD)
Tough to stray to far from the faves..
Most Likely: #1 Storming Inti 9-5 3rd
Next Best: #5 Tourist 8-5 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #6 J to the Croft 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Cabo Cat 4-1 4th
10th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T
Deep set of state breds that won't make it easy on multi-race plays..
Best Value: #10 Maura's Pass 6-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Jet Majesty 3-1 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #5 Traipse in Utopia 8-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Winter Wish 7-2 Paddock SCR-Flipped/Got loose
<$75 P4 Play:
7: 5-8 (A), 2-3 (B), 4-7-9 (C)
8: 10 (A), 1-3-4 (B), 9 (C)
9: 1 (A), 5 (B), 2-6 (C)
10: 5-9-10 (A), 8 (B), 3-11 (C) $0.50 Pick 4 (1,3,8,11,12,13/3/3,5/8,9,13,14,15) Paid $22.25
Good luck!
Steve
SARATOGA RACE COURSE
POST-SCRATCHES
1st: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #4 King of Broadway 4-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Grandpa Len 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Goodnewsisnonews 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Winter Games 12-1 WON ($31.00)
2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)
First Maiden affair of the season. Be sure to utilize these sources for in-depth juvenile coverage this season:
Doug Salvatore's 2yo Opportunities at Twin Spires Blog: http://www.twinspires.com/blog/
John Forbes' Firsters: http://www.nyra.com/saratoga/blogs/firsters/
Dan Ilman's Spa Babies (DRF Plus): http://www.drf.com/news/premium/spa-babies-friday-july-18
Also eligible Overspending SCR the one to beat if she gets in..
Best Value: #2 Know It All Anna 4-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Wall Street Lady 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 By the Moon 8-1 WON ($14.00)
Super Add: #6 Vinolicious 5-2 5th
3rd: 96th Schuylerville (G3), 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #4 Fashion Alert 3-5 WON ($2.40)
Next Best: #2 Tulira's Star 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Mast Cove 20-1
4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #3 Mumtaazah 5-2 7th
Best Value: #7 Premura 5-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Judy Legend 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Magsamelia 5-1 2nd
Super Add: 1e Jerkens entry 12-1 3rd
5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 11f-IT (P6, P3, DD)
There's nothing overwhelming about 4-5 Can'thelpbelieving..
Best Value: #7 Papy 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Can'thelpbelieving 4-5 WON ($4.90)
Exotics Use: #8 Duke of Perth 8-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Ave Nox 30-1 9th
<$75 P5/P4 Plays:
All A Entries
1 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 - $4.00
A's with One B
2 $0.50 pick P5: 2,8 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 3,6 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 2,7 with 3,7 - $8.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 8 - $2.00
A's with Two B's
6 $0.50 pick P5: 2,8 with 3,6 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 2,8 with 2,8 with 4 with 2,7 with 3,7 - $8.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 2,8 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 8 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 3,6 with 4 with 2,7 with 3,7 - $8.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 3,6 with 4 with 3 with 8 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 2,7 with 8 - $4.00
A's with One C
12 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 4 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 2 with 3 with 3,7 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 1,4 with 3,7 - $8.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 1,2,6 - $6.00
Total: $72.00
6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (G/S, P3, DD)
Fun state-bred group with trio of 2nd time starters facing off v. 5 debuters..
Most Likely: #2 Saluda 5-1 DNF
Next Best: #6 Full Tap 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 The Lewis Dinner 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 In Spite of Mama 7-2 4th
7th: CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)
Pretty cool to see 5yo and 6yo half brothers Tiz Sardonic Joe (Tiznow) and Joes Blazing Aaron (Graeme Hall) come together here..
Best Value: #5 Nubin Ridge 10-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Joes Blazing Aaron 9-5 WON ($3.80)
Exotics Use: #2 Monument Hill 4-1 3rd-2nd for wagering
Super Add: #3 Tiz Sardonic Joe 7-2 2nd-Purse money only
8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)
Looks like pace up front will get spirited, so despite favoritism, think you have to look to late-arriving Ballerina Belle..
Most Likely: #10 Ballerina Belle 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Kiss Me Lola 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Aventure Love 7-2 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #1 Zamquick 6th
9th: 2nd Sir Cat-R, 3yo, 1m-IT (DD)
Tough to stray to far from the faves..
Most Likely: #1 Storming Inti 9-5 3rd
Next Best: #5 Tourist 8-5 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #6 J to the Croft 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Cabo Cat 4-1 4th
10th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T
Deep set of state breds that won't make it easy on multi-race plays..
Best Value: #10 Maura's Pass 6-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Jet Majesty 3-1 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #5 Traipse in Utopia 8-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Winter Wish 7-2 Paddock SCR-Flipped/Got loose
<$75 P4 Play:
7: 5-8 (A), 2-3 (B), 4-7-9 (C)
8: 10 (A), 1-3-4 (B), 9 (C)
9: 1 (A), 5 (B), 2-6 (C)
10: 5-9-10 (A), 8 (B), 3-11 (C) $0.50 Pick 4 (1,3,8,11,12,13/3/3,5/8,9,13,14,15) Paid $22.25
Good luck!
Steve