Kasept
10-14-2013, 07:01 AM
BELMONT PARK
PRE-SCRATCHES
1st: CLM, 3+, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)
Good, well-matched group and tough start to P5. Class droppers I'm Wide Awake (5-1) and Craving Carats (15-1) are attractively priced. Not sure if Contessa runs Kiss of Thunder who won Thursday. Note too that the race marks the NY debut of Arlington meet title winner Manny Esquivel. The Chicago native is being booked by Billy Castle, so expect a ton of Jacobson mounts/winners..
Best Value: #1 I'm Wide Awake 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Ale 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Prudent Investor 7-2 5th
Super Add: #4 Craving Carats 15-1 WON ($18.40)
2nd: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)
Frazil ran Friday so we'll have to see what Rice does with the hard knocking 7yo. Looks a fast pace here with Writingonthewall and He Can Run both stretching out..
Most Likely: #8 Dawly 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Cinnamon Beach 15-1 6th
Next Best: #4 He Can Run 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Scotus 6-1 3rd
3rd: OC/N3X, 3+, 7f-T (P3, DD)
Taking a shot that Happy My Way -- who ran well fresh at GP in March -- wires this off the 7 week break..
Best Value: #2 Happy My Way 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Tripski 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Sayaad 5-2 WON ($3.60)
Super Add: #4 Nine O Wonderful 6-1 2nd
4th: CLM, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)
SCR Hundred Acre Wood..
Best Value: #4 Score Boyera 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Thisizsparta 2-1 WON ($6.50)
Exotics Use: #1 House On Toilsome 9-5 2nd
Super Add: #5 Quiet Sunshine 6-1 5th
5th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)
SCR Justin Nguyen who has a quarter crack..
Most Likely: #1 Breakeven Analysis 7-2 5th
Best Value: #7 Street Gent 15-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Mr Speaker 2-1 WON ($6.50)
Exotics Use: #10 Patent 6-1 2nd
<$50 P5 Play:
1: 1-3-4-6
2: 4-7-8
3: 2
4: 4-6
5: 1-5-7-10
4x3x1x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
<$50 P4 Play:
2: 4-7-8
3: 1-2-4-6
4: 4-6
5: 1-5-7-10
3x4x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
6th: NY-OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)
Not in either P4 so a great spot to play around with possible bombs..
Most Likely: #8 Fiftyfour Forever 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Run a Dubb Dubb 20-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Soul Opposition 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #4 Gabrilicious 20-1 6th
7th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)
Really tough start to the late quad..
Most Likely: #10 Cashleigh 6-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Yes It's Showtime 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Professor Plum 6-1 10th
Exotics Use: #9 Cash Your Ticket 3-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Trainingforsuccess 10-1 3rd
8th: 21st Pebbles, 3yo-F, 1m-T
Outrageous assembly for stake which should have been graded for this year and obviously will be next year. Speed aplenty lining up and it will be interesting to see who can avoid dueling early between Mariel and Kathy, Tapicat and Discreet Marq. No one, including 20-1's from Hennig and KMc, would surprise..
Most Likely: #3 Dauphine Russe 3-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Tapicat 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Frege 20-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Teen Pauline 12-1 3rd
9th: I'm a Banker, 3+, 8.5f (DD)
Percussion obviously a wire threat..
Most Likely: #4 Percussion 8-5 4th
Next Best: #1e Jacobson entry 5-2 2nd/3rd
Exotics Use: #2 SCR
10th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 7f-T
Murky end to the sequences..
Most Likely: #11 Cool It 4-1 4th
Best Value: #1 East Bay Lodge 15-1 9th
Next Best: #7 Giant Jo 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Sounds of Saratoga 10-1 8th
<$75 P4 Play:
7: 2-4-6-8-9-10
8: 3-5-6
9: 1-4
10: 1-5-7-11
6x3x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
SANTA ANITA
POST-SCRATCHES
5th: Cal-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)
Best Value: #6 Hot and Pleasing 8-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Sidepocket Run 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #11 Kathleen Rose 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Peggy Sue's Loose 8-1 3rd
6th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #4 Final Step 2-1 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #3 Big Medicine Man 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Enterprising 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #12 Ke in Motion 6-1 9th
7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #6 Mr. Ornery 4-1 11th
Next Best: #12 Copper Bay 4-1 7th
Best Value: #7 Warren's Big Cat 30-1 10th
Exotics Use: #13 SCR
8th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #6 Fighting On 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 He's a Sure Call 12-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Hodge 2-1 9th
Exotics Use: #4 Cunning Ride 4-1 3rd
9th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9f-T (DD)
Most Likely: #1 Big Bane Theory 3-1 WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #8 Huntsville 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Hawk's Eyes 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Lucky Primo 7-2 5th
10th: MCLM/$20k, F&M-3+, 7f (Super Hi-5)
Best Value: #4 Love Love Me Do 12-1 10th
Next Best: #6 Winninginfashion 4-1 14th
Exotics Use: #12 Glad's Gals 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #14 Speedy Vixen 10-1 4th
Hi-5 Play: #3 Roust 'Em Bertie 9-2 WON ($12.20)
<$100 P6 Play:
5: 2-6-11
6: 4
7: 6-7-12-13
8: 2-6
9: 1
10: 4-6
3x1x4x2x1x2 = 48 x $2 = $96
<$50 P4 Play:
7: 6-7-12-13
8: 2-4-6-8
9: 1
10: 3-4-6-9-12-14
4x4x1x6 = 96 x .50 = $48
Good luck!
Steve
PRE-SCRATCHES
1st: CLM, 3+, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)
Good, well-matched group and tough start to P5. Class droppers I'm Wide Awake (5-1) and Craving Carats (15-1) are attractively priced. Not sure if Contessa runs Kiss of Thunder who won Thursday. Note too that the race marks the NY debut of Arlington meet title winner Manny Esquivel. The Chicago native is being booked by Billy Castle, so expect a ton of Jacobson mounts/winners..
Best Value: #1 I'm Wide Awake 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Ale 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Prudent Investor 7-2 5th
Super Add: #4 Craving Carats 15-1 WON ($18.40)
2nd: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)
Frazil ran Friday so we'll have to see what Rice does with the hard knocking 7yo. Looks a fast pace here with Writingonthewall and He Can Run both stretching out..
Most Likely: #8 Dawly 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Cinnamon Beach 15-1 6th
Next Best: #4 He Can Run 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Scotus 6-1 3rd
3rd: OC/N3X, 3+, 7f-T (P3, DD)
Taking a shot that Happy My Way -- who ran well fresh at GP in March -- wires this off the 7 week break..
Best Value: #2 Happy My Way 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Tripski 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Sayaad 5-2 WON ($3.60)
Super Add: #4 Nine O Wonderful 6-1 2nd
4th: CLM, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)
SCR Hundred Acre Wood..
Best Value: #4 Score Boyera 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Thisizsparta 2-1 WON ($6.50)
Exotics Use: #1 House On Toilsome 9-5 2nd
Super Add: #5 Quiet Sunshine 6-1 5th
5th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)
SCR Justin Nguyen who has a quarter crack..
Most Likely: #1 Breakeven Analysis 7-2 5th
Best Value: #7 Street Gent 15-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Mr Speaker 2-1 WON ($6.50)
Exotics Use: #10 Patent 6-1 2nd
<$50 P5 Play:
1: 1-3-4-6
2: 4-7-8
3: 2
4: 4-6
5: 1-5-7-10
4x3x1x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
<$50 P4 Play:
2: 4-7-8
3: 1-2-4-6
4: 4-6
5: 1-5-7-10
3x4x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
6th: NY-OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)
Not in either P4 so a great spot to play around with possible bombs..
Most Likely: #8 Fiftyfour Forever 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Run a Dubb Dubb 20-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Soul Opposition 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #4 Gabrilicious 20-1 6th
7th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)
Really tough start to the late quad..
Most Likely: #10 Cashleigh 6-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Yes It's Showtime 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Professor Plum 6-1 10th
Exotics Use: #9 Cash Your Ticket 3-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Trainingforsuccess 10-1 3rd
8th: 21st Pebbles, 3yo-F, 1m-T
Outrageous assembly for stake which should have been graded for this year and obviously will be next year. Speed aplenty lining up and it will be interesting to see who can avoid dueling early between Mariel and Kathy, Tapicat and Discreet Marq. No one, including 20-1's from Hennig and KMc, would surprise..
Most Likely: #3 Dauphine Russe 3-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Tapicat 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Frege 20-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Teen Pauline 12-1 3rd
9th: I'm a Banker, 3+, 8.5f (DD)
Percussion obviously a wire threat..
Most Likely: #4 Percussion 8-5 4th
Next Best: #1e Jacobson entry 5-2 2nd/3rd
Exotics Use: #2 SCR
10th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 7f-T
Murky end to the sequences..
Most Likely: #11 Cool It 4-1 4th
Best Value: #1 East Bay Lodge 15-1 9th
Next Best: #7 Giant Jo 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Sounds of Saratoga 10-1 8th
<$75 P4 Play:
7: 2-4-6-8-9-10
8: 3-5-6
9: 1-4
10: 1-5-7-11
6x3x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
SANTA ANITA
POST-SCRATCHES
5th: Cal-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)
Best Value: #6 Hot and Pleasing 8-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Sidepocket Run 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #11 Kathleen Rose 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Peggy Sue's Loose 8-1 3rd
6th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #4 Final Step 2-1 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #3 Big Medicine Man 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Enterprising 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #12 Ke in Motion 6-1 9th
7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #6 Mr. Ornery 4-1 11th
Next Best: #12 Copper Bay 4-1 7th
Best Value: #7 Warren's Big Cat 30-1 10th
Exotics Use: #13 SCR
8th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #6 Fighting On 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 He's a Sure Call 12-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Hodge 2-1 9th
Exotics Use: #4 Cunning Ride 4-1 3rd
9th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9f-T (DD)
Most Likely: #1 Big Bane Theory 3-1 WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #8 Huntsville 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Hawk's Eyes 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Lucky Primo 7-2 5th
10th: MCLM/$20k, F&M-3+, 7f (Super Hi-5)
Best Value: #4 Love Love Me Do 12-1 10th
Next Best: #6 Winninginfashion 4-1 14th
Exotics Use: #12 Glad's Gals 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #14 Speedy Vixen 10-1 4th
Hi-5 Play: #3 Roust 'Em Bertie 9-2 WON ($12.20)
<$100 P6 Play:
5: 2-6-11
6: 4
7: 6-7-12-13
8: 2-6
9: 1
10: 4-6
3x1x4x2x1x2 = 48 x $2 = $96
<$50 P4 Play:
7: 6-7-12-13
8: 2-4-6-8
9: 1
10: 3-4-6-9-12-14
4x4x1x6 = 96 x .50 = $48
Good luck!
Steve