Kasept
10-02-2013, 07:50 AM
BELMONT PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
1st: OC/S-ALW, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P5, P3, DD)
Very tricky start to P5 with field well-matched and dirt-to-turf movers Insolvent (2nd off claim for Jacobson) and So Blessed adding to intrigue. Insolvent and Sunrise Kitty look to be main speeds with a host of stalkers following. Villanella is 3/4 at BEL and ran for Franco 3 weeks ago when receiving pace set up. Could arrive late if pressers engage the leaders. Use as many as you can afford to start the quintet..
SCR NOTE: So Blessed out of 1st which could leave Insolvent completely alone up front if Sunrise Kitty doesn't commit..
Most Likely: #8 Strategic Missile 4-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Nice Stuff 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Insolvent 9-2 WON ($11.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Villanella 10-1 7th
2nd: MSW, 2yo, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #6 Enthrone 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Cabo Cat 8-1 WON ($18.00)
Next Best: #2 Little Boss 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Summer Cove 5-1 6th
3rd: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)
Major baby set with $2.6MM weanling Miss Besilu SCR'D (half to Saint Liam, Quiet Giant) headling for Ben Leon & Mott. Glacken's Gift is a full sister of ill-fated Live Lively. Mr. Fipke paid $725k for Indy's Million, a last crop A.P. Indy daughter o/o a Sunday Silence mare. Tizarocket makes 2nd start, was OK in debut and gets upgrade in irons to Franco..
Most Likely: #1 Tizarocket 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Glacken's Gift 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Indy's Million 5-1 5th
4th: MCLM/$25k, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD)
$44k C/O starts here..
Watch board for potential clues to this snake pit event..
Most Likely: #9 Maybry's Fortune 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Recovered 5-1 5th
Next Best: #3 My Jimmy Chew Girl 7-2 WON ($8.10)
Exotics Use: #7 Samurai's Honor 10-1 3rd
5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (F/S, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #8 Peace and Justice 4-1 8th
Best Value: #5 Jonrah 8-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Red Vine 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Idle American 10-1 6th
<$75 P5 Play:
1: 5-6-8
2: 2-4-6-8
3: 1-4
4: 3-5-9
5: 5-8
3x4x2x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
<$50 P4 Play:
2: 2-4-6-8
3: 1-3-4-5
4: 3-5-9
5: 5-8
4x4x3x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
6th: NY-MCLM/$20k, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #8 Carole Lee 7-2 7th
Best Value: #3 Isn'tshewonderful 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Jupiter Moon 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Transit Express 3-1 5th
7th: NY-SLW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD)
You'll have to count on 0/38 pilot, but My Uptown Gal looks like key to this..
Most Likely: #6 My Uptown Gal 7-2 10th
Next Best: #1 Ave's Halo 3-1 WON ($4.80)
Best Value: #3 Fantastic Eyes 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Eurokay by Me 15-1 7th
8th: Catinca, 3yo-F, 6f (DD)
Tricky little event with G1 Prioress winner Lighthouse Bay exiting wide rally try in Test (beaten 3L). Filly to beat yes, but rest of cast is well within striking range. Bridgehampton SCR'D returns from 90 day break, may be set for best yet and could have to be reeled in late..
Best Value: #5 Baby J 5-1 WON ($5.70)
Next Best: #1 Lighthouse Bay Gate SCR-Flipped
9th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T
Pie's First Lady SCR's and that makes Amber Morning even tougher on front end..
Most Likely: #2 Amber Morning 2-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Uman Candy 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Chow Fun 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Done Smoking 3-1 3rd
<$150 P6 Play:
4: 3-5-9
5: 4-8
6: 3-7-8-9
7: 6
8: 1/SCR-2-5
9: 2
3x2x4x1x3x1 = 72 x $2 = $144
<$50 P4 Play:
6: 3-7-8-9
7: 1-3-6-8
8: 1/SCR-2-5
9: 2-7
4x4x3x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
Good luck!
Steve
POST-SCRATCHES
1st: OC/S-ALW, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P5, P3, DD)
Very tricky start to P5 with field well-matched and dirt-to-turf movers Insolvent (2nd off claim for Jacobson) and So Blessed adding to intrigue. Insolvent and Sunrise Kitty look to be main speeds with a host of stalkers following. Villanella is 3/4 at BEL and ran for Franco 3 weeks ago when receiving pace set up. Could arrive late if pressers engage the leaders. Use as many as you can afford to start the quintet..
SCR NOTE: So Blessed out of 1st which could leave Insolvent completely alone up front if Sunrise Kitty doesn't commit..
Most Likely: #8 Strategic Missile 4-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Nice Stuff 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Insolvent 9-2 WON ($11.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Villanella 10-1 7th
2nd: MSW, 2yo, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #6 Enthrone 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Cabo Cat 8-1 WON ($18.00)
Next Best: #2 Little Boss 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Summer Cove 5-1 6th
3rd: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)
Major baby set with $2.6MM weanling Miss Besilu SCR'D (half to Saint Liam, Quiet Giant) headling for Ben Leon & Mott. Glacken's Gift is a full sister of ill-fated Live Lively. Mr. Fipke paid $725k for Indy's Million, a last crop A.P. Indy daughter o/o a Sunday Silence mare. Tizarocket makes 2nd start, was OK in debut and gets upgrade in irons to Franco..
Most Likely: #1 Tizarocket 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Glacken's Gift 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Indy's Million 5-1 5th
4th: MCLM/$25k, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD)
$44k C/O starts here..
Watch board for potential clues to this snake pit event..
Most Likely: #9 Maybry's Fortune 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Recovered 5-1 5th
Next Best: #3 My Jimmy Chew Girl 7-2 WON ($8.10)
Exotics Use: #7 Samurai's Honor 10-1 3rd
5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (F/S, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #8 Peace and Justice 4-1 8th
Best Value: #5 Jonrah 8-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Red Vine 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Idle American 10-1 6th
<$75 P5 Play:
1: 5-6-8
2: 2-4-6-8
3: 1-4
4: 3-5-9
5: 5-8
3x4x2x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
<$50 P4 Play:
2: 2-4-6-8
3: 1-3-4-5
4: 3-5-9
5: 5-8
4x4x3x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
6th: NY-MCLM/$20k, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #8 Carole Lee 7-2 7th
Best Value: #3 Isn'tshewonderful 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Jupiter Moon 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Transit Express 3-1 5th
7th: NY-SLW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD)
You'll have to count on 0/38 pilot, but My Uptown Gal looks like key to this..
Most Likely: #6 My Uptown Gal 7-2 10th
Next Best: #1 Ave's Halo 3-1 WON ($4.80)
Best Value: #3 Fantastic Eyes 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Eurokay by Me 15-1 7th
8th: Catinca, 3yo-F, 6f (DD)
Tricky little event with G1 Prioress winner Lighthouse Bay exiting wide rally try in Test (beaten 3L). Filly to beat yes, but rest of cast is well within striking range. Bridgehampton SCR'D returns from 90 day break, may be set for best yet and could have to be reeled in late..
Best Value: #5 Baby J 5-1 WON ($5.70)
Next Best: #1 Lighthouse Bay Gate SCR-Flipped
9th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T
Pie's First Lady SCR's and that makes Amber Morning even tougher on front end..
Most Likely: #2 Amber Morning 2-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Uman Candy 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Chow Fun 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Done Smoking 3-1 3rd
<$150 P6 Play:
4: 3-5-9
5: 4-8
6: 3-7-8-9
7: 6
8: 1/SCR-2-5
9: 2
3x2x4x1x3x1 = 72 x $2 = $144
<$50 P4 Play:
6: 3-7-8-9
7: 1-3-6-8
8: 1/SCR-2-5
9: 2-7
4x4x3x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
Good luck!
Steve