9/26: Belmont Park (7th-10th)

[Kasept]

Fell short Wednesday of solid P5/P4 returns when 3rd choice Sally's Dream overhauled no-excuse Edie in the late stages of the 5th. P5 play relied too heavily on Edie and Shakeira and utilized too many multiples in the 3rd where Baffle Me dominated. Was stymied in the late quad in the first leg when Yield Bogey bested the 6th and was doubly frustrated in the race when My Pal of Pals found some traffic off the turn and idled to be 5th by 4 lengths. Hope everyone did OK. Thursday slate just a water-treading ahead of Santa Anita opening day Friday and outlandish-looking 'Super Saturday'...


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 The Blonde Peque 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Big Love 15-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Giant's Jewel 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Glenwood Pines 6-1 4th


8th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Miss Lech 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Illapa 5-1 3rd-DH
Next Best: #10 Trautman 8-1 10th
Exotics Use: #5 Walk Close 7-2 WON ($13.00)


9th: CLM, 3+, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #1e Jacobson entry 4-1 3rd/6th
Next Best: #2e Dubb entry 7-2 5th/7th
Best Value: #5 Dighton 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Clawback 5-2 WON ($7.30)


10th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f-T

Most Likely: #5 Maybry's Challenge 3-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Maggie's Lad 5-1 9th
Exotics Use: #9 Gone Country 5-1 7th
Super Add: #10 Justice Dept 4-1 4th


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1-3-4-8
8: 3-7
9: 1-2-5-7
10: 4-5-9

4x2x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

BEL SCR/CHG'S (http://www.nyra.com/belmont/changes/)

[Seattleallstar]

wtf is wrong with Clawback, i hate these kind of races damned if you damned if you dont with Clawback imo. On paper he should take this race, but the layoff the drop is no bueno and usually means when you play this type of horse you will rarely win. All the do is attract attention and burn money as a favorite

[Seattleallstar]

I also think Justice Dept is a single, love the works, and looks to hold the speed advantage.

[Kasept]

$33,180 BEL C/O FRIDAY :$: