9/12: Belmont Park (1st-9th; Belmont-Penn Nat'l P4)

[Kasept]

Belmont Double Carryover proved as challenging as advertised as a single deserving ticket, purchased through NYRA Rewards, negotiated the sequence nabbing a $423,424 prize. The opening leg demolished a majority of plays immediately as Jeremiah Englehart FTS (first time starter) Summerdale debuted huge at 27-1. He's So Chic proved unreliable at 4-5 in Leg B, but Chasing Moonlight was certainly on a good number of tix. Mott FTS My Place (5-2) held off 14-1 Sylvia T who would almost certainly have tripped a third carry had she won.

I used bowing Princess Adelyn in the P6/P4, but she knocked a lot out paying $21.80. Cheyenne Nation ruined my P4 play winning the 8th at 6-1 and should have at least been the subject of an inquiry having drifted out to hinder Tiz Gianni and Border Song to a certain degree. 4-1 third choice Ale closed out the sequence in a photo with 7-2 Logan Street who would have rewarded the same winning play.

Hope everyone did OK. New Thursday BEL-PEN P4 debuts today linking the Belmont late double with Penn National's opening pair. The wager is a .50 minimum with attractive 15% takeout...


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: OC/N3X, 3+, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

Away since November, Bellamy Brew has a big chance if ready..

Best Value: #6 Bellamy Brew 5-1 WON ($6.60)
Next Best: #1e Jacobson entry 3-1 2nd/4th
Exotics Use: #3 Hierro 8-5 5th


2nd: MCLM/$65k, 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Hard not to link Sea Hunt and Frogman Mel in some kind of pithy quip and in exotics plays. Rumblefortheroses a half to turf route stake winner Tajaaweed..

Most Likely: #6 Rumblefortheroses 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #8 Sea Hunt 6-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Frogman Mel 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #1a Nauset Beach 3-1 4th


3rd: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Short field but a confusing lot. Blinkers and J. Ortiz could spell major improvement for Mei Ling (5-1)..

Best Value: #1 Mei Ling 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Guilty Verdict 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Julia Tutwiler 5-2 6th
Super Add: #4 Divided Attention 4-1 WON ($12.40)


4th: CLM, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Big SCR of Bricks and Clicks..

Most Likely: #4 Correspondent 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Elusive Design 15-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Dust Em Mick 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #12 Chelsea Road 3-1 3rd


5th: NY-MSW, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Don't know what it will take to get Thnxtomyuncle over. Looks like One Red Cat is the likely culprit to beat him here..

Most Likely: #7 One Red Cat 4-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Thxtomyuncle 3-1 WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #6 Escape to the Moon 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #3 D J's Hope 10-1 5th


>$50 P5 Play:

Super tricky P5 today..

1: 1-6
2: 6-8
3: 1-2
4: 1-4-9-12
5: 2-6-7

2x2x2x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 6-7-8
3: 1-2-4-6
4: 1-4-9-12
5: 2-6-7

3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Maggie's Lad Late SCR (Gate entanglement)
Next Best: #1e Generazio entry #1a Late SCR (Ran off)/#1 Purse only
Exotics Use: #4 Forever Utopia Late SCR (Ran off)
Super Add: #11 Hushhushmushmush 12-1 4th (For wagering purposes)


7th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Le Deluge 8-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Formulaforsuccess 5-1 WON ($9.50)
Exotics Use: #2 Viscount 6-1 9th
Super Add: #3 Malibu Way 5-2 4th


8th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 6f (BEL-PEN P4, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Much Stronger 6-5 2nd
Next Best: #1 Island Sunset 7-2 6th
Best Value: #6 Assured Victory 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Frostys Whirl 30-1 8th


9th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-IT

Best Value: #3 Villanella 15-1 WON ($16.40)
Next Best: #12 Lisini 7-2 9th
Exotics Use: #1 Queen Mercury 3-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Mess in a Dress 30-1 4th


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1/SCR-3/SCR-4/SCR-8-11
7: 1-2-3-8
8: 5
9: 1-3-8-9-12

5x4x1x5 = 100 x .50 = $50


<$50 BEL-PEN P4 Play:

PEN 1ST OFF THE TURF

BEL 8: 1-5-6
BEL 9: 1-3-8-12
PEN 1: 3-4-5-6
PEN 2: 2-5

3x4x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

BEL SCR/CHG'S (http://www.nyra.com/belmont/changes/)

PEN SCR/CHG'S (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/latechangesPEN-USA.html)

[Kasept]

BOARD WATCH: Frogman Mel getting bet plenty... too much to ignore. Adjusting P4 to include.

2: 6-7-8
3: 1-2-4-6
4: 1-4-9-12
5: 2-6-7

3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

[Sethcarter]

Bel 4
50 wps 12

[Kasept]

A third big P5 payout is in the offing...

Pick 5 Will Pays

1) 45,604.75
2) 4,886.00
3) 10,524.00
4) 11,401.00
5) -
6) 5,948.25
7) 4,145.75
8) 4,560.25

[ADJMK]

Props to Andy. In the pre-game show talked about the 4th being a crazy race and that he was taking a chance on #2 Lemon Song.

[Kasept]

Horses running off in every direction before the 6th...

[lazytom]

That fiasco totally sucked-

[Kasept]

That fiasco totally sucked-

But.. here's the good news. Somehow the winner went off favored! We're all alive.

[dagolfer33]

Every one of my horses scratch. I am at work, can't watch every second of what's going on. I get 3 doses of the favorite. I see both the 5 & 9 are 8/5. The 5 blows the doors off the field and as I check the pools who is the favorite??????? The 9 by $80 bucks. Screw that.

[dagolfer33]

But.. here's the good news. Somehow the winner went off favored! We're all alive.

Did I blow my lid prematurely?

[pyramid]

But.. here's the good news. Somehow the winner went off favored! We're all alive.

Xpressbet showed the 9 as the fav. by $72. I never back into anything good with scratches!!

[Kasept]

Did I blow my lid prematurely?

Xpressbet showed the 9 as the fav. by $72. I never back into anything good with scratches!!

The 5 was favored by just under $200.

[lazytom]

Steve- love your spirit. i'm in.

[pyramid]

The 5 was favored by just under $200.

Thanks for the good news Steve. I have never known the Xpressbet pools to be wrong, but I am glad they were here. It's good to be alive when a horse wins that I would never bet as a fav.

[Kasept]

Thanks for the good news Steve. I have never known the Xpressbet pools to be wrong, but I am glad they were here. It's good to be alive when a horse wins that I would never bet as a fav.

I wouldn't have bet the winner if they showed the result ahead of time... :D

[Kasept]

Steve- love your spirit. i'm in.

They can't stop us Tom.. they can only hope to contain us.

[dagolfer33]

The 5 was favored by just under $200.

The best news I have had all day, thanks Steve.

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

the jock of the 2 in the fourth out rode them all..

[Kasept]

PENN NATIONAL NOW OFF THE TURF FOR FIRST

[geojr130]

Raining buckets at penn

[LAP_520]

Xpressbet showed the 9 as the fav. by $72. I never back into anything good with scratches!!

Twinspires showed the 9 as money favorite $ XX,452 to the 5's $ XX,380.

Could be these ADW's never uploaded the late $.

[lazytom]

I feel contained- damn

[LAP_520]

Should of known..... New exoctic wager for NYRA .. two track pick 4 and Nyra starts it off with a $54.00 winner.
:zz:

[pyramid]

Twinspires showed the 9 as money favorite $ XX,452 to the 5's $ XX,380.

Could be these ADW's never uploaded the late $.

Those are the same totals Xpressbet showed. As it turned out, it didn't matter to me as I needed the Pletcher trainer switch that raced well, but not well enough.

[LAP_520]

Twinspires showed the 9 as money favorite $ XX,452 to the 5's $ XX,380.

Could be these ADW's never uploaded the late $.

The 5 was the Favorite in race 6 according to the will pays for Pick 6.

Does not help me thou... the 8 won the 8th race.

[Kasept]

$27k C/O FRIDAY! :$:

[Benny]

Not that it matters, as I was dead in the first leg of the Belmont/Penn P4, BUT, I checked the TS website for scratches before i put in my bet at 4:50 PM off of the Belmont 8th race and they had the # 7,9 12 scratched,nnot #8 who i included and not off the turf, i checked equjibase and they had the scratches at 5:27 and the reason as off the turf. This is a problem in communications and i never would have played the p4. Whose rules are they going by for scratches in the p4 when the surface has changed after the first race has been run ? NY or Penn ?

[blackthroatedwind]

There will not be any more turf races at Penn National in the Belmont-Penn Pick-4 going forward.