Kasept
09-07-2013, 06:08 AM
BELMONT PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
1st: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (P5, P3, DD)
Tricky start to NY's first P5 sequence with nearly all signed on eligible to win in certain scenarios. Objective should be beating vulnerable 2-1 Zivo who may be tighter after the comeback from year off. Go Get the Basil and Smooth Bert turn back out of the Albany. Consistent Quiet Power provides value..
SCR NOTES: Bake Shop one of 4 highly notable contending SCR's today..
Most Likely: #1 Go Get the Basil 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Quiet Power 10-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Zivo 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Smooth Bert 7-2 WON ($7.40)
2nd: NY-ALW/M1X, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD)
One or the other of the top pair should stay on to the wire..
SCR NOTES: Huge out with My Uptown Gal exiting..
Most Likely: #8 Uncle Southern 5-1 WON ($7.10)
Best Value: #1 Fantastic Eyes 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Scribbling Sarah 6-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Bonatini 8-1 7th
3rd: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)
Many P5 tix will depend on Blithely. Ms. Sylvia A. is a half to the very good Chief Talkeetna..
Most Likely: #1 Blithely 8-5 WON ($2.90)
Best Value: #5 Ms. Sylvia A. 8-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Cryptic Comet 4-1 2nd
4th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #6 Raging Daoust 2-1 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #1 Drink With Pride 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Itsagoodtendollars 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Dighton 8-1 7th
5th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)
Well-matched $35k claimers. If it's not Jacobson first off the claim (#7 Start Jumping), it feels like it could be any of another quintet of players (3-5-6-9). Race is made tricky by uncertainty of how pace lays out. Serpe reaches for 7# bug Franco which says he wants first out winner on front end here. Luzzi (El Cuadro) and J. Ortiz (Pass the Pico SCR'D) have option of engaging or stalking. How they play it will determine if this gets hot or not and Start Jumping can adjust to either scenario..
Best Value: #7 Start Jumping 5-1 WON ($5.60)
Next Best: #3 Jumpinofftheedge 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Cool Under Fire 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Harley 8-1 4th
<$50 P5 Play:
1: 1-3-5-6-7
2: 8
3: 1
4: 1-2-3-5-6-7
5: 3-5-7
5x1x1x6x3 = 90 x .50 = $45
$0.50 Pick 5 (5/8/1/6/7,8) Paid $195.00
<$25 P4 Play:
2: 8
3: 1
4: 1-2-3-5-6-7
5: 3-5-7-9
Main: 1x1x6x4 = $24 ($12 for .50)
$1 Pick 4 (8/1/6/7,8) Paid $69.00 (.50 = $34.50)
6th: NY-OC/N1X, 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)
The Midwest Thoroughbreds operation launches the training career of Ness assistant Laura Perillo here as she sends sends out her first runners in a potent entry..
Most Likely: #6 Street Lord 5-2 WON ($4.70)
Next Best: #1a Charlie's Punch 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Tycoon Cat 3-1 7th
Super Add: #7 Greeley's Law 20-1 6th
7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)
Best Value: #2 Bikini Beauty 8-1 WON ($13.00)
Next Best: #10 Miss Super Quick 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Acquant 3-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Mobilize 4-1 2nd
8th: 55th Bowling Green (G2), 3+, 10f-IT (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #1 Boisterous 7-5 3rd
Best Value: #3 London Lane 6-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Finnegan's Wake 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Hyper 5-2 WON ($7.90)
9th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (DD)
5-2 Griffin Rock (1 for 40 career) and 3-1 Hockey Pop (MCLM/$18k winner at MTH) are hardly fear-inducing..
Best Value: #6 Cash Your Ticket 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Shertzer 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Unprecedented 15-1 WON ($25.20)
Super Add: #4 You Tarzan 15-1 5th
10th: NY-MSW, 3+, 6f-IT
Most Likely: #6 Insighting 5-1 6th
Best Value: #2 Bob and Jim 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Ragin River 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Poppy's Watching 3-1 4th
<$75 P4 Play:
7: 2-6-10
8: 1-3
9: 2-4-6-7-8-9
10: 2-6-8-10
3x2x6x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
Good luck!
Steve
POST-SCRATCHES
1st: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (P5, P3, DD)
Tricky start to NY's first P5 sequence with nearly all signed on eligible to win in certain scenarios. Objective should be beating vulnerable 2-1 Zivo who may be tighter after the comeback from year off. Go Get the Basil and Smooth Bert turn back out of the Albany. Consistent Quiet Power provides value..
SCR NOTES: Bake Shop one of 4 highly notable contending SCR's today..
Most Likely: #1 Go Get the Basil 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Quiet Power 10-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Zivo 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Smooth Bert 7-2 WON ($7.40)
2nd: NY-ALW/M1X, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD)
One or the other of the top pair should stay on to the wire..
SCR NOTES: Huge out with My Uptown Gal exiting..
Most Likely: #8 Uncle Southern 5-1 WON ($7.10)
Best Value: #1 Fantastic Eyes 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Scribbling Sarah 6-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Bonatini 8-1 7th
3rd: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)
Many P5 tix will depend on Blithely. Ms. Sylvia A. is a half to the very good Chief Talkeetna..
Most Likely: #1 Blithely 8-5 WON ($2.90)
Best Value: #5 Ms. Sylvia A. 8-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Cryptic Comet 4-1 2nd
4th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #6 Raging Daoust 2-1 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #1 Drink With Pride 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Itsagoodtendollars 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Dighton 8-1 7th
5th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)
Well-matched $35k claimers. If it's not Jacobson first off the claim (#7 Start Jumping), it feels like it could be any of another quintet of players (3-5-6-9). Race is made tricky by uncertainty of how pace lays out. Serpe reaches for 7# bug Franco which says he wants first out winner on front end here. Luzzi (El Cuadro) and J. Ortiz (Pass the Pico SCR'D) have option of engaging or stalking. How they play it will determine if this gets hot or not and Start Jumping can adjust to either scenario..
Best Value: #7 Start Jumping 5-1 WON ($5.60)
Next Best: #3 Jumpinofftheedge 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Cool Under Fire 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Harley 8-1 4th
<$50 P5 Play:
1: 1-3-5-6-7
2: 8
3: 1
4: 1-2-3-5-6-7
5: 3-5-7
5x1x1x6x3 = 90 x .50 = $45
$0.50 Pick 5 (5/8/1/6/7,8) Paid $195.00
<$25 P4 Play:
2: 8
3: 1
4: 1-2-3-5-6-7
5: 3-5-7-9
Main: 1x1x6x4 = $24 ($12 for .50)
$1 Pick 4 (8/1/6/7,8) Paid $69.00 (.50 = $34.50)
6th: NY-OC/N1X, 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)
The Midwest Thoroughbreds operation launches the training career of Ness assistant Laura Perillo here as she sends sends out her first runners in a potent entry..
Most Likely: #6 Street Lord 5-2 WON ($4.70)
Next Best: #1a Charlie's Punch 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Tycoon Cat 3-1 7th
Super Add: #7 Greeley's Law 20-1 6th
7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)
Best Value: #2 Bikini Beauty 8-1 WON ($13.00)
Next Best: #10 Miss Super Quick 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Acquant 3-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Mobilize 4-1 2nd
8th: 55th Bowling Green (G2), 3+, 10f-IT (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #1 Boisterous 7-5 3rd
Best Value: #3 London Lane 6-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Finnegan's Wake 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Hyper 5-2 WON ($7.90)
9th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (DD)
5-2 Griffin Rock (1 for 40 career) and 3-1 Hockey Pop (MCLM/$18k winner at MTH) are hardly fear-inducing..
Best Value: #6 Cash Your Ticket 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Shertzer 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Unprecedented 15-1 WON ($25.20)
Super Add: #4 You Tarzan 15-1 5th
10th: NY-MSW, 3+, 6f-IT
Most Likely: #6 Insighting 5-1 6th
Best Value: #2 Bob and Jim 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Ragin River 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Poppy's Watching 3-1 4th
<$75 P4 Play:
7: 2-6-10
8: 1-3
9: 2-4-6-7-8-9
10: 2-6-8-10
3x2x6x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
Good luck!
Steve