Kasept
08-16-2013, 06:52 AM
Have to apologize immediately for missing the fact that Aarons Orient had drawn into the MSW 3rd until after the 2nd race had concluded. The Asmussen Orientate colt had been a troubled 4th in the Corfu-Pure Sensation event 7/25 and was obviously a major player in Thursday's heat after finding his way off the AE list. I hope some of you added him to the early P4 play for at least an additional $12.50 (.50), as the $378 return with All That, Mr. Starr's Report & Much Stronger was almost 50% above the parlay.
Mr. Starr's Report at 9-1 helped boost the day along, with Hot Squeeze, another Best Value notion, keying a nice MSW bingo in the 7th with May Shares and Flying K C. Slumber's comeback was very impressive in the 9th for Juddmonte and Mott ($6.00) and Show Some Lovin capped the good day at a very generous $8.30 in the nightcap. Hope everyone did well! Nice Friday card at Spa and night action at Del Mar features a $110k carryover...
SARATOGA
POST-SCRATCHES
1st: NY-MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #3 Poppy's Watching 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Gentle Jim 2-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Slimshady 4-1 WON ($13.40)
Exotics Use: #6 Hengroen 12-1 9th
2nd: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #2e Broman entry 8-5 WON ($2.90)/2nd
Best Value: #6 Sassy Salsa 10-1 6th
Next Best: #1a Livininthefastlane 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Alwaysinstilettos 6-1 3rd-2nd for wagering purposes
3rd: 34th Yaddo-NY, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #4 Dayatthespa 2-5 WON ($2.50)
Best Value: #5 Sally's Dream 15-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Inimitable Romanee 10-1 3rd
4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #3 Mahna 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Delany Road 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Laguna Girl 5-2 WON ($5.50)
Exotics Use: #6 Fevered Kiss 4-1 5th
5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #3 Sweet Potato 4-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Cool Flame 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Aireofdistinction 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 True Courage 5-1 5th
<$75 P4 Play:
2: 1-2-6
3: 4
4: 1-2-3-5-6-7
5: 2-3-6-7
3x1x6x4 = $72 ($36 for .50)
6th: OC/N3X, 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #4 Souper Speedy 9-5 WON ($4.30)
Best Value: #1 Praetereo 8-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Brigand 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Private Tale 10-1 6th
7th: MCLM/$25k, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)
Best Value: #3 Mavourneen 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Coriander 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Love Is Key Kaz 8-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Allie Sweet 4-1 WON ($10.20)
8th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)
All button race..
Best Value: #8 Sheza Heartbreaker 15-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Strategic Missle 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Ballistic Sue 10-1 WON ($20.40)
Super Add: #7 Spun Silky 4-1 4th
9th: Saratoga Sunrise-NY, 3+, 9f (DD)
Most Likely: #7 Awesome Vision 2-1 WON ($5.30)
Next Best: #6 Groomedforvistory 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Bigger is Bettor 3-1 2nd
10th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T
Riddled with SCR's..
Most Likely: #1 Awakino Cat WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #5 Synthesizer 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Silent Pipe 2nd
@$50 P4 Play:
7: 2-3-6-7-8
8: 1-3-4-5-6-7-8
9: 4-6-7
10: 1
5x7x3x1 = 105 x .50 = $52.50
$0.50 Pick 4 (6/3/7/1,2,3,6,9,10,11) Paid $228.75
Good luck!
Steve
Mr. Starr's Report at 9-1 helped boost the day along, with Hot Squeeze, another Best Value notion, keying a nice MSW bingo in the 7th with May Shares and Flying K C. Slumber's comeback was very impressive in the 9th for Juddmonte and Mott ($6.00) and Show Some Lovin capped the good day at a very generous $8.30 in the nightcap. Hope everyone did well! Nice Friday card at Spa and night action at Del Mar features a $110k carryover...
SARATOGA
POST-SCRATCHES
1st: NY-MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #3 Poppy's Watching 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Gentle Jim 2-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Slimshady 4-1 WON ($13.40)
Exotics Use: #6 Hengroen 12-1 9th
2nd: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #2e Broman entry 8-5 WON ($2.90)/2nd
Best Value: #6 Sassy Salsa 10-1 6th
Next Best: #1a Livininthefastlane 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Alwaysinstilettos 6-1 3rd-2nd for wagering purposes
3rd: 34th Yaddo-NY, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #4 Dayatthespa 2-5 WON ($2.50)
Best Value: #5 Sally's Dream 15-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Inimitable Romanee 10-1 3rd
4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #3 Mahna 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Delany Road 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Laguna Girl 5-2 WON ($5.50)
Exotics Use: #6 Fevered Kiss 4-1 5th
5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #3 Sweet Potato 4-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Cool Flame 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Aireofdistinction 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 True Courage 5-1 5th
<$75 P4 Play:
2: 1-2-6
3: 4
4: 1-2-3-5-6-7
5: 2-3-6-7
3x1x6x4 = $72 ($36 for .50)
6th: OC/N3X, 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #4 Souper Speedy 9-5 WON ($4.30)
Best Value: #1 Praetereo 8-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Brigand 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Private Tale 10-1 6th
7th: MCLM/$25k, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)
Best Value: #3 Mavourneen 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Coriander 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Love Is Key Kaz 8-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Allie Sweet 4-1 WON ($10.20)
8th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)
All button race..
Best Value: #8 Sheza Heartbreaker 15-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Strategic Missle 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Ballistic Sue 10-1 WON ($20.40)
Super Add: #7 Spun Silky 4-1 4th
9th: Saratoga Sunrise-NY, 3+, 9f (DD)
Most Likely: #7 Awesome Vision 2-1 WON ($5.30)
Next Best: #6 Groomedforvistory 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Bigger is Bettor 3-1 2nd
10th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T
Riddled with SCR's..
Most Likely: #1 Awakino Cat WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #5 Synthesizer 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Silent Pipe 2nd
@$50 P4 Play:
7: 2-3-6-7-8
8: 1-3-4-5-6-7-8
9: 4-6-7
10: 1
5x7x3x1 = 105 x .50 = $52.50
$0.50 Pick 4 (6/3/7/1,2,3,6,9,10,11) Paid $228.75
Good luck!
Steve