Kasept
09-24-2006, 10:49 AM
BEL 6: #1 poe-MARIA'S LOCKET (8-1): Sciacca trainee on the improve and dangerous saving ground under hot bug..
BEL 9: J. A. Gimma
First of 2 NYB juvy stakes.. Both excellent groups of well-matched babies going 7f, a recipe for nice prices.. Here are thoughts on some of the prices to consider..
#9 DISTINCT PLEASURE (10-1) Pont St.-Carroll miss likely to be overlooked and fully capable of upset..
#6 PRECIOUS TOO (12-1) Intended for $200k NATC Futurit Saturday at MON but lands here.. Bailes a savvy talent-spotter, and bay goes T2D....
#7 BELLE HARBOR (15-1) Sciacca's near-miss miss reunites with Espo for stretchout and T2D moves.. Forward move from one two back puts her squarely in exotics picture at likely juicy mutuel..
#8 TRE' BON PRO (15-1) Fact that Prado lands here highly telling as he likes the one above whom he rode last.. Ramon always dangerous with money on the line, and homebred wasn't far behind possible fave "Wink" two back..
#5 ICY CITY (15-1): Owner-breeder-trainer Laurin thought enough of this Carson City miss to try her versus the boys at Rochester, and she hardly embarassed herself. That fact will be lost on many bettors, and possible big overlay will result. USE..
PLAY: A tremendously fun betting race.. Can literally not eliminate ANYONE from money slots, and value is EVERYWHERE.. May pay to key one or more of the top 3 public choices (1, 4, 10) with the price(s) of your choosing.. Doesn't look like you can make a crazy-stupid bet here.. ANYTHING you try could turn out clever!
SELECTION:
1. 9
2. 5
3. 4
4. 6
5. 10
BEL 10: Bongard
#11 HORSE THIEF (15-1): Name of Charlton Baker should always elicit a caution as Finger Lakes assasin deadly shipping downstate or to Toga for a long time.. MDN owns perfect pair of career starts in terms of speed pattern development, and Baker thought highly enough of this one to go in stakes in BOTH of those starts! Seems a must use in exotics given "larcenous" tendencies of conditioner..
#3 MOTOR WEST (15-1): ML price an insanity on last out MSW winner who perked up with added distance.. Lone winner in field beyond 6f, (an angle similar to that which produced 30-1+ Matron winner Saturday), loses Gomez to Violette pace pony on the outside..
#2 BAXTER (8-1): Hertler has been lighting it up for extended period, and debut winner has had plenty of time to recoup from unveiling effort which posted this groups best last out Beyer at 20-1.. Kent D. suits on re-ride, and American Chance colt appears able to stalk and strike..
#6 BAD BOY RISING (8-1): Freud homebred from Derby Trailer Lansdon Robbins and partner keeps Prado who had choice of at least 2 others here.. Looks tactical and should be at least 5-1..
PLAY: Utilize the 1-2-3-6-11 in various associations with 5 (3-1 ML favorite I'm a Numbers Guy) and as $1 exacta box by themselves should that one faulter..
SELECTION:
1. 11
2. 5
3. 3
4. 2
5. 12
Good luck..!
Steve
BEL 9: J. A. Gimma
First of 2 NYB juvy stakes.. Both excellent groups of well-matched babies going 7f, a recipe for nice prices.. Here are thoughts on some of the prices to consider..
#9 DISTINCT PLEASURE (10-1) Pont St.-Carroll miss likely to be overlooked and fully capable of upset..
#6 PRECIOUS TOO (12-1) Intended for $200k NATC Futurit Saturday at MON but lands here.. Bailes a savvy talent-spotter, and bay goes T2D....
#7 BELLE HARBOR (15-1) Sciacca's near-miss miss reunites with Espo for stretchout and T2D moves.. Forward move from one two back puts her squarely in exotics picture at likely juicy mutuel..
#8 TRE' BON PRO (15-1) Fact that Prado lands here highly telling as he likes the one above whom he rode last.. Ramon always dangerous with money on the line, and homebred wasn't far behind possible fave "Wink" two back..
#5 ICY CITY (15-1): Owner-breeder-trainer Laurin thought enough of this Carson City miss to try her versus the boys at Rochester, and she hardly embarassed herself. That fact will be lost on many bettors, and possible big overlay will result. USE..
PLAY: A tremendously fun betting race.. Can literally not eliminate ANYONE from money slots, and value is EVERYWHERE.. May pay to key one or more of the top 3 public choices (1, 4, 10) with the price(s) of your choosing.. Doesn't look like you can make a crazy-stupid bet here.. ANYTHING you try could turn out clever!
SELECTION:
1. 9
2. 5
3. 4
4. 6
5. 10
BEL 10: Bongard
#11 HORSE THIEF (15-1): Name of Charlton Baker should always elicit a caution as Finger Lakes assasin deadly shipping downstate or to Toga for a long time.. MDN owns perfect pair of career starts in terms of speed pattern development, and Baker thought highly enough of this one to go in stakes in BOTH of those starts! Seems a must use in exotics given "larcenous" tendencies of conditioner..
#3 MOTOR WEST (15-1): ML price an insanity on last out MSW winner who perked up with added distance.. Lone winner in field beyond 6f, (an angle similar to that which produced 30-1+ Matron winner Saturday), loses Gomez to Violette pace pony on the outside..
#2 BAXTER (8-1): Hertler has been lighting it up for extended period, and debut winner has had plenty of time to recoup from unveiling effort which posted this groups best last out Beyer at 20-1.. Kent D. suits on re-ride, and American Chance colt appears able to stalk and strike..
#6 BAD BOY RISING (8-1): Freud homebred from Derby Trailer Lansdon Robbins and partner keeps Prado who had choice of at least 2 others here.. Looks tactical and should be at least 5-1..
PLAY: Utilize the 1-2-3-6-11 in various associations with 5 (3-1 ML favorite I'm a Numbers Guy) and as $1 exacta box by themselves should that one faulter..
SELECTION:
1. 11
2. 5
3. 3
4. 2
5. 12
Good luck..!
Steve