golfer
07-15-2012, 07:09 AM
From yesterday's 5th at Monmouth (7-14).
First off, I must say I have no idea if this horse can actually run or not, he hasn't proven that (to me) one way or the other.
Now to the race, on paper, he certainly appeared to be controlling speed, but when the gates opened, not only didn't he break particularly well, but Paco Lopez and Carmouche had both decided to change tactics on their mounts, the 1 and 2. So right off the bat, he gets caught 3 wide on the 1st turn, and ends up very close to a quick 46 and change half. So he's got that going against him. He ends up "settling" in what would have been an ok spot had he not been fairly hard used early to get there. A bunch of traffic on the far turn, early stretch, then the fade to 5th. This was also his 1st start in 6 months, so he may have been a bit short to begin with.
I would give him another shot next time at what should be double digit odds, depending on where he shows up and against whom.
First off, I must say I have no idea if this horse can actually run or not, he hasn't proven that (to me) one way or the other.
Now to the race, on paper, he certainly appeared to be controlling speed, but when the gates opened, not only didn't he break particularly well, but Paco Lopez and Carmouche had both decided to change tactics on their mounts, the 1 and 2. So right off the bat, he gets caught 3 wide on the 1st turn, and ends up very close to a quick 46 and change half. So he's got that going against him. He ends up "settling" in what would have been an ok spot had he not been fairly hard used early to get there. A bunch of traffic on the far turn, early stretch, then the fade to 5th. This was also his 1st start in 6 months, so he may have been a bit short to begin with.
I would give him another shot next time at what should be double digit odds, depending on where he shows up and against whom.