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View Full Version : 3/27: Santa Anita ($101k C/O); Sunland Park (8th-12th)


Kasept
03-27-2011, 07:04 AM
Considering the breadth of the action Saturday, it didn't turn out to be a particularly exciting day of racing. The Dubai World Cup was highly formful and ended with a heartening victory for Japan, and the Derby Trail races while interesting, hardly seem likely to offer much impact on the First Saturday in May. My wagering experience was up/down in/out all morning and afternoon, with some modest P3 success and a few isolated bingos. Had the obvious winners at Meydan and the P3's up until Victoire Pisa, (who Dick Powell pointed ATR listeners toward Friday), swiped the $10,000,000 feature.

The day's highlights on the domestic front came from some personal favorites, as $12.60 top tab Rahy's Attorney keyed the cold Superfecta in the Pan American, while wonderous NY-bred R Betty Graybull turned the upset trick on 3-5 Quiet Giant in the 140th edition of Aqueduct's Ladies H. Swift Warrior was a good find in the Rushaway as he strung out the group for a $103 tri and $466 Super. Hope you did well! Big Santa Anita carryover and the odd Sunland Park Derby card are Sunday's focus...


SUNLAND PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: 11th Sunland Park Oaks, 3yo-F, 8.5f (.50 P3, Super)

Most Likely: #5 PLUM PRETTY 9-5
Best Value: #6 Cassy Sue 8-1
Next Best: #4 Golden Springs 7-2


9th: 19th Harry Henson H., F&M-3+, 1m (.50 P4, .50 P3, $1 Place P5, Super)

Most Likely: #4 AMERICAN STORY 4-1
Best Value: #3 Queen Greeley 8-1
Next Best: #1 Hayley's Halo 5-2
Super Add: #5 Miss Heather Lee 6-1


10th: 9th La Coneja-NM, F&M-4+, 5.5f (.50 P4, .50 P3, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Cali Baby 5-2
Best Value: #6 Tricky R. 8-1
Next Best: #4 Happy Me 4-1
Super Add: #3 Fan's Cat 20-1


11th: 3rd NM Breeders' Oaks, 3yo-F, 8.5f (.50 P3, Super)

Most Likely: #8 SCR
Best Value: #6 Iplaytricks 10-1
Next Best: #7 Highspeed Rescue 7-2
Super Add: #2 Ghostly Beach 8-1


12th: 9th Sunland Derby (G3), 3yo, 9f (DD, Super, .50 Super Hi-5)

After Saturday's mediocre Derby Trail preps, it's hard to be eager about what this quirky sideshow might produce. But, Team Stonestreet chooses this for Astrology's return, and there are a few in here that border on breakthrough territory, so it's certainly an important enough undertaking with $480k, $160k and $80k available for the top three finishers.

The undertone of the race is clearly the sets of connections with multiple horses involved here or elsewhere on the road to Louisville. The Hall-Breen dynamo, fresh off their Louisiana Derby score with Pants on Fire, are on hand with two more of their sophomore prospects in Ruler on Ice and Nacho Saint. Jinks Fires, plugging along back towards his Churchill base with Archarcharch already, offers a usable 20-1 longshot in Supreme Ruler.

Steve Asmussen assaulted the entry box with the aforementioned Astrology and Borderland Derby winner Fusa Code, while Jeff Bonde, a week removed from Sway Away's swoon in the Rebel, tries Twice the Appeal in this spot. Finally, Bob Baffert, on his way back from Euroears gallant try in Dubai Saturday and still basking in The Factor's star turn at Oaklawn, shows up with a seemingly live Sinai for Ahmed Zayat.

Best Value: #7 Sinai 6-1
Next Best: #8 Nacho Saint 7-2
Exotics Use: #11 Astrology 5-2
Super Add: #6 Supreme Ruler 20-1
Hi-5 Play: #1 Ruler On Ice 8-1


<$25 P4 Play:

9: 4
10: 4-6-8
11: 2-6-7
12: 1-6-7-8-11

1x3x3x5 = 45 x .50 = $22.50



SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


NOTE: AS ANTICIPATED, RACES 4-6-8 OFF TURF


4th: CLM, 4+, 6.5f-OFF THE TURF (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$101k P6 Carryover Starts Here..

OFF THE TURF: 2-4


5th: 31st Santa Lucia-CA, F&M-4+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Briecat 6-5
Next Best: #6 Ash Zee 7-2
Best Value: #3 Church Camp 9-2
Super Add: #2 Burg Berg 4-1


6th: CLM, 4+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

OFF THE TURF: 5-12


7th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Hailey d'Oro 4-1
Best Value: #9 Great Hot 8-1
Next Best: #6 Top Debutante 6-1
Super Add; #10 Rachel Jones 8-1


8th: OC/N2X, 4+, 6.5f-OFF THE TURF (DD, Super)

OFF THE TURF: 6-2


9th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 5.5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 B's Lucky Strike 4-1
Next Best: #11 Ribald 3-1
Best Value: #6 Espirito Santo 6-1
Exotics Use: #7 Clue Me In 5-2
Hi-5 Play: #8 Jolly Ollie 8-1


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 2-4
5: 6-7
6: 5-12
7: 1
8: 2-6
9: 6-7-9-11

2x2x2x1x2x4 = 64 x $2 = $128


<$25 P4 Play:

6: 5-12
7: 1-6-9
8: 2-6
9: 6-7-9-11

2x3x2x4 = 48 x .50 = $24


Good luck!
Steve

tanner12oz
03-27-2011, 10:18 AM
you seem to be a fan of the d'oro horses steve...consistently come up on your lists...

knickslions2
03-27-2011, 10:51 AM
you seem to be a fan of the d'oro horses steve...consistently come up on your lists...

Good horses to be fans of. I almost always bet them.

Alan07
03-27-2011, 11:14 AM
OFF THE TURF at SA.

athornton5
03-27-2011, 11:15 AM
steve, great hot is #9 not the 8 in the 7th race at santa anita

Kasept
03-27-2011, 12:49 PM
SA SCR/CHG'S (http://www.santaanita.com/liveracing/2011/03/27)

Race 4: Scratch #3 Quietly Mine, #5 Skyrush, #8 Cherokee Heaven

Race 6: Scratch #3 Achak, #4 Dance With Gable, #7 Atticus Jack, #8 Hughesy, #11 El Merito

Race 7: Scratch #5 Rumor

Race 8: Scratch #7 Norvsky

Kasept
03-27-2011, 01:00 PM
SUN SCR/CHG'S (http://www.sunland-park.com/page.php?page=programchanges)

hailrazer
03-27-2011, 06:21 PM
11th: 3rd NM Breeders' Oaks, 3yo-F, 8.5f (.50 P3, Super)

Most Likely: #8 SCR
Best Value: #6 Iplaytricks 10-1
Next Best: #7 Highspeed Rescue 7-2
Super Add: #2 Ghostly Beach 8-1



I like this very much!! Thanks Steve!