Bogey
09-02-2006, 12:55 AM
It's the last weekend for the Saratoga and Del Mar meet, so let's go out swinging. With 9 weeks to go until the Breeders' Cup on November 4th, it's time to separate the contenders from the pretenders. The account stands at plus 113 units.
Saratoga - Race 8 - Forego G1
#2 Commentator - It's nice to see this talented runner back on the track. He's 4 for 4 @ the distance and 3 for 3 @ the Spa and on a wet track. He's been training great for his return.
#7 Mass Media - Last years winner should improve off his last effort and his recent pattern indicates a big performance is on the horizon.
#8 Pomeroy - Training lights out for his 2nd start of the year for his new trainer Marty Wolfson. He also likes it wet.
#10 Silver Wagon - 3 of his 4 victories have come @ Saratoga and he missed by a length and a quarter in last year's event. A contender at a juicy price.
The Play 5 units Exacta Box - 2 with 7 8 10 = 30 units
Race 9 - Woodward G1
#6 Flower Alley - Dull effort in the Whitney, but lets not forget that he had a similar effort in last years Jockey Club Gold Cup where he finished up the track as the favorite and bounced back in the Breeders' Cup Classic @ 10-1 to give (HOY) Saint Liam a fight to the finish line. I expect Pletcher to have him 100% cranked up for this.
#3 Suave - Impressive @ Arlington in the Washington Park in his last. I look for another solid perfomance here.
#11 Wanderin Boy - Will be gunning for the lead from the outside post and will have to hurry because the 1st turn comes up quite quick @ 1 1/8 @ the Spa. If he's able to settle a little bit, he could be a major factor coming down the stretch.
#5 Sun King - Huge performance in the Whitney where he just missed versus Invasor. I truly expect him to take a step back off that gutsy effort.
#1 Wild Desert - Draw a line through his turf try in the Sword Dancer and he's a contender.
The Play - 3 units Tri Key 6 over 1 3 5 11 = 36 units
Arlington Park - Race 7
#1 Joe W - Steve Hobby wins at 20% for the meet and sends the son of Touch Gold out on the lawn for the first time. I also like the stretchout going around two turns in his 3rd start off a layoff. He's not facing any monsters here and at 8-1 or so is definitely worth a stab.
The Play - 50 units to Win #1 = 50 units
Other horses to look at for future plays:
Calder - Race 10 - The Florida Stallion Affirmed 150K 7 Furlongs
#2 Straight Faced - Undefeated and has done it with style.
#1 Villainage - Has chased the top one in last couple.
#8 Green Vegas - Legitimate excuses in last two
Monmouth Park - Race 9 - Red Bank G3
#4 Miesque's Approval - Currently in great form and a serious contender for the Breeders' Cup Mile.
After the plays, the account is left at minus 3 units. Believe it or not, this is the first time since we started on Stephen Foster Day that the account is actually in the red.
Good Racing Luck
Saratoga - Race 8 - Forego G1
#2 Commentator - It's nice to see this talented runner back on the track. He's 4 for 4 @ the distance and 3 for 3 @ the Spa and on a wet track. He's been training great for his return.
#7 Mass Media - Last years winner should improve off his last effort and his recent pattern indicates a big performance is on the horizon.
#8 Pomeroy - Training lights out for his 2nd start of the year for his new trainer Marty Wolfson. He also likes it wet.
#10 Silver Wagon - 3 of his 4 victories have come @ Saratoga and he missed by a length and a quarter in last year's event. A contender at a juicy price.
The Play 5 units Exacta Box - 2 with 7 8 10 = 30 units
Race 9 - Woodward G1
#6 Flower Alley - Dull effort in the Whitney, but lets not forget that he had a similar effort in last years Jockey Club Gold Cup where he finished up the track as the favorite and bounced back in the Breeders' Cup Classic @ 10-1 to give (HOY) Saint Liam a fight to the finish line. I expect Pletcher to have him 100% cranked up for this.
#3 Suave - Impressive @ Arlington in the Washington Park in his last. I look for another solid perfomance here.
#11 Wanderin Boy - Will be gunning for the lead from the outside post and will have to hurry because the 1st turn comes up quite quick @ 1 1/8 @ the Spa. If he's able to settle a little bit, he could be a major factor coming down the stretch.
#5 Sun King - Huge performance in the Whitney where he just missed versus Invasor. I truly expect him to take a step back off that gutsy effort.
#1 Wild Desert - Draw a line through his turf try in the Sword Dancer and he's a contender.
The Play - 3 units Tri Key 6 over 1 3 5 11 = 36 units
Arlington Park - Race 7
#1 Joe W - Steve Hobby wins at 20% for the meet and sends the son of Touch Gold out on the lawn for the first time. I also like the stretchout going around two turns in his 3rd start off a layoff. He's not facing any monsters here and at 8-1 or so is definitely worth a stab.
The Play - 50 units to Win #1 = 50 units
Other horses to look at for future plays:
Calder - Race 10 - The Florida Stallion Affirmed 150K 7 Furlongs
#2 Straight Faced - Undefeated and has done it with style.
#1 Villainage - Has chased the top one in last couple.
#8 Green Vegas - Legitimate excuses in last two
Monmouth Park - Race 9 - Red Bank G3
#4 Miesque's Approval - Currently in great form and a serious contender for the Breeders' Cup Mile.
After the plays, the account is left at minus 3 units. Believe it or not, this is the first time since we started on Stephen Foster Day that the account is actually in the red.
Good Racing Luck