oracle80
08-30-2006, 10:38 AM
The requests for the Pm list have exceeded 40 so far. I don't have the time to PM 40 people so I will post it here today. It pains me to think that those who have nothing better to do here than attempt to find flaws in my posting or even worse, those who think they are entitled to tell me what I can do with my hard work may benefit from this, but too many people requested nicely that I send them my thoughts(over 40 so far) for me not to post it. I hope I don't let you down and it is an honor. Lets start with the changes:
http://www.nyra.com/chart/today.asp?track=S
Race 1- race is off the turf and on the main at the same distance.
Liberation Day debuted two back a bit green and ran a nice race. In his last start on perhaps the deadest rail day of the meet, he was hard used the first quarter to get to the rail from the 11 post to chase an awesome winner. That race is better than it woud appear.
Defrizz has taken monster barn money twice, last time shockingly bet down agaisnt winners. Shows great works in the morning and switches to Edgar.
Sense Of Speed steps back up into MSW after a maiden claimer and draws nicely outside and is well bred for a wet surface.
Use the 6,12 as keys, save with 13.
race 2- Media City was extremely green while racing wide on the biggest inside speed/rail bias day of the meet, opening day, while chasing City Snitch. We've seen his recnt workouts and I can tell you right now he will be going, going, going, gone. Taggs horse Straight Romabce stumbled badly at the break last time losing all chance and then rushed up to chase a wicked pace on a dead rail. Worked great since. Hes the only one with a chance to get Media.
Key the 4, save with the 2.
race 3- Crayda's last was awesome. HUGE outside closing bias prevailed that day and she came damn close to hnaging on despite setting a very fast and contested pace. Pleasantly Envious has been very fast in her two dirt races at Suffolk. Connections drop her in for a tag which is done annually by Suffolk guys to whom winning a race at the Spa, any race, is bigger than winning a stakes race there. Bring their own jock to make sure noone gives them a test ride.
Key the 4 and 6
race 4- Market Pyschology's gate work was good, but not as great as would seem in the form. Gate works on the Spa main track start in teh chute which means that a 1/2 mile gate work is all on a straightaway, the fact that he was hard ridden that morning should be mentioned. Has some talent, but will be overbet off the connections and published gate work. Trust Nobody exits a field that was very good and he was not wound tight. Hes tight today, and his sire loved wet tracks. Adds lasix off top figure. Your Honor's Up wore new front warps when setting a contested pace last time. His debut was great and troubled. Very eligible to improve, watch the paddock and post parade for front wraps or lack thereof and factor in accordingly. Biancone's horse Indian Camp took mucho action in his debut and was extremely green. Biancone is a startling 30% with first lasix runners.
Key the 6, also use the 5,9,10
race 5- Tall Story the likely fave was well beaten with no excuse last out. Barn is ice cold other than bernadini and my rule is to bet against cold barns(especially with chalk) until they show a change in course. John's Song's debut was great agaisnt the nice horse Bedford Falls. he broke awful that day and was a very good 2nd. Then swtiched to grass(debut was a rainoff) he middle moved and flattened and then last time had a brutal buried inside trip on a speed favoring grass course and then flew home. Back to dirt today.
Purely WIld debuted on dirt and broke bad and then steadied in what looked like a tightener(took no money). Grass race was very good that followed. We have him working awesome, especially his last work where he flew.
Key the 2,9. Save with the 6
race 6-Bernie WHite Shoes last race was good, but his recent works off layoff are nothing special. Tenthirteen and Stolen Time both exit much harder race against Silver Wagon and have fast back numbers.
Key the 8,15,16
race 7- Ferocious Fires was great last out and in his debut. many in here have absolutely no excuse in their perfect trip flops last out. That would cover both parts of the entry and Baby Rusch who were all awful last out as was Tough Shipmate. Fires will crush them even on the class raise.
Key the 4
race 8- Sharp Susan worked like a graded stakes horse before her debut wheere she was very green against an impressive winner. Last out was no excuse but shes third in the form cycle and 2nd lasix and 2nd blinks. I like her in this 7f off the grass race. Luxury Class, Meadow Breeze, and Changeisgonnacome all look like cheaper horses who may be overbet. the only other use is Pletcher's filly who debuted on grass and was awesome. She need only convert 75% of that ability to dirt to run well.
Key the 1,4
race 9- Eastern Crown and Multiple Choice are both sharp and off the grass while having good dirt ability in scratch depleted field.
Key the 1,2.
Good luck to all.
http://www.nyra.com/chart/today.asp?track=S
Race 1- race is off the turf and on the main at the same distance.
Liberation Day debuted two back a bit green and ran a nice race. In his last start on perhaps the deadest rail day of the meet, he was hard used the first quarter to get to the rail from the 11 post to chase an awesome winner. That race is better than it woud appear.
Defrizz has taken monster barn money twice, last time shockingly bet down agaisnt winners. Shows great works in the morning and switches to Edgar.
Sense Of Speed steps back up into MSW after a maiden claimer and draws nicely outside and is well bred for a wet surface.
Use the 6,12 as keys, save with 13.
race 2- Media City was extremely green while racing wide on the biggest inside speed/rail bias day of the meet, opening day, while chasing City Snitch. We've seen his recnt workouts and I can tell you right now he will be going, going, going, gone. Taggs horse Straight Romabce stumbled badly at the break last time losing all chance and then rushed up to chase a wicked pace on a dead rail. Worked great since. Hes the only one with a chance to get Media.
Key the 4, save with the 2.
race 3- Crayda's last was awesome. HUGE outside closing bias prevailed that day and she came damn close to hnaging on despite setting a very fast and contested pace. Pleasantly Envious has been very fast in her two dirt races at Suffolk. Connections drop her in for a tag which is done annually by Suffolk guys to whom winning a race at the Spa, any race, is bigger than winning a stakes race there. Bring their own jock to make sure noone gives them a test ride.
Key the 4 and 6
race 4- Market Pyschology's gate work was good, but not as great as would seem in the form. Gate works on the Spa main track start in teh chute which means that a 1/2 mile gate work is all on a straightaway, the fact that he was hard ridden that morning should be mentioned. Has some talent, but will be overbet off the connections and published gate work. Trust Nobody exits a field that was very good and he was not wound tight. Hes tight today, and his sire loved wet tracks. Adds lasix off top figure. Your Honor's Up wore new front warps when setting a contested pace last time. His debut was great and troubled. Very eligible to improve, watch the paddock and post parade for front wraps or lack thereof and factor in accordingly. Biancone's horse Indian Camp took mucho action in his debut and was extremely green. Biancone is a startling 30% with first lasix runners.
Key the 6, also use the 5,9,10
race 5- Tall Story the likely fave was well beaten with no excuse last out. Barn is ice cold other than bernadini and my rule is to bet against cold barns(especially with chalk) until they show a change in course. John's Song's debut was great agaisnt the nice horse Bedford Falls. he broke awful that day and was a very good 2nd. Then swtiched to grass(debut was a rainoff) he middle moved and flattened and then last time had a brutal buried inside trip on a speed favoring grass course and then flew home. Back to dirt today.
Purely WIld debuted on dirt and broke bad and then steadied in what looked like a tightener(took no money). Grass race was very good that followed. We have him working awesome, especially his last work where he flew.
Key the 2,9. Save with the 6
race 6-Bernie WHite Shoes last race was good, but his recent works off layoff are nothing special. Tenthirteen and Stolen Time both exit much harder race against Silver Wagon and have fast back numbers.
Key the 8,15,16
race 7- Ferocious Fires was great last out and in his debut. many in here have absolutely no excuse in their perfect trip flops last out. That would cover both parts of the entry and Baby Rusch who were all awful last out as was Tough Shipmate. Fires will crush them even on the class raise.
Key the 4
race 8- Sharp Susan worked like a graded stakes horse before her debut wheere she was very green against an impressive winner. Last out was no excuse but shes third in the form cycle and 2nd lasix and 2nd blinks. I like her in this 7f off the grass race. Luxury Class, Meadow Breeze, and Changeisgonnacome all look like cheaper horses who may be overbet. the only other use is Pletcher's filly who debuted on grass and was awesome. She need only convert 75% of that ability to dirt to run well.
Key the 1,4
race 9- Eastern Crown and Multiple Choice are both sharp and off the grass while having good dirt ability in scratch depleted field.
Key the 1,2.
Good luck to all.