Kasept
10-16-2010, 07:55 AM
Hollywood carryover sequence Friday played out almost identically to the Belmont skien 24 hours earlier as 4 logicals were accompanied by 2 tougher to include winners. The result returned a similar payout as well, as successful tix earned a quality cash of $12.8k. And to fill out the similarities, I went 4 of 6... 5th race winner Achak ($19.20) scuttled the P6 and P4 plays, but I started a late P3 out of frustration and caught an pleasant return of $130 via 2-1 Zasu, 3-2 Tiz Argent and 8-1 Miss Buxley. The carryover in the Super Hi-5 ended up being the most lucrative action of the day with 34-1 runner up Mrs. Card tripping the $51k score-o. Fun afternoon at the 'hood and I hope you did well!
Woodbine, Calder, Charles Town and Delaware all feature multi-stake cards of varying quality and depth Saturday, with Belmont (G3 Athenia), Keeneland (G1 QE II) and Oak Tree/HollyPark (G2 Derby) all offering nice fare to start the weekend..
KEENELAND
POST-SCRATCHES
7th (4:21p): ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 12f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Take out the 3 impossible players and you're left with some good ALW distaffers in an event made more interesting by the request of 12 panels..
Most Likely: #8 Pearly Blue 3-1 3rd-DH
Next Best: #3 Clarinet 5-1 WON ($13.00)
Best Value: #5 Tarrip 5-2 6th
Super Add: #4 My Sugar Bear 12-1 5th
8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD, Super)
No 50-1 auto-tosses in this head-spinning ALW for boys..
Most Likely: #5 Heart Butte 7-2 5th
Next Best: #10 Guys Reward 4-1 WON ($21.80)
Best Value: #4 Indianapolis 10-1 9th
Super Add: #11 Lentenor 3-1 7th
9th: 27th QE II Challenge Cup (G1), 3yo-F, 9f-T (DD, Super)
Top to bottom, a classy set for this important soph test. Evening Jewel, in the mix for the 3yo missy Eclipse, is the horse to beat, but this is a well-matched group offering a variety of running styles to guarantee an honest race..
Most Likely: #3 Evening Jewel 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Zagora 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Perfect Shirl 6-1 8th
Super Add: #6 Harmonious 4-1 WON ($7.00)
10th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (Super, Super Hi-5)
As if prior troika aren't challenging enough, here's a nightcap filled with some nicely bred 2yo including siblings of This One's for Phil & Tap Dancer (Caseros), Lady Joanne & Baghdaria (Shackleford) and Shake You Down (Fifth District)..
Most Likely: #1 Perjury 7-2: 3 straight agonizing beats.. 7th
Best Value: #7 Excessive Assault 30-1: Upside of previous start.. 5th
Next Best: #8 Caseros 3-1: $630k Candy Ride; 2 SW sibs.. 12th
Exotics Use: #10 Jojo's Mojo 6-1 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #6 Sporting Holiday 15-1 6th
<$75 P4 Play:
7: 1-3-4-5-7-8-10
8: 4-5-10
9: 1-3
10: 1-7-8
7x3x2x3 = 126 x .50 = $63
WOODBINE
POST-SCRATCHES
8th: 38th Nearctic (G1), 3+, 6f-T (P4, P3, Super)
Nothing particularly special about the 7yo imported 3-1 ML choice Balthazaar's Gift..
Most Likely: #3 Bridgetown 4-1 5th
Best Value: #8 Sneaking Uponyou 15-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Grand Adventure 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Signature Red 12-1 7th
9th: 55th E. P. Taylor (G1), F&M-3+, 10f-T (P3, Super)
Am quite willing to respect Miss Keller's liklihood for success given the remarkable run of Roger Attfield, whose horses have run consistently well since mid-summer. Note that this race goes at 5:03p and the QE II (KEE 9) at 5:23p. A strong effort from Cumani's Contredanse here reflects well on Zagora there 20 minutes later..
Most Likely: #6 Miss Keller 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Reggane 8-1 WON ($22.80)
Next Best: #1 Shalanaya 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #7 Contredanse 3-1 4th
$2 Exactor (5-6) Paid $115.90
$1 Triactor (5-6-1) Paid $263.25
$1 Superfecta (5-6-1-7) Paid $758.60
10th: 73rd Pattison Canadian International (G1), 3+, 12f-T (DD, Super)
Bit of an odd assembly for this $2,000,000 fall standard, and I'm interested in the 1-2 finishers from the Bowling Green in Al Khali and Simmard. Both have the look of improving sorts, and are prices from notoriously capable grass conditioners..
Most Likely: #5 Al Khali 6-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Simmard 15-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Marsh Side 4-1 8th
Super Add: #8 Redwood 2-1 3rd
11th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f (Super)
Clever way for Woodbine to finish a P4 that starts with 3 G1 races worth $3.5 million with this stupifyingly bad race. As such, it requires a toss of the ML choices who are parked as wide as possible..
Best Value: #6 Vaneasto 20-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Repentant Spirit 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #11 Putyourgamefaceon 30-1 10th
Super Add: #2 Tequila Max 6-1 9th
<$100 P4 Play:
8: 3-8
9: 1-5-6-7
10: 4-5-6-8
11: 6-8-11
2x4x4x3 = $96
Good luck!
Steve
Woodbine, Calder, Charles Town and Delaware all feature multi-stake cards of varying quality and depth Saturday, with Belmont (G3 Athenia), Keeneland (G1 QE II) and Oak Tree/HollyPark (G2 Derby) all offering nice fare to start the weekend..
KEENELAND
POST-SCRATCHES
7th (4:21p): ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 12f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Take out the 3 impossible players and you're left with some good ALW distaffers in an event made more interesting by the request of 12 panels..
Most Likely: #8 Pearly Blue 3-1 3rd-DH
Next Best: #3 Clarinet 5-1 WON ($13.00)
Best Value: #5 Tarrip 5-2 6th
Super Add: #4 My Sugar Bear 12-1 5th
8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD, Super)
No 50-1 auto-tosses in this head-spinning ALW for boys..
Most Likely: #5 Heart Butte 7-2 5th
Next Best: #10 Guys Reward 4-1 WON ($21.80)
Best Value: #4 Indianapolis 10-1 9th
Super Add: #11 Lentenor 3-1 7th
9th: 27th QE II Challenge Cup (G1), 3yo-F, 9f-T (DD, Super)
Top to bottom, a classy set for this important soph test. Evening Jewel, in the mix for the 3yo missy Eclipse, is the horse to beat, but this is a well-matched group offering a variety of running styles to guarantee an honest race..
Most Likely: #3 Evening Jewel 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Zagora 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Perfect Shirl 6-1 8th
Super Add: #6 Harmonious 4-1 WON ($7.00)
10th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (Super, Super Hi-5)
As if prior troika aren't challenging enough, here's a nightcap filled with some nicely bred 2yo including siblings of This One's for Phil & Tap Dancer (Caseros), Lady Joanne & Baghdaria (Shackleford) and Shake You Down (Fifth District)..
Most Likely: #1 Perjury 7-2: 3 straight agonizing beats.. 7th
Best Value: #7 Excessive Assault 30-1: Upside of previous start.. 5th
Next Best: #8 Caseros 3-1: $630k Candy Ride; 2 SW sibs.. 12th
Exotics Use: #10 Jojo's Mojo 6-1 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #6 Sporting Holiday 15-1 6th
<$75 P4 Play:
7: 1-3-4-5-7-8-10
8: 4-5-10
9: 1-3
10: 1-7-8
7x3x2x3 = 126 x .50 = $63
WOODBINE
POST-SCRATCHES
8th: 38th Nearctic (G1), 3+, 6f-T (P4, P3, Super)
Nothing particularly special about the 7yo imported 3-1 ML choice Balthazaar's Gift..
Most Likely: #3 Bridgetown 4-1 5th
Best Value: #8 Sneaking Uponyou 15-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Grand Adventure 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Signature Red 12-1 7th
9th: 55th E. P. Taylor (G1), F&M-3+, 10f-T (P3, Super)
Am quite willing to respect Miss Keller's liklihood for success given the remarkable run of Roger Attfield, whose horses have run consistently well since mid-summer. Note that this race goes at 5:03p and the QE II (KEE 9) at 5:23p. A strong effort from Cumani's Contredanse here reflects well on Zagora there 20 minutes later..
Most Likely: #6 Miss Keller 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Reggane 8-1 WON ($22.80)
Next Best: #1 Shalanaya 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #7 Contredanse 3-1 4th
$2 Exactor (5-6) Paid $115.90
$1 Triactor (5-6-1) Paid $263.25
$1 Superfecta (5-6-1-7) Paid $758.60
10th: 73rd Pattison Canadian International (G1), 3+, 12f-T (DD, Super)
Bit of an odd assembly for this $2,000,000 fall standard, and I'm interested in the 1-2 finishers from the Bowling Green in Al Khali and Simmard. Both have the look of improving sorts, and are prices from notoriously capable grass conditioners..
Most Likely: #5 Al Khali 6-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Simmard 15-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Marsh Side 4-1 8th
Super Add: #8 Redwood 2-1 3rd
11th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f (Super)
Clever way for Woodbine to finish a P4 that starts with 3 G1 races worth $3.5 million with this stupifyingly bad race. As such, it requires a toss of the ML choices who are parked as wide as possible..
Best Value: #6 Vaneasto 20-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Repentant Spirit 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #11 Putyourgamefaceon 30-1 10th
Super Add: #2 Tequila Max 6-1 9th
<$100 P4 Play:
8: 3-8
9: 1-5-6-7
10: 4-5-6-8
11: 6-8-11
2x4x4x3 = $96
Good luck!
Steve