PDA

View Full Version : 9/29: Belmont Park (1st-9th)


Kasept
09-29-2010, 05:52 AM
BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m OFF THE TURF (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Hough entry WON ($5.80)/3rd
Best Value: #11 Arsenal 2nd
Next Best: #14 Kaffiend 4th
Exotics Use: #13 Merlot Dreams 6th


2nd: CLM/N1Y, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Leap Day 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Keechi Bullet 9-2 WON ($7.50)
Next Best: #3 Tall Poppi 6-1 5th


3rd: OC/C, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Against #5 Wishful Tomcat (5-2) a bit in this quirky race..

Most Likely: #1e Darley (KMc/Albertrani) entry 2-1 5th/6th
Next Best: #4 Gabriel's Hill 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 More Than a Reason 15-1 3rd


4th: MSW, 2yo, 7f OFF THE TURF (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2e Darley entry 8-1 6th/8th
Next Best: #5 Punster 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 SCR
Super Add: #9 Pretty Mr . D 10-1 3rd


5th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

You need to work to beat ordinary #4 Strategic Move (7-5) at the major underlay number off inflated Spa fig win..

Most Likely: #2 That's Rich 3-1 WON ($5.30)
Best Value: #7 Heavenly Blaze 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Ziptronic 8-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Strategic Move 7-5 7th

.10 SUPER PLAY: 2 with 4-7-8 with 1-3-4-5-6-7 with ALL (1x3x5x5 = 75 x .10 = $7.50)


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 2-3-4
3: 1-3-4
4: 2-3/SCR-5-9
5: 2-7

3x3x4x2 = $72


6th: CLM, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Blank Check 7-2 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #5 Saint Daimon 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 SCR
Super Add: #6 Timeless Classic 10-1 4th


7th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f OFF THE TURF (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Healthy Debate 5-2 5th
Next Best: #12 Bhangaloo Ruby 7-2 WON ($12.80)
Best Value: #1 Two Moons 10-1 6th
Super Add: #5 Citifiesta 20-1 9th


8th: The Anniron-NY, F&M-3+, 7f (DD, Super)

Terrific little NYB overnight event; No lack of speed signed on..

Most Likely: #10 Sapphire Sky 7-2 4th
Best Value: #1 R Betty Graybull 10-1 WON ($22.00)
Next Best: #4 My Dinah 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Meese Rocks 3-1 2nd

$1 Pick 3 (2-12-1) Paid $340.50


9th: S/ALW, 3+, 7f OFF THE TURF (Super)

Most Likely: #11 Fastus Cactus 7-2 WON ($5.30)
Best Value: #15 Sensationalist 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #14 In Just We Trust 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #13 Hillswick 7-2

$1 P3 (12-1-11) Paid $177.50


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1/SCR-2-5-6
7: 4-12
8: 1-10
9: 11-13-14-15

4x2x2x4 = $64

$1 P4 (2-12-1-11) Paid $464.50


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept
09-29-2010, 10:27 AM
BEL SCR/CHG'S (http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/BEL-changes.asp)

hockey2315
09-29-2010, 10:34 AM
I loved Pretty Mr. D when this race was on turf, but I doubt he's a dirt/mud horse. Still have to bet him I guess, but have to scale way down. Never know what to do in this situation.

Kasept
09-29-2010, 04:24 PM
Carryover = $23,000

jms62
09-29-2010, 04:45 PM
Carryover = $23,000

Nice Late P4...

MaTH716
09-29-2010, 04:54 PM
nice job on the late quad Steve.

Kasept
09-29-2010, 06:13 PM
Thanks fellas! Was a good afternoon! Hope some came along..

jefff777
09-29-2010, 07:04 PM
damn great picks steve, i was gonna bet the tri in your eighth but i was at work and couldn't!! damn job, lol.:tro: