Kasept
09-19-2010, 07:42 AM
Lots of utterly winners at Belmont failed to generate much revenue, but 10-1 Rockin Heat in the Summer at Woodbine juiced up the $100.00+ tri as hoped. Good enough afternoon of action, and I hope you did well. Sunday is more engaging with the notable turf stakes slate at Woodbine and some premier maidens going at Belmont. Dee Tee Stables' Redboard King has drawn in at Philadelphia ("Parx Racing"), has a chance for success from the outside (#11), and should be a square price (6-1 ML)..
BELMONT PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
1st: Keep the Peace, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #4 Pinckney Hill 2-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Wesley 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Frisky Thunder 12-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Whatsthescript 5-2 WON ($8.60)
2nd: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #8 Beau de Beaupre 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Our Brave Warrior 6-1 WON ($20.00)
Next Best: #4 Memory Motel 3-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Disco Capote 5-1 7th
3rd: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #5 Salty Little Sis 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Vicarious 8-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Maid to Win 3-1 8th
4th: NY-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #1 Feldberg 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 It's a Sham 15-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Turn That Paige 7-2 8th
Super Add: #10 Sister Berta 8-1 4th
5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)
Fascinating group that looks to produce some nice turf fillies long term..
Best Value: #10 War Clan 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Dynamic Holiday 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Triune 4-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Allure d'Amour 5-1 3rd
<$75 P4 Play:
2: 2-4-6-8
3: 2-5-7
4: 1-4-8
5: 8-10
4x3x3x2 = $72
6th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #7 Atlantic Beauty 7-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #10 Charmed 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Tulane Up 8-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Marie's Babe 30-1 3rd
7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Rather salty group with several imposing gals that have started (Caddazle; Evangelical) versus some interesting pedigreed players including firster Amusing, a $550k (F-T, SAR '09) Distorted Humor sister of the beloved Lost in the Fog (Lost Soldier); Note Proctor also returns Bayou Tortuga, an Empire Maker miss that is half to the 2 superb "Tortugas", Straits and Flats..
Most Likely: #4 Caddazle 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Evangelical 5-1 WON ($14.00)
Best Value: #10 Bayou Tortuga 12-1 7th
Super Add: #3 Cedar Grove 5-1 5th
8th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #7 Fiona Storm 12-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Toy Indian 9-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Delta Holiday 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 La Belle Gabrielle 3-1 WON ($9.50)
9th: 23rd Noble Damsel (G3), F&M-3+, 1m-T (DD, Super)
Best Value: #2 C. S. Silk 6-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Strike the Bell 4-1 WON ($10.80)
Exotics Use: #6 Scolera 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Quiet Meadow 3-1 3rd
10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f-IT (Super)
Most Likely: #7 Scorper 3-1 WON ($8.40)
Best Value: #8 Philotimo 8-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Allrightsreserved 4-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Recharged 7-2 3rd
<$75 P4 Play:
7: 4-5
8: 3-6-7
9: 1-2-4-6
10: 4-7-8
2x3x4x3 = $72
WOODBINE
PRE-SCRATCHES
4th: 56th Canadian (G2), F&M-3+, 8f-T
Best Value: #6 Latin Love 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Miss Keller 3-2 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use #2 Points of Grace 9-5 4th
8th: 5th Northern Dancer (G1), 3+, 12f-T
Best Value: #8 Spice Route 9-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Marsh Side 5-2 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Expansion 3-1 9th
Super Add: #5 Redwood 7-2 WON ($5.80)
9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f
Most Likely: #2 Thunder Ball 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Shellback 12-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Lady's First Cat 3-1 WON ($8.50)
Super Add: #6 Smart Sky 20-1 4th
10th: 14th Woodbine Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T
Simply an amazingly deep, contentious event. Don't settle for anything less than full value because ANY combination of 4 can fill out the top slots. And when I say any, I mean ANY..
Best Value: #7 Signature Red 20-1 12th
Next Best: #12 Famous Name 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Crowded House 12-1 4th
Super Add: #13 Grand Adventure 8-1 8th
<$50 P3 Play:
8: 1-3-8
9: 2-4-5-6
10: 1-7-12-13
3x4x4 = $48
Good luck!
Steve
BELMONT PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
1st: Keep the Peace, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #4 Pinckney Hill 2-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Wesley 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Frisky Thunder 12-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Whatsthescript 5-2 WON ($8.60)
2nd: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #8 Beau de Beaupre 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Our Brave Warrior 6-1 WON ($20.00)
Next Best: #4 Memory Motel 3-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Disco Capote 5-1 7th
3rd: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #5 Salty Little Sis 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Vicarious 8-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Maid to Win 3-1 8th
4th: NY-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #1 Feldberg 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 It's a Sham 15-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Turn That Paige 7-2 8th
Super Add: #10 Sister Berta 8-1 4th
5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)
Fascinating group that looks to produce some nice turf fillies long term..
Best Value: #10 War Clan 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Dynamic Holiday 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Triune 4-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Allure d'Amour 5-1 3rd
<$75 P4 Play:
2: 2-4-6-8
3: 2-5-7
4: 1-4-8
5: 8-10
4x3x3x2 = $72
6th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #7 Atlantic Beauty 7-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #10 Charmed 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Tulane Up 8-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Marie's Babe 30-1 3rd
7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Rather salty group with several imposing gals that have started (Caddazle; Evangelical) versus some interesting pedigreed players including firster Amusing, a $550k (F-T, SAR '09) Distorted Humor sister of the beloved Lost in the Fog (Lost Soldier); Note Proctor also returns Bayou Tortuga, an Empire Maker miss that is half to the 2 superb "Tortugas", Straits and Flats..
Most Likely: #4 Caddazle 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Evangelical 5-1 WON ($14.00)
Best Value: #10 Bayou Tortuga 12-1 7th
Super Add: #3 Cedar Grove 5-1 5th
8th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #7 Fiona Storm 12-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Toy Indian 9-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Delta Holiday 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 La Belle Gabrielle 3-1 WON ($9.50)
9th: 23rd Noble Damsel (G3), F&M-3+, 1m-T (DD, Super)
Best Value: #2 C. S. Silk 6-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Strike the Bell 4-1 WON ($10.80)
Exotics Use: #6 Scolera 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Quiet Meadow 3-1 3rd
10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f-IT (Super)
Most Likely: #7 Scorper 3-1 WON ($8.40)
Best Value: #8 Philotimo 8-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Allrightsreserved 4-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Recharged 7-2 3rd
<$75 P4 Play:
7: 4-5
8: 3-6-7
9: 1-2-4-6
10: 4-7-8
2x3x4x3 = $72
WOODBINE
PRE-SCRATCHES
4th: 56th Canadian (G2), F&M-3+, 8f-T
Best Value: #6 Latin Love 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Miss Keller 3-2 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use #2 Points of Grace 9-5 4th
8th: 5th Northern Dancer (G1), 3+, 12f-T
Best Value: #8 Spice Route 9-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Marsh Side 5-2 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Expansion 3-1 9th
Super Add: #5 Redwood 7-2 WON ($5.80)
9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f
Most Likely: #2 Thunder Ball 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Shellback 12-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Lady's First Cat 3-1 WON ($8.50)
Super Add: #6 Smart Sky 20-1 4th
10th: 14th Woodbine Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T
Simply an amazingly deep, contentious event. Don't settle for anything less than full value because ANY combination of 4 can fill out the top slots. And when I say any, I mean ANY..
Best Value: #7 Signature Red 20-1 12th
Next Best: #12 Famous Name 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Crowded House 12-1 4th
Super Add: #13 Grand Adventure 8-1 8th
<$50 P3 Play:
8: 1-3-8
9: 2-4-5-6
10: 1-7-12-13
3x4x4 = $48
Good luck!
Steve