9/15: Belmont Park (1st-9th)

[Kasept]

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Opera Heroine 9-5 5th
Next Best: #2 Fourth Chapter 7-2 WON ($18.80)
Exotics Use: #7 Mustang Fever 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Talented Princess 8-1 7th


2nd: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Hey Valentina 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Flying Train 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #5 Mine Search 6-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Cabernet Lady 5-1 7th


3rd: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Winning Touch 9-5 4th
Next Best: #1 Bonavento 3-1 WON ($16.20)
Best Value: #2 Footcandles 4-1 5th


4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Lady Whimsical 6-1 WON ($16.20)
Next Best: #7 Step Lively 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Maux Money 5-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Grace'n Style 9-2 3rd


5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Positive Prospect 5-2 WON ($2.60)
Best Value: #6 Taza 8-1 8th
Next Best: #8 SCR
Super Add: #11 Red Hot Baby 15-1 6th


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 6
3: 1-2-3-4-6
4: 5-7
5: 5-6-7-8/SCR-11

1x5x2x5 = $50


6th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Pico Dinero 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #1 Central Red Raider 5-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Sweat Shop 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Speciale Giorno 20-1 8th


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Nacho Carona 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Fore Pals 5-1 DNF-Lost rider
Next Best: #7 Macho Joe 3-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Idol Image 8-1 7th


8th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Star Orchid 3-1 WON ($11.20)
Next Best: #2 Stanford Dolly 2-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Vaughndidit 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Pleasant Sister 8-1 7th


9th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #2 Cat Be Nimble 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Seaside Run 7-2
Exotics Use: #6 To the Point 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 No Imagination 6-1


@$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-8
7: 1-3-4-5-7-8
8: 1-2-6
9: 2

3x6x3x1 = $54


Good luck!
Steve

[GPK]

Having a hard time getting a read on Seeing Clearly in the first. Nice effort last out against open 15 at the Shore on the dirt, but her last two turf tries have been pitiful, at best. She has produced some efforts in the past to clearly win this race. Could be worth a win bet at a nice price and maybe key underneath in some exactas.

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

Having a hard time getting a read on Seeing Clearly in the first. Nice effort last out against open 15 at the Shore on the dirt, but her last two turf tries have been pitiful, at best. She has produced some efforts in the past to clearly win this race. Could be worth a win bet at a nice price and maybe key underneath in some exactas.

not like there isnt alternate plays the 3 blue hill may like a good post and dry hard track chop chop on or close to the lead

[GPK]

everytime luzzi gets on this one hes in the money..


Except the last two efforts...

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

Except the last two efforts...

thanks i corrected that..

[Kasept]

BEL SCR/CHG'S (http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/BEL-changes.asp)

[GPK]

not like there isnt alternate plays the 3 blue hill may like a good post and dry hard track chop chop on or close to the lead


Yea, Opera Heroine looks tough, but thats the only horse in there I would accept at a short price. Fourth Chapter looks to take some money and she is just too win shy for me to use on top.

[Kasept]

How Fourth Chapter goes off at 8-1 will be marked down as one of life's delicious mysteries! That was a situation where you wonder if you're crazy for liking a horse at a surprising price, and no else is betting it... $18.80!

Would have been nice to if Mustang Fever could have gotten up behind...

[blackthroatedwind]

How Fourth Chapter goes off at 8-1 will be marked down as one of life's delicious mysteries! That was a situation where you wonder if you're crazy for liking a horse at a surprising price, and no else is betting it... $18.80!

Would have been nice to if Mustang Fever could have gotten up behind...

These are the kind of situations that disprove the notion that I greatly affect prices. How many times did I need to point out what an overlay she was?

[docicu3]

not like there isnt alternate plays the 3 blue hill may like a good post and dry hard track chop chop on or close to the lead


Nice call here ...

Wish I had seen this earlier as usual you find things I didn't even know were missing. Hope the rest of the day goes well.

[Kasept]

These are the kind of situations that disprove the notion that I greatly affect prices. How many times did I need to point out what an overlay she was?

Don't know what else you could have said.. or Tweeted. I guess like Kevin suggested, she's just a horse people don't expect will win.

[blackthroatedwind]

Don't know what else you could have said.. or Tweeted. I guess like Kevin suggested, she's just a horse people don't expect will win.

True, she is a horse that never seems to get bet.

[NoLuvForPletch]

BTW,

Please PM me from now on! (Just kidding) Nice Job guys!

[Kasept]

And again with the overlay (7-1). This was never in doubt... Bonavento manhandled 'em.

[Mike]

4th: exacta box Alpha Centauri/Step Lively

6th: Worried Man

7th: tri box: Warrant Offc. Cook/Idol Image/Macho Joe

[Mike]

Delaware 5th: Roundabout

[GPK]

Nice call on Fourth Chapter. 8-1 was a great price. I figured her to take money in that field, but, like Andy said, she never seems to take money. Congrats to those of you that scored on her. Nice to see Rajiv rounding back into riding form after a tough Saratoga meet. Lezcano continues to struggle:confused: