Kasept
09-04-2010, 05:10 AM
Saratoga and Del Mar enter the final stretch of their seasons with plenty to occupy players minds and bankrolls. Another night of tricky results at San Diego has produced an outrageous $1.6 Million Carryover Pool for today, while the last Spa Saturday offers the G1 Woodward and Forego as part of a very attractive wagering slate.
Day was rendered solid after I caught a couple of nice triples keying 2nd choice values late in the Saratoga set Friday. 9-1 Soldat tripped the $190 With Anticipation triple ahead of old pal Slambino nabbing the place slot at 17-1 resulting in a generous $360 tri. Hope you did well and are ready to go out striong over the next 72 hours as summer's sessions expire!
NOTE: I have lost the services of my MacBook as of yesterday morning, and will be very hard-pressed to get changes up over the weekend... Will try to update with posts from my BlackBerry or get to the Communications Office on track...
SARATOGA RACE COURSE
PRE-SCRATCHES
1st: Lena Spencer, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)
Yikes.. If Rose Catherine doesn't win, almost anyone else can..
Most Likely: #2 Rose Catherine 2-1 WON ($3.30)
Best Value: #10 Lookalike 20-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Karakorum Elektra 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 War Kill 15-1 6th
.10 SUPER PLAY: Key 2 first and second with 1-3-6-9-10 (1x5x4x3 = 60 x 2 = 120 x .10 = $12.00)
2nd: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #2 Super Angelo 10-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Crea's Law 5-2 WON ($4.90)
Exotics Use: #10 D' Sauvage 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Exley 4-1 4th
.10 SUPER PLAY: Key 2 in all positions with 3-5-8-10 (1x4x3x2 = 24 x 4 = 960 x .10 = $9.60)
3rd: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #8 Safe Trip 7-2 4th
Best Value: #7 Flying Pegasus 8-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Mr. Fantasy 5-2 WON ($5.50)
Super Add: #2 Speight of Hand 6-1 6th
$1 Pick 3 (2-8-1) 3 Correct Paid $9.10
4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #4 Golly Day 4-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Avenging 12-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Lion Under Oath 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Epicurus 5-1 8th
.10 SUPER PLAY: Key 4 with 1-2-8-9 with 1-2-8-9 with All (1x4x3x9 = 108 x .10 = $10.80)
5th: MSW, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #9 Ender's Universe 5-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Promovedor Glory 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Souper Spectacular 7-2 WON ($16.00)
Super Add: #4 Jaguar Paw 6-1 7th
<$75 P4 Play:
2: 2-3-5-8-10
3: 8
4: 2-4-8
5: 3-4-6-9-11
5x1x3x5 = $75
6th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #4 Astrology 4-1 WON ($7.10)
Best Value: #12 Praetero 10-1 9th
Next Best: #11 Anthony's Cross 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Data Link 8-1 4th
7th: Addison Mallery, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #3 Fantasia 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 C. S. Silk 6-1 WON ($10.60)
Exotics Use: #8 SCR
Super Add: #2 My Princess Jess 5-2 4th
$1 Exacta (4-3) Paid $19.00
$1 Pick 3 (6-4-4) 3 Correct Paid $176.50
8th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #11 Pegasus Tommy D. 7-2 10th
Next Best: #5 Duke of Naples 8-1 9th
Best Value: #2 Midnight Billy 15-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 J L Bernstein 8-1 4th
9th: 31st Forego (G1), 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)
Anticipate SCR's of #5 Charitable Man and #9 Checklist, and loss of Checklist boosts chances of the Godolphin entry a great deal..
Most Likely: #1e Godolphin entry 2-1 3rd/5th
Next Best: #2 Bribon 4-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Here Comes Ben 10-1 WON ($21.80)
Super Add: #3 Big Drama 4-1 2nd
.10 SUPER PLAY: 1-2 with 1-2-3-4 with 1-2-3-4 with All (2x3x2x5 = 60 x .10 = $6.00)
$1 Exacta (4-3) Paid $57.25
$1 Trifecta (4-3-1) Paid $191.00
10th: 57th Woodward (G1), 3+, 9f (DD, Super)
Most Likely: #3 Quality Road 1-4 WON ($2.60)
Best Value: #4 Arcodoro 30-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Mythical Power 12-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Tranquil Manner 15-1 3rd
$1 Exacta (3-7) Paid $7.00
$1 Trifecta (3-7-6) Paid $47.00
11th: NY-MSW, 3+, 1m-IT (Super)
Best Value: #4 Roaring Conquest 6-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Runway Jim 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Whateverittakes 5-1 5th
Super Add: #10 City Train 5-2 WON ($5.90)
$1 Pick 3 (4-3-10) 3 Correct Paid $63.75
<$100 P4 Play:
8: 2-5-6-8-11
9: 1-2-3-4
10: 3
11: 3-4-8-9-10
5x4x1x5 = $100
DEL MAR
PRE-SCRATCHES
5th: CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)
$1,600,000 P6 Carryover Starts Here..
Most Likely: #7 Movie Duty 3-1 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #3 Seedless 6-1 9th
Next Best: #10 Can't Topper 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #6 Nothing to Fear 8-1 2nd
$1 Exacta (7-6) Paid $49.80
$1 Trifecta (7-6-10) Paid $164.80
6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #9 May Day Rose 9-5 WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #4 Hey Maria 5-1 8th
Best Value: #1 Candid Ride 15-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 River's Mambo 8-1 3rd
$1 Exacta (9-1) Paid $24.10
$1 Trifecta (9-1-5) Paid $173.60
7th: CLM, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #2 Salty Fries 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 U Turn Me Crazy 15-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Pulpit Magic 4-1 8th
Super Add: #7 Victory Dash 15-1 9th
8th: 60th Del Mar Debutante (G1), 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD, Super)
SCR #5 & #11..
Terrific group..
Best Value: #10 A Z Warrior 5-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Tell a Kelly 5-1 WON ($11.20)
Exotics Use: #7 Avid 7-2 8th
Super Add: #12 Izshelegal 5-1 4th
9th: OC/N1X, 3+, 6f (DD, Super)
Most Likely: #1 Gallatin's Run 3-1 7th
Best Value: #3 Dapper Gene 15-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Next Door Neighbor 7-2 6th
Super Add: #8 Usurp 5-1 2nd
10th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 7f (Super, Super High 5)
SCR #5 & #12, #13 & #14..
Best Value: #1 Princess Beau K 5-1 6th
Next Best: #2 SCR
Exotics Use: #4 Magic Lantern 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Snovember 5-2 2nd
High 5 Play: #7 Harmony's Hope 8-1 WON ($22.40)
<$200 P6 Play:
5: 3-6-7-10
6: 9
7: 2-3-9
8: 10
9: 1-3
10: 1-2/SCR-4-8
4x1x3x1x2x3 = 72 x $2 = $144
<$75 P4 Play:
7: 2-3-9
8: 2-3-7-10-12
9: 1-3
10: 1-2/SCR-4-7-8
3x5x2x4 = 120 x .50 = $60
Good luck!
Steve
Day was rendered solid after I caught a couple of nice triples keying 2nd choice values late in the Saratoga set Friday. 9-1 Soldat tripped the $190 With Anticipation triple ahead of old pal Slambino nabbing the place slot at 17-1 resulting in a generous $360 tri. Hope you did well and are ready to go out striong over the next 72 hours as summer's sessions expire!
NOTE: I have lost the services of my MacBook as of yesterday morning, and will be very hard-pressed to get changes up over the weekend... Will try to update with posts from my BlackBerry or get to the Communications Office on track...
SARATOGA RACE COURSE
PRE-SCRATCHES
1st: Lena Spencer, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)
Yikes.. If Rose Catherine doesn't win, almost anyone else can..
Most Likely: #2 Rose Catherine 2-1 WON ($3.30)
Best Value: #10 Lookalike 20-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Karakorum Elektra 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 War Kill 15-1 6th
.10 SUPER PLAY: Key 2 first and second with 1-3-6-9-10 (1x5x4x3 = 60 x 2 = 120 x .10 = $12.00)
2nd: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #2 Super Angelo 10-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Crea's Law 5-2 WON ($4.90)
Exotics Use: #10 D' Sauvage 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Exley 4-1 4th
.10 SUPER PLAY: Key 2 in all positions with 3-5-8-10 (1x4x3x2 = 24 x 4 = 960 x .10 = $9.60)
3rd: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #8 Safe Trip 7-2 4th
Best Value: #7 Flying Pegasus 8-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Mr. Fantasy 5-2 WON ($5.50)
Super Add: #2 Speight of Hand 6-1 6th
$1 Pick 3 (2-8-1) 3 Correct Paid $9.10
4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #4 Golly Day 4-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Avenging 12-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Lion Under Oath 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Epicurus 5-1 8th
.10 SUPER PLAY: Key 4 with 1-2-8-9 with 1-2-8-9 with All (1x4x3x9 = 108 x .10 = $10.80)
5th: MSW, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #9 Ender's Universe 5-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Promovedor Glory 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Souper Spectacular 7-2 WON ($16.00)
Super Add: #4 Jaguar Paw 6-1 7th
<$75 P4 Play:
2: 2-3-5-8-10
3: 8
4: 2-4-8
5: 3-4-6-9-11
5x1x3x5 = $75
6th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #4 Astrology 4-1 WON ($7.10)
Best Value: #12 Praetero 10-1 9th
Next Best: #11 Anthony's Cross 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Data Link 8-1 4th
7th: Addison Mallery, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #3 Fantasia 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 C. S. Silk 6-1 WON ($10.60)
Exotics Use: #8 SCR
Super Add: #2 My Princess Jess 5-2 4th
$1 Exacta (4-3) Paid $19.00
$1 Pick 3 (6-4-4) 3 Correct Paid $176.50
8th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #11 Pegasus Tommy D. 7-2 10th
Next Best: #5 Duke of Naples 8-1 9th
Best Value: #2 Midnight Billy 15-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 J L Bernstein 8-1 4th
9th: 31st Forego (G1), 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)
Anticipate SCR's of #5 Charitable Man and #9 Checklist, and loss of Checklist boosts chances of the Godolphin entry a great deal..
Most Likely: #1e Godolphin entry 2-1 3rd/5th
Next Best: #2 Bribon 4-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Here Comes Ben 10-1 WON ($21.80)
Super Add: #3 Big Drama 4-1 2nd
.10 SUPER PLAY: 1-2 with 1-2-3-4 with 1-2-3-4 with All (2x3x2x5 = 60 x .10 = $6.00)
$1 Exacta (4-3) Paid $57.25
$1 Trifecta (4-3-1) Paid $191.00
10th: 57th Woodward (G1), 3+, 9f (DD, Super)
Most Likely: #3 Quality Road 1-4 WON ($2.60)
Best Value: #4 Arcodoro 30-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Mythical Power 12-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Tranquil Manner 15-1 3rd
$1 Exacta (3-7) Paid $7.00
$1 Trifecta (3-7-6) Paid $47.00
11th: NY-MSW, 3+, 1m-IT (Super)
Best Value: #4 Roaring Conquest 6-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Runway Jim 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Whateverittakes 5-1 5th
Super Add: #10 City Train 5-2 WON ($5.90)
$1 Pick 3 (4-3-10) 3 Correct Paid $63.75
<$100 P4 Play:
8: 2-5-6-8-11
9: 1-2-3-4
10: 3
11: 3-4-8-9-10
5x4x1x5 = $100
DEL MAR
PRE-SCRATCHES
5th: CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)
$1,600,000 P6 Carryover Starts Here..
Most Likely: #7 Movie Duty 3-1 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #3 Seedless 6-1 9th
Next Best: #10 Can't Topper 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #6 Nothing to Fear 8-1 2nd
$1 Exacta (7-6) Paid $49.80
$1 Trifecta (7-6-10) Paid $164.80
6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #9 May Day Rose 9-5 WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #4 Hey Maria 5-1 8th
Best Value: #1 Candid Ride 15-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 River's Mambo 8-1 3rd
$1 Exacta (9-1) Paid $24.10
$1 Trifecta (9-1-5) Paid $173.60
7th: CLM, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #2 Salty Fries 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 U Turn Me Crazy 15-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Pulpit Magic 4-1 8th
Super Add: #7 Victory Dash 15-1 9th
8th: 60th Del Mar Debutante (G1), 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD, Super)
SCR #5 & #11..
Terrific group..
Best Value: #10 A Z Warrior 5-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Tell a Kelly 5-1 WON ($11.20)
Exotics Use: #7 Avid 7-2 8th
Super Add: #12 Izshelegal 5-1 4th
9th: OC/N1X, 3+, 6f (DD, Super)
Most Likely: #1 Gallatin's Run 3-1 7th
Best Value: #3 Dapper Gene 15-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Next Door Neighbor 7-2 6th
Super Add: #8 Usurp 5-1 2nd
10th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 7f (Super, Super High 5)
SCR #5 & #12, #13 & #14..
Best Value: #1 Princess Beau K 5-1 6th
Next Best: #2 SCR
Exotics Use: #4 Magic Lantern 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Snovember 5-2 2nd
High 5 Play: #7 Harmony's Hope 8-1 WON ($22.40)
<$200 P6 Play:
5: 3-6-7-10
6: 9
7: 2-3-9
8: 10
9: 1-3
10: 1-2/SCR-4-8
4x1x3x1x2x3 = 72 x $2 = $144
<$75 P4 Play:
7: 2-3-9
8: 2-3-7-10-12
9: 1-3
10: 1-2/SCR-4-7-8
3x5x2x4 = 120 x .50 = $60
Good luck!
Steve