Kasept
08-20-2010, 05:52 AM
Another afternoon where the range was tough for me to find before some modest hits through the middle stages of the card. Was stymied for the most part on multi-race wagers, and only brought home any real plus revenue in the 6th with an exotics sweep keyed by Star of New York. Hope you did OK despite my scuffling around... It's Pre-Alabama Friday at the Spa, and a quirky, maiden-laden docket awaits with a pair of exceedingly challenging P4's. $117k carryover is available on the Del Mar sextet which kicks off at 7:30pm ET tonight!
SARATOGA RACE COURSE
POST-SCRATCHES
1st: CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)
I'll make her a 'Best Value' second choice, but 6-1 is a silly ML on Rice's #8 Sextant who will take plenty of money working nicely for return from year on the shelf..
Most Likely: #3 Exiled Princess 7-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Sextant 6-1 WON ($6.30)
Exotics Use: #4 Sweet Madness 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Peaches 10-1 6th
2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Another 2yo event with absolutely nothing substancial on which to formulate an opinion. One nugget may be Proctor's firster #4 Bayou Tortuga, who hails from highly successful string of fast, win early runners out of the productive Dixieland Band mare Tortuga Road..
Best Value: #4 Bayou Tortuga 5-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Cadazzle 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Tap for Luck 5-1 WON ($16.60)
Super Add: #2 Roly Poly Goalie 12-1 7th
3rd: OC/N3X, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)
Top three below seem decidedly better than those omitted..
Most Likely: #2 McVictory 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Moontune Missy 4-1 WON ($6.60)
Next Best: #6 Sneaky Girl 7-2 5th
4th: NY-MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #8 Hardwicke Hall 4-1 4th
Best Value: #11 Jet Fever 10-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Miss Marla 6-1 11th
Exotics Use: #4 Copious Notes 12-1 6th
5th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)
Authentic and outstanding ALW event to close out the tough early quad; Refuse short prices as this is wide open..
Best Value: #8 Queen Hazel 15-1: Live with anything close to CD spins.. 8th
Next Best: #9 Persuading 8-1: Plenty of pedigree for switch to sod.. WON ($17.40)
Exotics Use: #4 Kittylicious 12-1Pilot broke MDN; Game this level last.. 2nd
Super Add: #2 Frances Gardner 6-1: New to capable barn; Adds GoGo for ground-saver.. 7th
<$75 P4 Play:
2: 3-4
3: 2-5-6
4: 4-6-8-11
5: 4-8-9
2x3x4x3 = $72
6th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Turf sprint with bad bunch of coconuts. AE-#11 Charmed (6-1) a factor if drawing in..
Most Likely: #6 Long Gone 7-2 WON ($7.90)
Best Value: #9 Rani Baba 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Charmed 6-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Gone Home 6-1 9th
7th: NY-MDN CLM, F&M-6.5f (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #10 Jacky Juice 8-5 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #9 Glance My Way 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Miss Odette 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Hear Her Roar 10-1 4th
8th: 31st Yaddo-NY, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (DD, Super)
Most Likely: #1 Merriwether Jessica 5-1 WON ($11.00)
Next Best: #7 You Go West Girl 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #11 Paraiba 8-1 7th
Super Add: #2 Chestoria 3-1 3rd
9th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (Super)
Most Likely: #3 Conspicuous 3-1 WON ($4.50)
Best Value: #5 Keith's Kitten 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Playful Majesty 20-1 9th
Super Add: #4 Erin Erin 6-1 7th
<$75 P4 Play:
6: 6-8-9-11
7: 9-10
8: 1-7-11
9: 1-3-5
4x2x3x3 = $72 $1 P4 (6-10-1-3) Paid $73.75
Good luck!
Steve
SARATOGA RACE COURSE
POST-SCRATCHES
1st: CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)
I'll make her a 'Best Value' second choice, but 6-1 is a silly ML on Rice's #8 Sextant who will take plenty of money working nicely for return from year on the shelf..
Most Likely: #3 Exiled Princess 7-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Sextant 6-1 WON ($6.30)
Exotics Use: #4 Sweet Madness 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Peaches 10-1 6th
2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Another 2yo event with absolutely nothing substancial on which to formulate an opinion. One nugget may be Proctor's firster #4 Bayou Tortuga, who hails from highly successful string of fast, win early runners out of the productive Dixieland Band mare Tortuga Road..
Best Value: #4 Bayou Tortuga 5-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Cadazzle 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Tap for Luck 5-1 WON ($16.60)
Super Add: #2 Roly Poly Goalie 12-1 7th
3rd: OC/N3X, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)
Top three below seem decidedly better than those omitted..
Most Likely: #2 McVictory 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Moontune Missy 4-1 WON ($6.60)
Next Best: #6 Sneaky Girl 7-2 5th
4th: NY-MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #8 Hardwicke Hall 4-1 4th
Best Value: #11 Jet Fever 10-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Miss Marla 6-1 11th
Exotics Use: #4 Copious Notes 12-1 6th
5th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)
Authentic and outstanding ALW event to close out the tough early quad; Refuse short prices as this is wide open..
Best Value: #8 Queen Hazel 15-1: Live with anything close to CD spins.. 8th
Next Best: #9 Persuading 8-1: Plenty of pedigree for switch to sod.. WON ($17.40)
Exotics Use: #4 Kittylicious 12-1Pilot broke MDN; Game this level last.. 2nd
Super Add: #2 Frances Gardner 6-1: New to capable barn; Adds GoGo for ground-saver.. 7th
<$75 P4 Play:
2: 3-4
3: 2-5-6
4: 4-6-8-11
5: 4-8-9
2x3x4x3 = $72
6th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Turf sprint with bad bunch of coconuts. AE-#11 Charmed (6-1) a factor if drawing in..
Most Likely: #6 Long Gone 7-2 WON ($7.90)
Best Value: #9 Rani Baba 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Charmed 6-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Gone Home 6-1 9th
7th: NY-MDN CLM, F&M-6.5f (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #10 Jacky Juice 8-5 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #9 Glance My Way 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Miss Odette 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Hear Her Roar 10-1 4th
8th: 31st Yaddo-NY, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (DD, Super)
Most Likely: #1 Merriwether Jessica 5-1 WON ($11.00)
Next Best: #7 You Go West Girl 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #11 Paraiba 8-1 7th
Super Add: #2 Chestoria 3-1 3rd
9th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (Super)
Most Likely: #3 Conspicuous 3-1 WON ($4.50)
Best Value: #5 Keith's Kitten 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Playful Majesty 20-1 9th
Super Add: #4 Erin Erin 6-1 7th
<$75 P4 Play:
6: 6-8-9-11
7: 9-10
8: 1-7-11
9: 1-3-5
4x2x3x3 = $72 $1 P4 (6-10-1-3) Paid $73.75
Good luck!
Steve