Kasept
08-25-2006, 04:57 AM
There are days in this endeavor that are maddening beyond description.. Thursday was one of those days. Handicapping well and wagering poorly is a quick way to drive yourself crazy, and despite getting many exotics right yesterday, I managed to make less money on them than I did taking the Win-Show stab on the 6th race "Longshot Alert" Sneaky Girl (33-1)!
I bet straight on value plays that finished third no less than three times while having the exacta or tri in hand, and in the case of the featured Victory Ride, an exacta when I had the tri and superfecta. In the 2nd, Sciacca's Wood Winner was a generous 13-2 (4-1 ML), and with the scratch of Eye for Style the resulting tabs looked too chalky to play exotics. But a $1 tri box of him with Prideland and Belknap County returned $28... The 3rd had Del Carroll's Distinct Pleasure overlaid at 11-1 (5-1), and again, a $1 tri box of her with my other two choices (winner Win With a Wink and Laurentide Ice) was the zag when I zigged: $56 tri... The worst frustration came in the 6th when despite making winner Miss Shipley a "capital letter play" and noticing Gullo bomb Sneaky Girl ($11.80 to show), I couldn't find the $665.50 ($1) tri because I failed to use place pony Rendezvous Sioux (11-2)... Finally, to add insult to injury, Larry Jones' Wildcat Bettie B performed to expectation in the feature, and despite offering up the three that followed her home ($177 super, $83 tri), I only played a modest exacta ($27). Uggh...
So what was Thursday's lesson? I'm not sure. It turned out to be a great day to play rolling P3's, and I barely considered them. Was I unfocused? Did I think the card was tougher than it turned out to be? Perhaps... 2 "on top" winners, 2 second choice winners and 3 third choice winners in 8 races should have yielded one of the best days of the meet, and it didn't. And while I left with more money than I came with, the day leaves a sour taste knowing that it was set up to be one of the better afternoons of the meet. Hope you did better than me...
Travers Day looks to be great if the weather holds up tomorrow, and Friday's card is inviting with the Persional Ensign (Gr. I) featured... Let's have at it!
SELECTIONS -- Saratoga, Friday, August 25, 2006
Superfectas in Race 5, 8 & 10..
1st: MDN CLM, 3+, 7f
1. #1 Orlov (poe) 8-1: Zito colt showed speed last and cuts back
2. #5 Evacuee 3-1: Silver Deputy colt from Violette just missed last
A. #8 Glory at Sea 9-2: Winless Gyarmati moves to Kent D from Chantal
B. #6 Bright Hall 4-1: Away 1.5 years, gelding drilled 4f in :46 on grass
2nd: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 5f
1. #6 Fahrenheit Wild 5-2: IEAH bay from Terranova can't get hung wide
2. #5 Quick and Easy 3-1: Leparoux signs on for Ritvo firster with 7/20 bullet
3. #1e Rice entry 2-1: Linda always dangerous with babies
3rd: OC/N3X, 3+, 7f
1. #4 Going Wild 12-1: Lukas colt finally back on track; Chased Silver Wagon
2. #8 Discreet Cat 3-5: Godolphin UAE Derby winner picked tough spot to return
A. #1e Dutrow entry: Dark Cheetah rarely misfires an d Wild Nature no slouch
B. #6 Rumspringa 6-1: Tagg having his best Toga session ever
4th: ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT
1. #6 Sky High Flyer 8-5: Frankel import faced stars in Gr. III Mint Julep
2. #1a (poe) Silver Charades 5-1: Live Oak going well; Homebred returns
A. #8 Trick's Pic 4-1: Biancone miss has faced stiff competition regularly
B. #9 Titan Time 8-1: Mott-Cornelio bay a consistant sort
5th: CLM, 4+, 8.5f-T (Superfecta race)
1. #2 United 3-1: Weaver hitting on all cylinders now
2. #8 Battle Chant 7-2: Motion bay by Coronado's Quest takes drop
A. #9 I've Got Speed 6-1: Farro gelding returns to level of score; Had traffic last
B. #1 Peace Emblem 6-1: Schosberg reunites solid gelding with Edgar
LONGSHOT ALERT/SUPER ADD-IN: #7 Wild Vicar (20-1) tries lawn 2nd time in 32 career tries. Drilled huge on Okie sod 7/28 and goes Hill to Bridge..
6th: OC/N1X, 3+, 9f
1. #6 Interline 5-1: Lake claim wheels; gets significant # allowance with Lep
2. #1e J. Jerkens entry 5-2: Jimmy off the duck Thursday; Pair formidable
3. #8 Sterwins 2-1: Pletcher Ontario-bred 2nd in Queens Plate; Back with JV
LONGSHOT ALERTS: #7 Church Service (15-1) from winless Lewis adds blinks (22%) and Castellano (25% '05-'06).. #5 Tasteyville (15-1) intrigues as Pat Kelly spent an hour with us Wednesday and expects a square effort..
7th: NYB-MSW, 2yo fillies, 8.5f-T
Can I say simply that I have no clue here?
1. #1e Pletcher entry 3-1
2. #4 Grand Merger 7-2
A. #3 Junkanoo Party 6-1
B. #6 Alchera 9-2
8th: The Equalize, $70,000, 3yo, 1m-IT (Superfecta)
1. #6 MANCHU PRINCE 5-2: Pletcher red chased Gr. II company last pair
2. #7 Titled 5-1: Mott been successful with Jara last several days
A. #1 Storm Treasure 7-2: Blasi colt saves important ground with portable up
B. #3 Gimme Credit 10-1: Edgar perfect in three tries with Hills Artax gelding
9th: The 59th Personal Ensign (Gr. I), $400,000, F&M-3+, 10f
1. #1 Balletto 8-5: Seems to like Toga; Will have to hustle to catch fave
2. #5 Fleet Indian 4-5: Could easily wire, but we'll stand against
3. #2 Yolanda B. Too 5-1: 3/2-1-0 at Spa, and looks primed for top try
10th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 8.5-T (Superfecta)
1. #2 Elder Skatesman 3-1: Obscure connections scratched Thursday for this
2. #5 Meeses Two Pieces 6-1: Galluscio tabs Leparoux for bay's 1st sod trip
A. #6 Heights 4-1: Castellano sticks with Donk bay that got untracked late
B. #8 Sir Slamdance 20-1: Nice price on chestnut that got close with Hill last
C. #9 Distinctive Sandy 5-2: Martin gelding hated slop; J-T tandem 1/1 meet
Good luck!
Steve
I bet straight on value plays that finished third no less than three times while having the exacta or tri in hand, and in the case of the featured Victory Ride, an exacta when I had the tri and superfecta. In the 2nd, Sciacca's Wood Winner was a generous 13-2 (4-1 ML), and with the scratch of Eye for Style the resulting tabs looked too chalky to play exotics. But a $1 tri box of him with Prideland and Belknap County returned $28... The 3rd had Del Carroll's Distinct Pleasure overlaid at 11-1 (5-1), and again, a $1 tri box of her with my other two choices (winner Win With a Wink and Laurentide Ice) was the zag when I zigged: $56 tri... The worst frustration came in the 6th when despite making winner Miss Shipley a "capital letter play" and noticing Gullo bomb Sneaky Girl ($11.80 to show), I couldn't find the $665.50 ($1) tri because I failed to use place pony Rendezvous Sioux (11-2)... Finally, to add insult to injury, Larry Jones' Wildcat Bettie B performed to expectation in the feature, and despite offering up the three that followed her home ($177 super, $83 tri), I only played a modest exacta ($27). Uggh...
So what was Thursday's lesson? I'm not sure. It turned out to be a great day to play rolling P3's, and I barely considered them. Was I unfocused? Did I think the card was tougher than it turned out to be? Perhaps... 2 "on top" winners, 2 second choice winners and 3 third choice winners in 8 races should have yielded one of the best days of the meet, and it didn't. And while I left with more money than I came with, the day leaves a sour taste knowing that it was set up to be one of the better afternoons of the meet. Hope you did better than me...
Travers Day looks to be great if the weather holds up tomorrow, and Friday's card is inviting with the Persional Ensign (Gr. I) featured... Let's have at it!
SELECTIONS -- Saratoga, Friday, August 25, 2006
Superfectas in Race 5, 8 & 10..
1st: MDN CLM, 3+, 7f
1. #1 Orlov (poe) 8-1: Zito colt showed speed last and cuts back
2. #5 Evacuee 3-1: Silver Deputy colt from Violette just missed last
A. #8 Glory at Sea 9-2: Winless Gyarmati moves to Kent D from Chantal
B. #6 Bright Hall 4-1: Away 1.5 years, gelding drilled 4f in :46 on grass
2nd: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 5f
1. #6 Fahrenheit Wild 5-2: IEAH bay from Terranova can't get hung wide
2. #5 Quick and Easy 3-1: Leparoux signs on for Ritvo firster with 7/20 bullet
3. #1e Rice entry 2-1: Linda always dangerous with babies
3rd: OC/N3X, 3+, 7f
1. #4 Going Wild 12-1: Lukas colt finally back on track; Chased Silver Wagon
2. #8 Discreet Cat 3-5: Godolphin UAE Derby winner picked tough spot to return
A. #1e Dutrow entry: Dark Cheetah rarely misfires an d Wild Nature no slouch
B. #6 Rumspringa 6-1: Tagg having his best Toga session ever
4th: ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT
1. #6 Sky High Flyer 8-5: Frankel import faced stars in Gr. III Mint Julep
2. #1a (poe) Silver Charades 5-1: Live Oak going well; Homebred returns
A. #8 Trick's Pic 4-1: Biancone miss has faced stiff competition regularly
B. #9 Titan Time 8-1: Mott-Cornelio bay a consistant sort
5th: CLM, 4+, 8.5f-T (Superfecta race)
1. #2 United 3-1: Weaver hitting on all cylinders now
2. #8 Battle Chant 7-2: Motion bay by Coronado's Quest takes drop
A. #9 I've Got Speed 6-1: Farro gelding returns to level of score; Had traffic last
B. #1 Peace Emblem 6-1: Schosberg reunites solid gelding with Edgar
LONGSHOT ALERT/SUPER ADD-IN: #7 Wild Vicar (20-1) tries lawn 2nd time in 32 career tries. Drilled huge on Okie sod 7/28 and goes Hill to Bridge..
6th: OC/N1X, 3+, 9f
1. #6 Interline 5-1: Lake claim wheels; gets significant # allowance with Lep
2. #1e J. Jerkens entry 5-2: Jimmy off the duck Thursday; Pair formidable
3. #8 Sterwins 2-1: Pletcher Ontario-bred 2nd in Queens Plate; Back with JV
LONGSHOT ALERTS: #7 Church Service (15-1) from winless Lewis adds blinks (22%) and Castellano (25% '05-'06).. #5 Tasteyville (15-1) intrigues as Pat Kelly spent an hour with us Wednesday and expects a square effort..
7th: NYB-MSW, 2yo fillies, 8.5f-T
Can I say simply that I have no clue here?
1. #1e Pletcher entry 3-1
2. #4 Grand Merger 7-2
A. #3 Junkanoo Party 6-1
B. #6 Alchera 9-2
8th: The Equalize, $70,000, 3yo, 1m-IT (Superfecta)
1. #6 MANCHU PRINCE 5-2: Pletcher red chased Gr. II company last pair
2. #7 Titled 5-1: Mott been successful with Jara last several days
A. #1 Storm Treasure 7-2: Blasi colt saves important ground with portable up
B. #3 Gimme Credit 10-1: Edgar perfect in three tries with Hills Artax gelding
9th: The 59th Personal Ensign (Gr. I), $400,000, F&M-3+, 10f
1. #1 Balletto 8-5: Seems to like Toga; Will have to hustle to catch fave
2. #5 Fleet Indian 4-5: Could easily wire, but we'll stand against
3. #2 Yolanda B. Too 5-1: 3/2-1-0 at Spa, and looks primed for top try
10th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 8.5-T (Superfecta)
1. #2 Elder Skatesman 3-1: Obscure connections scratched Thursday for this
2. #5 Meeses Two Pieces 6-1: Galluscio tabs Leparoux for bay's 1st sod trip
A. #6 Heights 4-1: Castellano sticks with Donk bay that got untracked late
B. #8 Sir Slamdance 20-1: Nice price on chestnut that got close with Hill last
C. #9 Distinctive Sandy 5-2: Martin gelding hated slop; J-T tandem 1/1 meet
Good luck!
Steve